Oddsoddy Mission Control

2026-07-10 21:11:16 UTC — 3/38 bots active — 35 deactivated — Refresh

Paper Trading (2 bots) — clean / forward-looking
Realized
$+181.17
all-history: $+181.17
Unrealized
$+0.00
live mark-to-market
Combined
$+181.17
all-history: $+181.17
Headline excludes $+0.00 of bug-tagged wrong-universe trades — see CHANGES for the postmortems
Live Trading (0 bots · 0 eligible)
Realized
$+0.00
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$+0.00
No bots live yet — see Live Readiness tab
Deployed
$0.00
Open Trades
0
Closed Trades
387
Win Rate
53%
Active Bots
3/38
35 deactivated
Max Drawdown
$159.88

Combined P&L

Cumulative Realized P&L — clean / forward-looking

excludes bug-tagged wrong-universe trades — matches headline
Overview
Summary Table
Sustainability
Live Readiness
Risk Manager
Live Engine
Reconciler
Alerts 6
Edge Scorecard
AI Analysis
Improvement Reports
Sort by:
Whalehunter
Whale z-score cluster
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Weather
NWP ensemble >18% edge
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
18%
Trades
11
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.26
Sharpe
-0.68
NOT VIABLE · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Resolution Momentum
YES ≥87%, 6–72h left
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
38%
Trades
26
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.33
Sharpe
-0.38
NOT VIABLE · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
FDV Specialist
FDV whale cluster <0.75
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
17%
Trades
12
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.08
Sharpe
-1.09
NOT VIABLE · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Arb Scanner
YES+NO<0.97 / cross >8%
Retired 2026-06-10: 152 closed, -$43.92, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
37%
Trades
152
Open
13
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.98
Sharpe
-0.01
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Sports Model
ELO vs market >8%
Retired 2026-06-10: 509 closed, -$526.72, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
34%
Trades
509
Open
9
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.94
Sharpe
-0.02
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
News Trader
RSS keyword match >70%
Retired 2026-06-10: 260 closed, -$192.96, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
42%
Trades
260
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.73
Sharpe
-0.07
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
News Safe
News + BB/RSI confirm + whale-veto
Retired 2026-06-10: 180 closed, -$208.16, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
43%
Trades
180
Open
5
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.64
Sharpe
-0.11
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Equity News
Alpaca SIP news + LLM → Polymarket equity markets
Retired 2026-06-10: 104 closed, -$121.47, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
38%
Trades
104
Open
2
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.56
Sharpe
-0.17
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Option Flow
Alpaca OPRA unusual call/put flow + LLM → Polymarket equity
Retired 2026-06-10: 123 closed, -$177.62, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
46%
Trades
123
Open
4
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.62
Sharpe
-0.14
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Earnings Arb
Earnings calendar TIME GATE + Alpaca news + LLM → Polymarket equity
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
12%
Trades
8
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.02
Sharpe
-1.26
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Confluence Alpha
Cross-bot ≥2-source agreement on (market, direction) → bigger sizing
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
33%
Trades
15
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.59
Sharpe
-0.18
NOT VIABLE · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Stock Master
News+LLM + 6-gate stack: stock SIP / PM TA / whale-veto / spread / LMD / exhaustion
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
LP Market Maker
Virtual MM at mid±1%
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Combo Alpha
Whale z≥2.5 + YES 82–97% <72h + Kalshi + wallets
Retired 2026-06-10: 320 closed, -$228.87, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
87%
Trades
320
Open
3
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.60
Sharpe
-0.12
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Wallet Follower
Follow top wallets from whalehunter (WR≥50%)
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
News2Combo
LLM news + whale + momentum + wallets + Kalshi (2+ confirms)
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
100%
Trades
1
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Whale Tracker
Greylisted immediate wallet-copy bot; exits only, scanner kept as feed
Retired from new entries 2026-06-12: live paper PF 0.993; +240m confirmed path replaces it
active
3d
P&L
$-11.07
Win Rate
49%
Trades
365
Open
0
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$-11.07
Profit Fctr
0.98
Sharpe
-0.01
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$0.47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$0.47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June $-0.02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by Decem$0.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June $-0.07
Whale Tracker Drift Bot
Adaptive immediate drift_bot entries/exits from Whale Tracker classified flow
active
3d
P&L
$17.33
Win Rate
51%
Trades
325
Open
0
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$+17.33
Profit Fctr
1.04
Sharpe
+0.01
MARGINAL · high confidence
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.08
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$3.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.49
Whale Tracker +240m Confirm
+240m NO confirm: near-low or mid-long insider flow; politics only near-low >=$10k
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
35%
Trades
40
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.58
Sharpe
-0.16
NOT VIABLE · medium confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Whale Flow
Full-tape whale flow: 24h→2h, ≥$50k, ≥50% imbalance, ≥$5k max trade
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
66%
Trades
147
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.81
Sharpe
-0.09
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Poly Edge: Flow Strict
Paper-only poly_data flow: 24h->2h, >=$50k, >=50% imbalance, >=$5k max trade
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
68%
Trades
144
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.92
Sharpe
-0.03
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Poly Edge: Flow Capacity
Paper-only poly_data flow: 24h->2h, >=$50k, >=35% imbalance, >=$5k max trade
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
64%
Trades
182
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.89
Sharpe
-0.05
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Poly Edge: Flow Balanced
Paper-only poly_data flow: 24h->2h, >=$25k, >=50% imbalance, >=$5k max trade
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
67%
Trades
176
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.93
Sharpe
-0.03
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Poly Edge: Weekly Flow
Paper-only poly_data flow: 168h->12h, >=$25k, >=50% imbalance
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
66%
Trades
122
Open
8
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.84
Sharpe
-0.07
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Poly Edge: Swing Flow
Paper-only poly_data flow: 72h->6h, >=$5k, >=50% imbalance, >=$5k max trade
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
65%
Trades
150
Open
4
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.77
Sharpe
-0.10
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Whalehunter Elite
Whalehunter signal AND ≥1 cluster member is in top-5K elite (poly_data)
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
First Mover
Elite wallet among first 10 traders on a market < 6h old
Retired 2026-06-10: 34 closed, -$78.52, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
32%
Trades
34
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.62
Sharpe
-0.15
NOT VIABLE · medium confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Drift Bot
Pre-resolution YES drift, 72-168h to close, entry 0.85+ — drift_backtest +10.6% avg
Greylisted while Whale Tracker replaces weak standalone drift variants
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
59%
Trades
196
Open
4
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.42
Sharpe
-0.22
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Smart Flow
Elite-wallet net USD flow vs price divergence (≥$5k, ≥2 elites)
Retired 2026-06-10: 37 closed, -$66.31, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
41%
Trades
37
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.72
Sharpe
-0.13
NOT VIABLE · medium confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
BB Squeeze
BB(20, 2σ) lower-band touch — combinator #1: median +10.2% Sharpe 1.24 across 98 markets
Retired 2026-06-10: 57 closed, -$272.11, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
32%
Trades
57
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.52
Sharpe
-0.24
NOT VIABLE · medium confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
BB Squeeze Tight
BB(25, 1.5σ, h=12) — round-4 highest mean Sharpe (1.86), A/B vs bb_squeeze
Retired 2026-06-10: 111 closed, -$308.16, NOT VIABLE
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
30%
Trades
111
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.67
Sharpe
-0.13
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Fundamental Arb
Filtered paper reboot: equities + SOL only; BTC/ETH and between markets blocked after 2026-06-10 vbtpro audit
active
3d
P&L
$163.84
Win Rate
68%
Trades
62
Open
0
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$+163.84
Profit Fctr
1.44
Sharpe
+0.15
VIABLE · medium confidence
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$3.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$1.36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$4.30
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-$2.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$7.84
Precipitation Arb
Polymarket monthly precipitation vs OpenMeteo Archive (past month deterministic) + climatology forecast
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
Trades
0
Open
15
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
Sharpe
TOO EARLY · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Grid LP
Laddered buy/sell on long-dated (≥7d) mid-priced (0.30-0.70) high-volume markets — 5 ladders ±13%, 10% TP each
Greylisted after catalyst-trap cleanup
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
26%
Trades
142
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.13
Sharpe
-0.70
NOT VIABLE · high confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Smart Dip
ATR-dip (1.5×ATR(14) from 48h max) AND elite-wallet BUY YES in last 4h — premium-conviction subset of dip_buyer_atr
Greylisted: dip-family live forensics were weak
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
25%
Trades
92
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.57
Sharpe
-0.23
NOT VIABLE · medium confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
BTC Scalper
BTC 5min momentum at 240s
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
50%
Trades
10
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
1.22
Sharpe
+0.09
MARGINAL · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled
Crypto Scalper
ETH/SOL/DOGE/XRP 5min momentum at 240s
Deactivated: service inactive
deactivated
P&L
Win Rate
36%
Trades
14
Open
0
Unrealized
Combined
Profit Fctr
0.14
Sharpe
-0.85
NOT VIABLE · low confidence
P&L hidden while inactive
controls disabled

Click any column header to sort. Click again to reverse.

Strategy Status Open Closed Win Rate Realized P&L Active P&L Unrealized Combined Deployed Uptime
Whalehunter deactivated 0 0 $0.00
Weather deactivated 0 11 18% $0.00
Resolution Momentum deactivated 0 26 38% $0.00
FDV Specialist deactivated 0 12 17% $0.00
Arb Scanner deactivated 13 152 37% $265.20
Sports Model deactivated 9 509 34% $241.61
News Trader deactivated 0 260 42% $0.00
News Safe deactivated 5 180 43% $127.50
Equity News deactivated 2 104 38% $51.00
Option Flow deactivated 4 123 46% $102.00
Earnings Arb deactivated 0 8 12% $0.00
Confluence Alpha deactivated 0 15 33% $0.00
Stock Master deactivated 0 0 $0.00
LP Market Maker deactivated 0 0 $0.00
Combo Alpha deactivated 3 320 87% $25.45
Wallet Follower deactivated 0 0 $0.00
News2Combo deactivated 0 1 100% $0.00
Whale Tracker active 0 365 49% $-11.07 $-11.07 $+0.00 $-11.07 $0.00 3d
Whale Tracker Drift Bot active 0 325 51% $17.33 $+17.33 $+0.00 $+17.33 $0.00 3d
Whale Tracker +240m Confirm deactivated 0 40 35% $0.00
Whale Flow deactivated 0 147 66% $0.00
Poly Edge: Flow Strict deactivated 0 144 68% $0.00
Poly Edge: Flow Capacity deactivated 0 182 64% $0.00
Poly Edge: Flow Balanced deactivated 0 176 67% $0.00
Poly Edge: Weekly Flow deactivated 8 122 66% $80.00
Poly Edge: Swing Flow deactivated 4 150 65% $40.00
Whalehunter Elite deactivated 0 0 $0.00
First Mover deactivated 0 34 32% $0.00
Drift Bot deactivated 4 196 59% $102.00
Smart Flow deactivated 0 37 41% $0.00
BB Squeeze deactivated 0 57 32% $0.00
BB Squeeze Tight deactivated 0 111 30% $0.00
Fundamental Arb active 0 62 68% $163.84 $+163.84 $+0.00 $+163.84 $0.00 3d
Precipitation Arb deactivated 15 0 $378.75
Grid LP deactivated 0 142 26% $0.00
Smart Dip deactivated 0 92 25% $0.00
BTC Scalper deactivated 0 10 50% $0.00
Crypto Scalper deactivated 0 14 36% $0.00
Quick sorts: Most profitable (active) · Bleeding worst · Best combined · Most trades · Highest WR

Long-run viability: profit factor (sum-wins / sum-losses), per-trade Sharpe (mean / stdev), Calmar (annualised return / max drawdown), recovery factor (P&L per $ of drawdown), and sample-size confidence. ROBUST = ≥100 trades + PF≥2.0 + Sharpe≥0.20. VIABLE = PF≥1.3. NOT VIABLE = PF<1.0 (loses on average).

Strategy Closed Days Trd/Day Expectancy Avg Win Avg Loss Profit Factor Sharpe Calmar Recovery Confidence Verdict
Whalehunter 0 low TOO EARLY
Weather 11 27.4d 0.4 0.26 -0.68 -26.39 -1.98× low NOT VIABLE
Resolution Momentum 26 19.0d 1.4 0.33 -0.38 -471.29 -24.51× low NOT VIABLE
FDV Specialist 12 8.3d 1.4 0.08 -1.09 -44.10 -1.00× low NOT VIABLE
Arb Scanner 152 26.2d 5.8 0.98 -0.01 -2.43 -0.17× high NOT VIABLE
Sports Model 509 0.94 -0.02 -0.33× high NOT VIABLE
News Trader 260 20.3d 12.8 0.73 -0.07 -20.84 -1.16× high NOT VIABLE
News Safe 180 11.1d 16.3 0.64 -0.11 -34.32 -1.04× high NOT VIABLE
Equity News 104 10.3d 10.1 0.56 -0.17 -41.16 -1.17× high NOT VIABLE
Option Flow 123 10.4d 11.9 0.62 -0.14 -47.07 -1.34× high NOT VIABLE
Earnings Arb 8 3.6d 2.2 0.02 -1.26 -1630.98 -15.99× low TOO EARLY
Confluence Alpha 15 8.6d 1.7 0.59 -0.18 -93.70 -2.21× low NOT VIABLE
Stock Master 0 low TOO EARLY
LP Market Maker 0 low TOO EARLY
Combo Alpha 320 34.4d 9.3 0.60 -0.12 -8.20 -0.77× high NOT VIABLE
Wallet Follower 0 low TOO EARLY
News2Combo 1 9.5d 0.1 low TOO EARLY
Whale Tracker 365 37.9d 9.6 $-0.03 $2.98 $2.92 0.98 -0.01 -0.90 -0.09× high NOT VIABLE
Whale Tracker Drift Bot 325 20.7d 15.7 $+0.05 $2.99 $2.97 1.04 +0.01 +2.75 +0.16× high MARGINAL
Whale Tracker +240m Confirm 40 18.9d 2.1 0.58 -0.16 -13.26 -0.69× medium NOT VIABLE
Whale Flow 147 17.4d 8.4 0.81 -0.09 -18.49 -0.88× high NOT VIABLE
Poly Edge: Flow Strict 144 17.2d 8.4 0.92 -0.03 -8.44 -0.40× high NOT VIABLE
Poly Edge: Flow Capacity 182 17.2d 10.6 0.89 -0.05 -10.75 -0.51× high NOT VIABLE
Poly Edge: Flow Balanced 176 17.2d 10.2 0.93 -0.03 -8.59 -0.40× high NOT VIABLE
Poly Edge: Weekly Flow 122 16.8d 7.2 0.84 -0.07 -15.98 -0.74× high NOT VIABLE
Poly Edge: Swing Flow 150 16.9d 8.9 0.77 -0.10 -17.98 -0.83× high NOT VIABLE
Whalehunter Elite 0 low TOO EARLY
First Mover 34 8.0d 4.2 0.62 -0.15 -25.72 -0.57× medium NOT VIABLE
Drift Bot 196 21.4d 9.2 0.42 -0.22 -17.74 -1.04× high NOT VIABLE
Smart Flow 37 11.0d 3.4 0.72 -0.13 -15.40 -0.46× medium NOT VIABLE
BB Squeeze 57 4.3d 13.3 0.52 -0.24 -132.60 -1.56× medium NOT VIABLE
BB Squeeze Tight 111 8.7d 12.8 0.67 -0.13 -58.13 -1.38× high NOT VIABLE
Fundamental Arb 62 36.2d 1.7 $+2.64 $12.81 $18.70 1.44 +0.15 +10.33 +1.02× medium VIABLE
Precipitation Arb 0 low TOO EARLY
Grid LP 142 10.6d 13.3 0.13 -0.70 -53.44 -1.56× high NOT VIABLE
Smart Dip 92 8.7d 10.5 0.57 -0.23 -133.71 -3.20× medium NOT VIABLE
BTC Scalper 10 0.1d 91.7 1.22 +0.09 +806.72 +0.24× low MARGINAL
Crypto Scalper 14 2.1d 6.7 0.14 -0.85 -174.37 -1.00× low NOT VIABLE
Quick sorts: By Profit Factor · By Sharpe · By Confidence · By Sample Size

Alerts (6)

Whale Tracker: max drawdown $118.88
Whale Tracker: drawdown $118.88
Whale Tracker Drift Bot: max drawdown $111.23
Whale Tracker Drift Bot: drawdown $111.23
Fundamental Arb: max drawdown $159.88
Fundamental Arb: drawdown $159.88

🌐 Global Infrastructure

✅ CLOB API credentials (POLY_API_KEY/SECRET/PASSPHRASE)
✅ Polygon wallet (POLY_PRIVATE_KEY + POLY_FUNDER)
❌ Geo proxy (US-fenced — needs non-US egress)
❌ USDC.e on Polygon — fund via Binance/Coinbase bridge
❌ py-clob-client integration (per-bot order plumbing)
❌ Reconciliation loop — match CLOB state to local DB

Six gates per bot. All six must be ✅ before the live toggle unlocks. The flag is informational only today — bots keep paper-trading even when flagged live, until per-bot order plumbing is built.

StrategyVerdict EdgeSamples CLOBWalletOrdersAlloc Status
Whale Tracker Drift Bot MARGINAL PF 1.04 >= 1.3 325/100 closed trades configured configured live_engine shim $0 blocked
Fundamental Arb MARGINAL PF 1.44 >= 1.3 62/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Whale Tracker NOT VIABLE PF 0.98 >= 1.3 365/100 closed trades configured configured live_engine shim $0 blocked
Whalehunter DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Weather DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE low (11 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Resolution Momentum DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE low (26 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
FDV Specialist DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE low (12 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Arb Scanner DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (152 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $265 blocked
Sports Model DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (509 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $242 blocked
News Trader DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (260 trades) configured configured live_engine shim $0 blocked
News Safe DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (180 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $128 blocked
Equity News DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (104 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $51 blocked
Option Flow DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (123 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $102 blocked
Earnings Arb DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (8 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Confluence Alpha DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE low (15 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Stock Master DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
LP Market Maker DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Combo Alpha DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (320 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $25 blocked
Wallet Follower DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
News2Combo DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (1 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Whale Tracker +240m Confirm DEACTIVATED PF 0.58 >= 1.3 40/30 closed trades configured configured live_engine shim $0 blocked
Whale Flow DEACTIVATED PF 0.81 >= 1.3 147/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Poly Edge: Flow Strict DEACTIVATED PF 0.92 >= 1.3 144/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Poly Edge: Flow Capacity DEACTIVATED PF 0.89 >= 1.3 182/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Poly Edge: Flow Balanced DEACTIVATED PF 0.93 >= 1.3 176/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Poly Edge: Weekly Flow DEACTIVATED PF 0.84 >= 1.3 122/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $80 blocked
Poly Edge: Swing Flow DEACTIVATED PF 0.77 >= 1.3 150/30 closed trades configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $40 blocked
Whalehunter Elite DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
First Mover DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE medium (34 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Drift Bot DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (196 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $102 blocked
Smart Flow DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE medium (37 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
BB Squeeze DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE medium (57 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
BB Squeeze Tight DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (111 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Precipitation Arb DEACTIVATED TOO EARLY low (0 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $379 blocked
Grid LP DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE high (142 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Smart Dip DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE medium (92 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
BTC Scalper DEACTIVATED MARGINAL low (10 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked
Crypto Scalper DEACTIVATED NOT VIABLE low (14 trades) configured configured py-clob-client integration pending $0 blocked

Fleet status

Fleet OK — no fleet-wide halt active

⏸️ Active per-bot halts (14)

combo_alpha — rolling_7d $-129.05 (until 11:37)
smart_dip — KILLED: no mean-reversion edge in Polymarket universe (see KILLED.md) (until 00:00)
bb_squeeze — KILLED: same falling-knife problem as smart_dip (until 00:00)
bb_squeeze_tight — KILLED: tighter bands amplify the broken bb_squeeze signal (until 00:00)
grid_lp — KILLED: TP target cannot clear fees, no chop universe (until 00:00)
crypto_scalper — KILLED: 5min crypto momentum does not predict Polymarket Up/Down (until 00:00)
equity_news — KILLED: LLM ignores ticker tag, matches unrelated markets (until 00:00)
option_flow — KILLED: options flow does not predict resolution even with ticker match (until 00:00)
news_trader — KILLED: LLM-on-RSS signal is random, 246 trades cannot escape coin-flip (until 00:00)
news_safe — KILLED: quant gates cannot repair random LLM matches; 18% WR post-fix (until 00:00)

Recent risk-manager actions (last 30)

TimeBotActionDetails
16:40:40news_traderrolling_7d_halt7d_pnl=$-155.61
16:35:39news_traderauto_resumecooloff expired
16:35:39news_traderauto_resumefleet halt cleared
15:19:42smart_flowrolling_7d_halt7d_pnl=$-100.16
15:14:41smart_flowauto_resumecooloff expired
15:14:41smart_flowauto_resumefleet halt cleared
14:44:22grid_lprolling_7d_halt7d_pnl=$-129.32
14:39:21grid_lpauto_resumecooloff expired
14:39:20grid_lpauto_resumefleet halt cleared
14:08:54option_flowauto_resumecooloff expired
14:08:54option_flowauto_resumefleet halt cleared
12:22:48first_moverauto_resumecooloff expired
11:37:20combo_alpharolling_7d_halt7d_pnl=$-129.05
10:31:53news_safedaily_killtoday_pnl=$-59.07 floor=5%
17:41:25bb_squeezepermanent_killKILLED: same falling-knife problem as smart_dip
17:41:25bb_squeeze_tightpermanent_killKILLED: tighter bands amplify the broken bb_squeeze signal
17:41:25confluence_alphapermanent_killKILLED: signal sources (equity_news/option_flow/earnings_arb) all killed
17:41:25crypto_scalperpermanent_killKILLED: 5min crypto momentum does not predict Polymarket Up/Down
17:41:25earnings_arbpermanent_killKILLED: same LLM-on-news weakness; silent post-fix anyway
17:41:25equity_newspermanent_killKILLED: LLM ignores ticker tag, matches unrelated markets
17:41:25first_moverpermanent_killKILLED: chases single BTC-gambler wallet; no consensus gate
17:41:25grid_lppermanent_killrolling_7d $-129.32
17:41:25news_safepermanent_killdaily_loss $-59.07
17:41:25news_traderpermanent_killrolling_7d $-155.61
17:41:25option_flowpermanent_killKILLED: options flow does not predict resolution even with ticker match
17:41:25smart_dippermanent_killKILLED: no mean-reversion edge in Polymarket universe (see KILLED.md)
17:41:25smart_flowpermanent_killrolling_7d $-100.16
16:34:52news_traderrolling_7d_halt7d_pnl=$-149.95
16:29:51news_traderauto_resumecooloff expired
16:24:50fdv_specialistauto_resumecooloff expired

Risk Manager runs every 5min. Rules: daily_loss_kill (>5% bankroll), fleet_drawdown (>3% combined), low_wr_kill (>5 closes, <35% WR, losing in last 48h), rolling_7d_halt (>10% bankroll over 7 days).

Engine state

🟢 DRY_RUN — orders simulated, no real money
Max order: $25 · Daily cap: $200
Creds present: 5/5
Runtime: dry_run

📊 Today's activity

No orders today

Recent orders (last 50)

TimeBotModeMarketSideOutcomeSize $PriceStatusError
13:48:33test_botdry_run0xabc123def456…BUYYES$25.000.420DRY_RUN
14:51:03news_traderdry_run0xabc123def456…BUYYES$25.000.420DRY_RUN

Engine integration: a bot opts into live by flipping its mode toggle to "live" in mode_registry. The bot continues to write its paper-DB position normally; the live engine shim ALSO sends an order (real or DRY_RUN). This way paper tracking stays authoritative for analytics; live is purely additive. To go fully live: set POLY_LIVE_GO=1 + 5 creds.

Reconciler

Daemon: inactive
Polls every 15 minutes. In DRY_RUN, all paper positions show as "paper-only" (CLOB has no real positions). When live, drift events are written below as soon as a partial fill or out-of-band close is detected.

Recent drift events (last 50)

No drift events recorded yet — running in DRY_RUN or no live positions to reconcile.

Per RISK_MANAGEMENT.md: a YES bet at price p needs WR > p to be EV+. The actionable metric is edge per bet = WR − avg_entry_price. PROFITABLE = edge ≥ 5pp. MARGINAL = edge −2 to 5pp. BLEEDING = edge < −2pp (EV negative — investigate or kill).

Strategy Closed Avg Entry Live WR Edge per Bet Realized P&L Avg P&L Verdict
Whalehunter 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
Weather 11 48% 18% -29.3pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Resolution Momentum 26 85% 38% -46.8pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
FDV Specialist 12 20% 17% -2.9pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Arb Scanner 152 41% 37% -3.8pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Sports Model 509 34% 34% -0.8pp MARGINAL near break-even — monitor
News Trader 260 55% 42% -12.9pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
News Safe 180 56% 43% -13.6pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Equity News 104 61% 38% -23.1pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Option Flow 123 57% 46% -11.0pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Earnings Arb 8 43% 12% -30.9pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Confluence Alpha 15 62% 33% -28.5pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Stock Master 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
LP Market Maker 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
Combo Alpha 320 86% 87% +0.3pp MARGINAL near break-even — monitor
Wallet Follower 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
News2Combo 1 91% 100% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 1)
Whale Tracker 365 65% 49% -15.6pp $-11.07 $-0.03 BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Whale Tracker Drift Bot 325 63% 51% -12.2pp $+17.33 $+0.05 BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Whale Tracker +240m Confirm 40 78% 35% -43.0pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Whale Flow 147 74% 66% -7.6pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Poly Edge: Flow Strict 144 73% 68% -5.4pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Poly Edge: Flow Capacity 182 70% 64% -6.1pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Poly Edge: Flow Balanced 176 72% 67% -4.9pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Poly Edge: Weekly Flow 122 73% 66% -6.5pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Poly Edge: Swing Flow 150 76% 65% -11.1pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Whalehunter Elite 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
First Mover 34 30% 32% +2.1pp MARGINAL near break-even — monitor
Drift Bot 196 93% 59% -34.1pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Smart Flow 37 50% 41% -9.3pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
BB Squeeze 57 47% 32% -15.2pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
BB Squeeze Tight 111 44% 30% -14.0pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Fundamental Arb 62 51% 68% +17.0pp $+163.84 $+2.64 PROFITABLE EV+ — keep running
Precipitation Arb 0 0% INSUFFICIENT need ≥3 closes (have 0)
Grid LP 142 43% 26% -17.2pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
Smart Dip 92 31% 25% -5.9pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill
BTC Scalper 10 38% 50% +12.5pp PROFITABLE EV+ — keep running
Crypto Scalper 14 45% 36% -9.2pp BLEEDING EV− — investigate or kill

Gemini reads all strategy performance data and gives concrete suggestions on what's working, what needs tuning, and where to focus effort.

Daily automated loop: run backtests, compare to baseline, Gemini analyzes P&L and suggests improvements. Reports generated at 06:00 UTC daily.

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