Confluence Alpha
Cross-bot ≥2-source agreement on (market, direction) → bigger sizing
deactivated
mode paper
uptime n/a
Service deactivated
Last trade
2026-05-15T23:53:44.787435+00:00
Database
/home/trbck/wp/oddsoddy/strategies/confluence_alpha/paper_run_20260507_094257.db
Tables
news_signals, positions
Open
0
Closed
15
Win Rate
33.3%
Realized
$-30.72
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$-30.72
Profit Factor
0.59
Max DD
$13.93
Open Positions
No open paper positions for this strategy row.
Recent Closed Positions (6 shown)
| exit_time | market_title | side | entry_price | exit_price | quantity | cost | pnl | status | market_id | entry_time | expiry_time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15T23:53:44.787435+00:00 | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons | yes | 0.7650 | 0.6550 | 52.287581699346404 | $40.80 | $-7.24 | closed | 0x814eb822b61b23b0fcb6bcaee624a00b08667aa50fdf7440f9817543e3cd0e1d | 2026-05-15T11:18:07.767379+00:00 | 2026-05-22T00:00:00Z |
| 2026-05-15T22:53:42.914282+00:00 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18? | no | 0.3525 | 0.3115 | 113.47517730496453 | $40.80 | $-6.16 | closed | 0x85c0940b78ac4d7baa5e0dd671bfc5f0882c9356eac2d822b38af15c331a3ca9 | 2026-05-15T20:13:34.199999+00:00 | 2026-05-19T04:00:00Z |
| 2026-05-14T16:12:32.064933+00:00 | Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460? | yes | 0.9200 | 0.9450 | 43.47826086956522 | $40.80 | $-0.53 | closed | 0x8f4902d0089f23fca0773087755cf8712a580cd89b941378ee5ab426f7216a3a | 2026-05-10T16:10:40.632157+00:00 | |
| 2026-05-14T14:52:25.334317+00:00 | Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day? | yes | 0.9150 | 0.9890 | 43.71584699453552 | $40.80 | $+1.57 | closed | 0x6c8fddd383b6a1d5dead8cc627d10e064848168e70b282864e2a464925938c47 | 2026-05-11T06:36:07.601293+00:00 | 2026-05-14T00:00:00Z |
| 2026-05-13T10:00:03.871263+00:00 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13? | yes | 0.1435 | 0.2730 | 278.74564459930315 | $40.80 | $+33.78 | closed | 0xec8efe54bfce654412fd26f8b9c6309e823938d8d8b26a4d1b271bd12fe764be | 2026-05-13T09:55:03.667296+00:00 | 2026-05-13T20:00:00Z |
| 2026-05-12T20:38:33.061813+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? | no | 0.2200 | 0.2450 | 181.81818181818187 | $40.80 | $+2.85 | closed | 0xff979f0527fc86e026d26c153d9ce9e5384e46fcba16917a735383193c7f133a | 2026-05-12T20:33:32.961390+00:00 | 2026-05-13T16:00:00Z |
Recent Scan Log
No scan log rows are available for this strategy row.