Smart Dip
ATR-dip (1.5×ATR(14) from 48h max) AND elite-wallet BUY YES in last 4h — premium-conviction subset of dip_buyer_atr
deactivated
mode paper
uptime n/a
Greylisted: dip-family live forensics were weak
Last trade
2026-05-14T19:57:49.855842+00:00
Database
/home/trbck/wp/oddsoddy/strategies/smart_dip/paper_run_20260505_230244.db
Tables
positions, price_history, scan_log
Open
0
Closed
92
Win Rate
25.0%
Realized
$-371.29
Unrealized
$+0.00
Combined
$-371.29
Profit Factor
0.57
Max DD
$116.04
Open Positions
No open paper positions for this strategy row.
Recent Closed Positions (14 shown)
| exit_time | market_title | side | entry_price | exit_price | quantity | cost | pnl | status | exit_reason | market_id | entry_time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14T19:57:49.855842+00:00 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | YES | 0.8500 | 0.8050 | 58.82352941176471 | $51.00 | $-4.59 | closed | time_stop | 0xc7781eb0e4ab55dcecb64bba3cdb58a03d1275cfdc87ff4bbc4c20005b283681 | 2026-05-13T18:38:40.140247+00:00 |
| 2026-05-14T19:57:47.418665+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0745 | 0.0415 | 671.1409395973154 | $51.00 | $-23.70 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T20:42:00.648071+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T20:41:56.708387+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0745 | 0.0545 | 671.1409395973154 | $51.00 | $-15.15 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T20:26:40.151406+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T20:26:33.663310+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0745 | 0.0545 | 671.1409395973154 | $51.00 | $-15.15 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T20:11:07.329122+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T20:10:59.434194+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0745 | 0.0545 | 671.1409395973154 | $51.00 | $-15.15 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T19:55:18.535400+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T19:55:15.557156+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0760 | 0.0545 | 657.8947368421053 | $51.00 | $-15.86 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T19:40:03.874233+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T19:39:58.882842+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | YES | 0.0775 | 0.0545 | 645.1612903225806 | $51.00 | $-16.54 | closed | trailing_stop | 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6 | 2026-05-13T19:24:46.494937+00:00 |
| 2026-05-13T09:10:52.926915+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13? | YES | 0.7250 | 0.9550 | 68.96551724137932 | $51.00 | $+13.54 | closed | take_profit | 0x63bc683be9e516d3b16546b413cfa12af98c71510df65d96dfe078a86e7ef247 | 2026-05-12T21:46:02.048568+00:00 |
| 2026-05-12T18:43:30.065574+00:00 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | YES | 0.7550 | 0.4250 | 66.2251655629139 | $51.00 | $-23.42 | closed | trailing_stop | 0x4495596ef99ce27149438102ea678eaba0c46053ce37abda7140680cc84b13ad | 2026-05-12T06:59:21.955076+00:00 |
| 2026-05-12T06:59:20.250103+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | YES | 0.6350 | 0.7000 | 78.74015748031496 | $51.00 | $+3.02 | closed | time_stop | 0x20f68095c6f41a29bff62f003478a4bd2db09bc723b0f13bd0f4d367879e0c70 | 2026-05-10T20:39:55.447617+00:00 |
| 2026-05-11T03:18:52.372598+00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | YES | 0.7600 | 0.9985 | 65.78947368421052 | $51.00 | $+13.38 | closed | take_profit | 0xfcf8705065711b7781de49a5effc37ec6b30e7f75e3e273036a69dc5d12bb4d4 | 2026-05-10T18:52:59.731889+00:00 |
| 2026-05-10T15:05:46.479897+00:00 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | YES | 0.1150 | 0.1850 | 434.78260869565213 | $51.00 | $+27.83 | closed | take_profit | 0x6bf3aa7d5186804e967e1e4737c896778f688e6dafdd0a1b659a4a07bf27d663 | 2026-05-08T17:45:32.734710+00:00 |
| 2026-05-07T02:21:59.639389+00:00 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | YES | 0.7425 | 0.7650 | 67.34006734006735 | $50.50 | $+0.50 | closed | time_stop | 0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9 | 2026-05-06T02:19:52.187521+00:00 |
| 2026-05-06T10:41:03.196003+00:00 | Will Solana reach $100 in May? | YES | 0.2925 | 0.3850 | 170.94017094017096 | $50.50 | $+14.65 | closed | take_profit | 0x49fb406f7455392f2a4b502e6eeafabb37ac6d97a01a2d641157c1fb0e446c8a | 2026-05-06T04:06:40.740663+00:00 |
Recent Scan Log (50 shown)
| scanned_at | market_title | decision | reason | yes_price | market_id | rolling_max | drop_pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17T14:42:02.153537+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0505 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.5% |
| 2026-05-17T11:56:57.532069+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1230 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T11:41:56.972999+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1230 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T11:26:56.575387+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0004) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T11:11:56.265545+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0005) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T10:56:56.000584+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1655 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T10:56:55.804355+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0005) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T10:41:55.395953+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0184) | 0.1800 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T10:41:55.373928+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0005) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T10:26:54.690139+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1415 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.3% |
| 2026-05-17T10:26:54.594609+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1230 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T10:11:54.116578+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3365 | 0xea6aa008508129edb1ab7f824adbebac52814ef22355d1c03cf0658cba8c382f | 0.3955 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T10:11:53.997212+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1635 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T10:11:53.829075+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0005) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T09:56:53.575018+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0350) | 0.3670 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T09:56:53.555542+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3295 | 0xea6aa008508129edb1ab7f824adbebac52814ef22355d1c03cf0658cba8c382f | 0.3955 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:56:53.457781+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1635 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:56:53.354147+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0006) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T09:41:53.013195+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0345) | 0.3745 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T09:41:52.994825+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3295 | 0xea6aa008508129edb1ab7f824adbebac52814ef22355d1c03cf0658cba8c382f | 0.3955 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:41:52.884909+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1645 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.206 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:41:52.773016+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0006) | 0.1235 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.124 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T09:26:51.951629+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0343) | 0.3775 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T09:26:51.416498+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3190 | 0xea6aa008508129edb1ab7f824adbebac52814ef22355d1c03cf0658cba8c382f | 0.3955 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:11:49.646642+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3375 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17T09:11:49.553507+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0265) | 0.3670 | 0xea6aa008508129edb1ab7f824adbebac52814ef22355d1c03cf0658cba8c382f | 0.3955 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T09:11:49.535129+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1390 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T09:11:49.516953+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0705 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.3% |
| 2026-05-17T08:56:49.135085+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.3405 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T08:56:49.046670+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1365 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:56:49.028104+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0715 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.3% |
| 2026-05-17T08:41:48.693116+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0293) | 0.3795 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T08:41:48.679143+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1395 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:41:48.288939+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0715 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.3% |
| 2026-05-17T08:41:47.443373+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1205 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.123 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:26:46.609937+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0285) | 0.3925 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.4005 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:26:46.593373+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1475 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:26:46.576003+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0555 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.4% |
| 2026-05-17T08:26:46.469528+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1210 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.123 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:11:46.034657+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1580 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T08:11:46.008569+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0525 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.5% |
| 2026-05-17T08:11:45.914606+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1205 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.123 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T07:56:45.549070+00:00 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0615 | 0x298b97746b0a6a41d51dda6600f61fedbf3ab6eadb6f5feb68c5701869620dc0 | 0.0685 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T07:56:45.428334+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | drop_below_1.5xatr(0.0265) | 0.3795 | 0xf2c0bdca906b9a4e313436db96fb7b18c57101eeaf9c63c8654a409492064745 | 0.3855 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T07:56:45.413689+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1765 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T07:56:45.395072+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0565 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.4% |
| 2026-05-17T07:56:45.292783+00:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.1205 | 0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46 | 0.123 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T07:41:44.850516+00:00 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0615 | 0x298b97746b0a6a41d51dda6600f61fedbf3ab6eadb6f5feb68c5701869620dc0 | 0.0685 | 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17T07:41:44.748752+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | atr_history_too_short | 0.1955 | 0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655 | 0.1995 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-17T07:41:44.729022+00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | skip | no_elite_confirmation | 0.0545 | 0x5d01d7c91999ac53ec34f1054aa1130b100c54378a50703563af9b5e58e2d9ad | 0.0985 | 0.4% |