← Back

QuantumState

0xe2bfd02d9977bb53e5b9abf6e70b49264d0f75b5

⚠️ SUSPECT   auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $73,030 · Topical: $63,431 (87%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 3 · Largest: $7,608 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 15:40 · Last seen 07-10 19:11

Auto-Evaluation (05-24 15:40)

Total recent trades128 Distinct markets33
Total buys$73,030 Largest single buy$7,608
Topical (war/politics)$63,431 Topical share87%
Big buys (≥$5k)3 Fingerprintpure_war_specialist

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-10 19:11 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.790 $158 open
07-10 18:56 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.550 $220 open
07-10 13:40 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NO @ $0.850 $667 historical
07-10 10:54 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? NO @ $0.180 $20 open
07-10 09:11 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? NO @ $0.146 $23 open
07-09 09:19 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.800 $209 open
07-08 18:17 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NO @ $0.780 $100 open
07-08 15:35 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.693 $100 open
07-08 14:53 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.745 $300 open
07-08 13:45 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.720 $392 open
07-08 12:16 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NO @ $0.750 $126 open
07-08 12:16 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NO @ $0.790 $300 open
07-07 22:04 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? YES @ $0.015 $10 open
07-07 21:18 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? YES @ $0.090 $10 open
07-07 21:18 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? YES @ $0.085 $10 open
07-03 10:19 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? YES @ $0.050 $10 open
07-03 10:19 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? YES @ $0.050 $5 open
07-03 08:15 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? YES @ $0.090 $44 historical
07-02 10:40 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NO @ $0.930 $1,330 open
06-30 14:58 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.920 $99 open
06-30 10:59 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.957 $976 open
06-30 10:38 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.924 $600 open
06-30 10:18 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.811 $149 open
06-30 06:02 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.640 $50 open
06-30 05:57 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.634 $100 open
06-30 05:57 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? NO @ $0.640 $50 open
06-29 16:53 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? YES @ $0.550 $100 open
06-29 11:48 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? YES @ $0.280 $50 open
06-27 10:18 Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? NO @ $0.239 $30 open
06-20 14:13 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? YES @ $0.793 $140 open
06-20 14:08 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? YES @ $0.790 $16 open
06-20 13:47 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? YES @ $0.867 $740 open
06-20 13:15 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? YES @ $0.389 $4 open
06-18 19:36 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? YES @ $0.550 $50 open
06-17 13:48 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? YES @ $0.051 $50 open
06-15 17:02 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? YES @ $0.228 $100 open
06-15 14:43 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.729 $1,000 open
06-14 23:38 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? YES @ $0.690 $100 historical
06-14 22:12 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.241 $200 open
06-14 21:34 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? NO @ $0.720 $200 historical

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-10 19:11 NO @ $0.790 $158 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? -0.5%
$0.785
+0.5%
$0.795
-0.5%
$0.785
07-10 18:56 YES @ $0.550 $220 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? +2.5%
$0.575
+1.0%
$0.560
+2.5%
$0.575
07-10 13:40 NO @ $0.850 $667 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? +1.5%
$0.865
+1.5%
$0.865
+2.5%
$0.875
07-10 10:54 NO @ $0.180 $20 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? -16.5%
$0.015
-17.9%
$0.001
07-10 09:11 NO @ $0.146 $23 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? +1.9%
$0.165
+2.4%
$0.170
-12.5%
$0.021
07-09 09:19 NO @ $0.800 $209 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? -1.0%
$0.790
0.0%
$0.800
-3.5%
$0.765
+2.5%
$0.825
07-08 18:17 NO @ $0.780 $100 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? +0.5%
$0.785
+0.5%
$0.785
-1.0%
$0.770
+5.5%
$0.835
07-08 15:35 NO @ $0.693 $100 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? +2.2%
$0.715
+2.2%
$0.715
+7.2%
$0.765
+4.2%
$0.735
07-08 14:53 NO @ $0.745 $300 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? -6.0%
$0.685
-4.0%
$0.705
+2.0%
$0.765
+0.0%
$0.745
07-08 13:45 NO @ $0.720 $392 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? -3.5%
$0.685
+1.5%
$0.735
+4.5%
$0.765
+2.5%
$0.745
07-08 12:16 NO @ $0.750 $126 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? +2.5%
$0.775
+1.5%
$0.765
+1.0%
$0.760
+8.5%
$0.835
07-08 12:16 NO @ $0.790 $300 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? -1.5%
$0.775
-2.5%
$0.765
-3.0%
$0.760
+4.5%
$0.835
07-07 22:04 YES @ $0.015 $10 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? -0.3%
$0.011
-0.5%
$0.011
-1.1%
$0.004
07-07 21:18 YES @ $0.090 $10 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? -1.3%
$0.077
+0.2%
$0.092
+1.6%
$0.106
+12.8%
$0.218
07-07 21:18 YES @ $0.085 $10 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? -0.8%
$0.077
+0.7%
$0.092
+2.1%
$0.106
+13.3%
$0.218
07-03 10:19 YES @ $0.050 $10 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? +1.5%
$0.065
+1.5%
$0.065
-0.5%
$0.045
-1.0%
$0.040
07-03 10:19 YES @ $0.050 $5 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? +1.5%
$0.065
+1.5%
$0.065
-0.5%
$0.045
-1.0%
$0.040
07-03 08:15 YES @ $0.090 $44 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? +36.5%
$0.455
+36.5%
$0.455
-4.5%
$0.045
-4.5%
$0.045
07-02 10:40 NO @ $0.930 $1,330 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? -0.5%
$0.925
-0.5%
$0.925
+5.0%
$0.980
+5.0%
$0.980
06-30 14:58 NO @ $0.920 $99 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +2.0%
$0.941
+2.1%
$0.941
+7.8%
$0.998
+7.8%
$0.998
06-30 10:59 NO @ $0.957 $976 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -0.8%
$0.949
-0.6%
$0.952
+4.0%
$0.998
+4.0%
$0.998
06-30 10:38 NO @ $0.924 $600 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +0.8%
$0.932
+2.1%
$0.945
+7.4%
$0.998
+7.4%
$0.998
06-30 10:18 NO @ $0.811 $149 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +13.9%
$0.951
+13.8%
$0.949
+18.6%
$0.998
+18.6%
$0.998
06-30 06:02 NO @ $0.640 $50 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.2%
$0.617
-8.9%
$0.551
+35.8%
$0.998
+35.8%
$0.998
06-30 05:57 NO @ $0.634 $100 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -0.9%
$0.625
-11.4%
$0.520
+36.4%
$0.998
+36.4%
$0.998
06-30 05:57 NO @ $0.640 $50 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.3%
$0.617
-8.9%
$0.551
+35.8%
$0.998
+35.8%
$0.998
06-29 16:53 YES @ $0.550 $100 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? -2.5%
$0.525
-10.5%
$0.445
-53.0%
$0.021
-53.0%
$0.021
06-29 11:48 YES @ $0.280 $50 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? +41.0%
$0.690
+32.5%
$0.605
-27.9%
$0.002
-27.9%
$0.002
06-27 10:18 NO @ $0.239 $30 Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? +4.6%
$0.285
+10.6%
$0.345
06-20 14:13 YES @ $0.793 $140 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? +3.2%
$0.825
+10.2%
$0.894
06-20 14:08 YES @ $0.790 $16 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? +3.5%
$0.825
+10.4%
$0.894
06-20 13:47 YES @ $0.867 $740 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? +6.2%
$0.928
+1.1%
$0.878
06-20 13:15 YES @ $0.389 $4 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? +27.4%
$0.663
+45.0%
$0.839
06-18 19:36 YES @ $0.550 $50 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? +7.5%
$0.625
+44.9%
$0.999
06-17 13:48 YES @ $0.051 $50 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? +4.5%
$0.097
+0.9%
$0.060
06-15 17:02 YES @ $0.228 $100 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? -0.0%
$0.228
-1.8%
$0.210
+0.4%
$0.233
-20.4%
$0.025
06-15 14:43 YES @ $0.729 $1,000 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? +11.1%
$0.840
+12.1%
$0.850
+26.7%
$0.997

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
06-04 05:46 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? NO @ $0.450 $33 $-6.29 closed_loss