0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $1,024,224 · Topical: $870,810 (85%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 49 · Largest: $55,942 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 06-04 02:33 · Last seen 07-08 22:28
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 111 |
| Total buys | $1,024,224 | Largest single buy | $55,942 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $870,810 | Topical share | 85% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 49 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 22:28 | NO @ $0.977 | $977 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | -1.0% $0.967 | -1.0% $0.967 | -1.0% $0.967 | -1.0% $0.967 |
| 07-08 22:12 | NO @ $0.760 | $3,800 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +1.5% $0.775 | +1.5% $0.775 | +5.5% $0.815 | +7.5% $0.835 |
| 07-07 01:46 | NO @ $0.940 | $9,400 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 |
| 07-07 01:46 | NO @ $0.940 | $146 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 |
| 07-07 01:46 | NO @ $0.940 | $351 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 | -0.5% $0.935 |
| 07-05 14:51 | NO @ $0.770 | $11,550 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 |
| 07-05 06:22 | NO @ $0.952 | $175 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | +0.1% $0.953 | +0.1% $0.953 | +0.3% $0.956 | +0.3% $0.956 |
| 07-05 06:07 | NO @ $0.952 | $2,276 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | +0.1% $0.953 | +0.1% $0.953 | +0.2% $0.955 | +0.3% $0.956 |
| 07-05 01:10 | NO @ $0.930 | $9,300 | Trump out as President before 2027? | -0.5% $0.925 | -0.5% $0.925 | -0.5% $0.925 | +0.5% $0.935 |
| 07-05 00:44 | NO @ $0.550 | $11,000 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.545 | -0.5% $0.545 | -0.5% $0.545 | -0.5% $0.545 |
| 07-04 01:45 | YES @ $0.630 | $714 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +0.5% $0.635 | +0.5% $0.635 | +0.5% $0.635 | +2.5% $0.655 |
| 07-03 23:36 | YES @ $0.013 | $39 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.9% $0.021 | +1.1% $0.024 | +0.5% $0.018 | +3.5% $0.048 |
| 07-03 22:13 | NO @ $0.889 | $447 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +1.9% $0.908 | +5.8% $0.947 | +11.1% $1.000 | +10.9% $0.999 |
| 06-30 11:04 | NO @ $0.931 | $3,413 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +1.4% $0.945 | +2.2% $0.954 | +6.7% $0.998 | +6.7% $0.998 |
| 06-30 10:07 | NO @ $0.755 | $12,012 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +14.1% $0.895 | +19.5% $0.950 | +24.3% $0.998 | +24.3% $0.998 |
| 06-29 09:33 | NO @ $0.770 | $3,850 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 |
| 06-29 09:28 | NO @ $0.965 | $8,454 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.1% $0.967 | +0.2% $0.967 | +1.9% $0.984 | +1.9% $0.984 |
| 06-28 12:52 | YES @ $0.950 | $4,750 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | +1.0% $0.960 | +3.0% $0.980 | — | — |
| 06-26 18:28 | NO @ $0.965 | $3,860 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.8% $0.958 | -0.2% $0.963 | — | — |
| 06-26 18:22 | NO @ $0.958 | $1,795 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.3% $0.962 | +0.8% $0.966 | — | — |
| 06-26 18:22 | NO @ $0.960 | $1,482 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.1% $0.962 | +0.6% $0.966 | — | — |
| 06-26 18:01 | NO @ $0.947 | $443 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.8% $0.965 | +1.1% $0.958 | — | — |
| 06-26 17:04 | NO @ $0.854 | $739 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.9% $0.846 | +11.4% $0.969 | — | — |
| 06-24 14:28 | NO @ $0.969 | $969 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 0.0% $0.969 | 0.0% $0.969 | +2.2% $0.992 | +2.2% $0.992 |
| 06-24 03:59 | YES @ $0.013 | $65 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.1% $0.013 | -0.1% $0.013 | -0.7% $0.006 | -0.7% $0.006 |
| 06-23 16:16 | NO @ $0.972 | $972 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -0.1% $0.971 | -0.1% $0.971 | +1.9% $0.992 | +1.9% $0.992 |
| 06-23 04:16 | NO @ $0.969 | $5 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -0.1% $0.969 | -0.1% $0.969 | +2.2% $0.992 | +2.2% $0.992 |
| 06-22 03:11 | NO @ $0.964 | $964 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -0.1% $0.964 | -0.1% $0.964 | +3.0% $0.995 | +3.0% $0.995 |
| 06-22 02:40 | NO @ $0.840 | $840 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | +4.0% $0.880 | +4.0% $0.880 | — | — |
| 06-21 16:43 | NO @ $0.976 | $3,091 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | +0.1% $0.977 | +0.2% $0.979 | +1.7% $0.993 | +1.7% $0.993 |
| 06-21 14:36 | NO @ $0.972 | $2,284 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | -0.1% $0.971 | -0.4% $0.968 | +1.8% $0.990 | +1.8% $0.990 |
| 06-20 21:09 | NO @ $0.981 | $820 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | +0.1% $0.983 | -0.1% $0.980 | +0.4% $0.985 | +0.4% $0.985 |
| 06-20 16:03 | NO @ $0.993 | $10,491 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | -0.4% $0.989 | -0.4% $0.989 | -0.6% $0.987 | -0.6% $0.987 |
| 06-20 11:03 | NO @ $0.991 | $2,062 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | +0.1% $0.992 | +0.1% $0.992 | -0.8% $0.983 | -0.8% $0.983 |
| 06-20 10:53 | NO @ $0.986 | $1,991 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | -0.4% $0.982 | -0.4% $0.982 | +0.2% $0.989 | +0.2% $0.989 |
| 06-20 10:53 | NO @ $0.981 | $317 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | +0.9% $0.991 | +1.1% $0.992 | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 05:17 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.785 | $36 | $+0.45 | closed_time |
| 06-12 04:11 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.340 | $33 | $-6.36 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 18:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.810 | $31 | $+0.57 | closed_win |