0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $190,972 · Topical: $91,154 (48%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 6 · Largest: $29,670 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 16:27 · Last seen 07-06 00:45
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 79 |
| Total buys | $190,972 | Largest single buy | $29,670 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $91,154 | Topical share | 48% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 6 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 00:45 | NO @ $0.880 | $586 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 |
| 06-26 23:31 | YES @ $0.291 | $32 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | -29.0% $0.002 | -29.1% $0.001 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:31 | YES @ $0.448 | $982 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | -44.6% $0.002 | -44.8% $0.001 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:31 | NO @ $0.883 | $879 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | +11.6% $0.999 | +11.7% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:10 | NO @ $0.879 | $28 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | +8.2% $0.961 | +12.0% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:10 | NO @ $0.878 | $339 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | +8.3% $0.961 | +12.1% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-26 21:46 | NO @ $0.925 | $92 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | -0.5% $0.920 | -2.6% $0.899 | — | — |
| 06-19 21:06 | YES @ $0.190 | $38 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -14.5% $0.045 | -14.5% $0.045 | -17.6% $0.014 | -17.6% $0.014 |
| 06-19 18:32 | NO @ $0.570 | $285 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -2.0% $0.550 | +13.5% $0.705 | +41.6% $0.986 | +41.6% $0.986 |
| 06-19 17:54 | NO @ $0.580 | $175 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -3.5% $0.545 | -3.5% $0.545 | +40.6% $0.987 | +40.6% $0.987 |
| 06-19 01:16 | NO @ $0.350 | $19 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +5.0% $0.400 | -3.0% $0.320 | +63.7% $0.987 | +63.7% $0.987 |
| 06-18 23:57 | NO @ $0.400 | $6 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -8.0% $0.320 | -15.5% $0.245 | +58.7% $0.987 | +58.7% $0.987 |
| 06-18 21:54 | NO @ $0.350 | $91 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +2.5% $0.375 | +3.5% $0.385 | +63.9% $0.989 | +63.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 20:56 | NO @ $0.380 | $272 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +0.5% $0.385 | -2.5% $0.355 | +60.9% $0.989 | +60.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 20:45 | NO @ $0.370 | $46 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +0.5% $0.375 | +6.0% $0.430 | +61.9% $0.989 | +61.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 20:40 | NO @ $0.380 | $6 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -1.0% $0.370 | +4.0% $0.420 | +60.9% $0.989 | +60.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 20:08 | YES @ $0.450 | $1,350 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +14.5% $0.595 | +18.0% $0.630 | -43.8% $0.012 | -43.8% $0.012 |
| 06-18 19:09 | NO @ $0.390 | $6 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | +5.5% $0.445 | -38.4% $0.006 | — | — |
| 06-18 18:42 | NO @ $0.350 | $489 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | +5.5% $0.405 | +6.5% $0.415 | — | — |
| 06-18 18:32 | NO @ $0.390 | $84 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +11.5% $0.505 | +25.5% $0.645 | +59.8% $0.988 | +59.8% $0.988 |
| 06-18 02:52 | NO @ $0.217 | $22 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -3.2% $0.185 | -3.2% $0.185 | — | — |
| 06-17 21:36 | NO @ $0.070 | $54 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +3.4% $0.104 | -6.8% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:33 | NO @ $0.475 | $34 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -4.5% $0.430 | +9.9% $0.575 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:22 | NO @ $0.376 | $57 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | -11.6% $0.260 | -22.6% $0.150 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:16 | NO @ $0.885 | $231 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +3.1% $0.916 | +3.1% $0.916 | +10.6% $0.991 | +10.6% $0.991 |
| 06-17 18:34 | NO @ $0.330 | $35 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -7.5% $0.255 | +11.5% $0.445 | — | — |
| 06-17 16:56 | NO @ $0.350 | $6 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | -10.5% $0.245 | -12.5% $0.225 | — | — |
| 06-17 16:46 | NO @ $0.123 | $71 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +20.2% $0.325 | +7.7% $0.200 | — | — |
| 06-17 16:46 | NO @ $0.142 | $7 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +18.3% $0.325 | +5.8% $0.200 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:52 | YES @ $0.556 | $32 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +25.9% $0.815 | +33.4% $0.890 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:46 | YES @ $0.660 | $66 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +17.0% $0.830 | +23.0% $0.890 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:36 | YES @ $0.470 | $24 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +19.5% $0.665 | +43.0% $0.900 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:14 | NO @ $0.534 | $7 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +1.1% $0.545 | -36.4% $0.170 | — | — |
| 06-15 17:45 | NO @ $0.793 | $53 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -1.8% $0.775 | +8.1% $0.874 | +9.0% $0.883 | +18.3% $0.977 |
| 06-15 17:18 | NO @ $0.782 | $26 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -2.5% $0.758 | -0.7% $0.775 | +9.9% $0.881 | +19.4% $0.977 |
| 06-15 17:18 | NO @ $0.790 | $479 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -3.2% $0.758 | -1.4% $0.775 | +9.2% $0.881 | +18.7% $0.977 |
| 06-15 15:53 | YES @ $0.974 | $231 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | +2.1% $0.996 | +2.2% $0.997 | +2.5% $0.999 | — |
| 06-15 15:53 | YES @ $0.976 | $488 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | +1.9% $0.996 | +2.0% $0.997 | +2.2% $0.999 | — |
| 06-15 15:47 | YES @ $0.965 | $495 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | +2.2% $0.987 | +3.1% $0.997 | +3.4% $0.999 | — |
| 06-15 15:47 | YES @ $0.976 | $976 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | +1.1% $0.987 | +2.0% $0.997 | +2.2% $0.999 | — |
| 06-15 15:47 | YES @ $0.974 | $1,671 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | +2.2% $0.996 | +2.3% $0.997 | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 18:11 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.420 | $33 | $-7.53 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 14:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.740 | $36 | $+4.08 | closed_win |
| 06-03 23:41 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.500 | $33 | $-5.66 | closed_loss |
| 06-02 23:28 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | NO @ $0.750 | $36 | $+5.33 | closed_win |
| 06-02 17:06 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.410 | $33 | $+3.65 | closed_win |
| 06-01 18:33 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.789 | $36 | $-6.26 | closed_loss |
| 06-01 16:18 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.538 | $33 | $-1.76 | closed_loss |
| 05-28 16:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | YES @ $0.240 | $40 | $-3.33 | closed_loss |
| 05-25 22:19 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.206 | $40 | $-3.05 | closed_loss |
| 05-24 19:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES @ $0.400 | $40 | $-3.50 | closed_loss |
| 05-24 18:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.500 | $40 | $-2.80 | closed_loss |
| 05-24 16:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES @ $0.457 | $40 | $-2.80 | closed_loss |