0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $652,852 · Topical: $414,098 (63%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 40 · Largest: $23,997 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-21 18:57 · Last seen 07-01 11:02
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 113 |
| Total buys | $652,852 | Largest single buy | $23,997 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $414,098 | Topical share | 63% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 40 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 11:02 | NO @ $0.860 | $3,154 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.865 | +0.5% $0.865 | +3.5% $0.895 | +3.5% $0.895 |
| 06-22 15:46 | NO @ $0.750 | $1,500 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.745 | -0.5% $0.745 | +0.5% $0.755 | +0.5% $0.755 |
| 06-18 09:10 | YES @ $0.550 | $559 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% $0.550 | 0.0% $0.550 | +9.5% $0.645 | +9.5% $0.645 |
| 06-15 02:07 | YES @ $0.184 | $2,046 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.7% $0.177 | +1.3% $0.197 | +1.9% $0.203 | -15.1% $0.034 |
| 06-14 15:48 | YES @ $0.098 | $1,202 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.103 | +9.0% $0.189 | +3.0% $0.129 | +83.9% $0.937 |
| 06-11 17:16 | YES @ $0.046 | $160 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +7.7% $0.123 | +11.3% $0.159 | +7.9% $0.125 | +8.7% $0.133 |
| 06-11 17:16 | YES @ $0.050 | $1,292 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +7.3% $0.123 | +10.9% $0.159 | +7.5% $0.125 | +8.3% $0.133 |
| 06-11 17:11 | YES @ $0.212 | $6,908 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +12.3% $0.335 | +13.8% $0.350 | +21.3% $0.425 | +30.8% $0.520 |
| 06-10 23:45 | YES @ $0.042 | $2,649 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.039 | -0.3% $0.038 | -1.0% $0.032 | +9.3% $0.135 |
| 06-05 09:50 | YES @ $0.120 | $1,200 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.115 | -0.5% $0.115 | -0.5% $0.115 | -7.5% $0.045 |
| 06-04 22:19 | YES @ $0.130 | $360 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.135 | -8.5% $0.045 |
| 06-03 21:59 | YES @ $0.140 | $32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.135 | -0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.145 | -9.5% $0.045 |
| 06-03 21:53 | YES @ $0.140 | $233 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.135 | -0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.145 | -9.5% $0.045 |
| 06-01 22:22 | YES @ $0.170 | $3,153 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.165 | -1.5% $0.155 | -1.5% $0.155 | — |
| 06-01 08:17 | NO @ $0.290 | $3,207 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.295 | +0.5% $0.295 | +0.5% $0.295 | -0.5% $0.285 |
| 05-31 12:56 | YES @ $0.190 | $2,050 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.195 | +0.5% $0.195 | -0.5% $0.185 | -8.5% $0.105 |
| 05-31 09:03 | YES @ $0.180 | $426 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.185 | +0.5% $0.185 | +0.5% $0.185 | -7.5% $0.105 |
| 05-28 08:21 | YES @ $0.290 | $248 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.295 | +0.5% $0.295 | +0.5% $0.295 | -16.5% $0.125 |
| 05-27 15:47 | YES @ $0.210 | $21,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.215 | -4.5% $0.165 | -6.5% $0.145 | — |
| 05-27 15:42 | YES @ $0.360 | $1,266 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -1.5% $0.345 | -4.0% $0.320 | -8.5% $0.275 | -31.5% $0.045 |
| 05-27 15:36 | YES @ $0.414 | $4,662 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +2.1% $0.435 | -2.9% $0.385 | -4.9% $0.365 | -26.9% $0.145 |
| 05-27 07:06 | YES @ $0.230 | $14,844 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.235 | -1.5% $0.215 | -1.5% $0.215 | — |
| 05-25 20:24 | YES @ $0.210 | $454 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | -0.5% $0.205 | -4.5% $0.165 | -4.5% $0.165 | — |
| 05-24 15:35 | YES @ $0.536 | $5,815 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | -1.1% $0.525 | -3.6% $0.500 | -15.1% $0.385 | -9.1% $0.445 |
| 05-24 10:42 | YES @ $0.292 | $9,734 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +0.3% $0.295 | +4.8% $0.340 | -10.7% $0.185 | -20.7% $0.085 |
| 05-24 10:32 | YES @ $0.270 | $660 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +3.5% $0.305 | 0.0% $0.270 | -3.5% $0.235 | -18.5% $0.085 |
| 05-24 10:06 | YES @ $0.330 | $2,571 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.355 | +4.5% $0.375 | +16.5% $0.495 | -6.5% $0.265 |
| 05-23 12:01 | NO @ $0.800 | $213 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.805 | +0.5% $0.805 | -12.5% $0.675 | -45.5% $0.345 |
| 05-23 11:54 | NO @ $0.800 | $213 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.805 | +0.5% $0.805 | -12.5% $0.675 | -45.5% $0.345 |
| 05-23 02:22 | NO @ $0.371 | $396 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +10.4% $0.475 | +10.4% $0.475 | +10.4% $0.475 | +14.4% $0.515 |
| 05-23 02:22 | NO @ $0.440 | $6,877 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +3.5% $0.475 | +3.5% $0.475 | +3.5% $0.475 | -26.0% $0.180 |
| 05-22 23:51 | NO @ $0.995 | $1,194 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | -0.1% $0.995 | -0.1% $0.994 | +0.1% $0.997 | — |
| 05-22 23:51 | YES @ $0.120 | $2,400 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.125 | +1.5% $0.135 | +2.5% $0.145 | +54.5% $0.665 |
| 05-22 23:51 | YES @ $0.120 | $369 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.125 | +1.5% $0.135 | +2.5% $0.145 | +54.5% $0.665 |
| 05-22 23:47 | YES @ $0.120 | $2,400 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 08:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES @ $0.290 | $40 | $+6.21 | closed_win |
| 05-22 22:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.340 | $11 | $-0.84 | closed_loss |