0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $420,292 · Topical: $52,283 (12%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 17 · Largest: $114,040 · Fingerprint: big_buyer_diverse (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 04:02 · Last seen 07-08 23:20
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 118 |
| Total buys | $420,292 | Largest single buy | $114,040 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $52,283 | Topical share | 12% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 17 | Fingerprint | big_buyer_diverse |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 23:20 | NO @ $0.990 | $4,745 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -0.2% $0.988 | -0.1% $0.989 | +0.1% $0.991 | +0.8% $0.998 |
| 07-08 05:46 | NO @ $0.850 | $169,946 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | +2.5% $0.875 | +2.5% $0.875 | +3.5% $0.885 | +5.5% $0.905 |
| 07-08 00:09 | NO @ $0.985 | $4,210 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -0.2% $0.982 | -0.2% $0.982 | +0.2% $0.987 | +0.3% $0.988 |
| 07-01 18:29 | NO @ $0.980 | $734 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.1% $0.980 | -0.1% $0.980 | +0.6% $0.986 | +0.6% $0.986 |
| 07-01 04:01 | NO @ $0.979 | $8,257 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -1.2% $0.967 | -1.4% $0.965 | +1.9% $0.998 | +1.9% $0.998 |
| 07-01 00:49 | NO @ $0.948 | $1,253 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -1.6% $0.932 | -0.3% $0.946 | +4.9% $0.998 | +4.9% $0.998 |
| 06-28 21:14 | YES @ $0.411 | $642 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -2.1% $0.390 | -6.6% $0.345 | -39.0% $0.021 | -39.0% $0.021 |
| 06-28 21:14 | YES @ $0.319 | $485 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -3.9% $0.280 | -10.4% $0.215 | -31.8% $0.002 | -31.8% $0.002 |
| 06-28 21:09 | YES @ $0.436 | $596 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +2.4% $0.460 | -1.6% $0.420 | -16.6% $0.270 | -16.6% $0.270 |
| 06-27 09:52 | YES @ $0.576 | $345 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +18.4% $0.760 | +14.4% $0.720 | — | — |
| 06-24 16:19 | NO @ $0.987 | $2,083 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? | -1.2% $0.975 | -1.2% $0.975 | — | — |
| 06-23 11:32 | NO @ $0.850 | $896 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | +1.5% $0.865 | +1.5% $0.865 | +3.5% $0.885 | +3.5% $0.885 |
| 06-22 03:32 | NO @ $0.920 | $4,697 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.945 | +2.5% $0.945 | +4.7% $0.967 | +4.7% $0.967 |
| 06-22 03:32 | NO @ $0.950 | $6,652 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | +1.6% $0.967 | +1.6% $0.967 |
| 06-20 19:29 | NO @ $0.976 | $6,032 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.4% $0.980 | +0.3% $0.979 | +1.5% $0.991 | +1.5% $0.991 |
| 06-19 21:28 | NO @ $0.950 | $16,270 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +0.5% $0.955 | +0.5% $0.955 | +3.5% $0.986 | +3.5% $0.986 |
| 06-19 10:02 | NO @ $0.904 | $8,501 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | +0.6% $0.910 | +0.6% $0.910 | +4.6% $0.950 | +4.6% $0.950 |
| 06-19 06:46 | NO @ $0.448 | $2,239 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -3.3% $0.415 | -1.8% $0.430 | +54.0% $0.988 | +54.0% $0.988 |
| 06-18 22:26 | NO @ $0.348 | $1,112 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +3.8% $0.385 | +4.9% $0.396 | — | — |
| 06-18 22:21 | NO @ $0.885 | $3,364 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | -0.5% $0.880 | -1.0% $0.875 | +4.0% $0.925 | +4.0% $0.925 |
| 06-18 20:02 | YES @ $0.730 | $130 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | +26.9% $0.999 | +26.9% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-18 18:48 | YES @ $0.104 | $681 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +0.8% $0.112 | -1.4% $0.090 | -7.4% $0.030 | -7.4% $0.030 |
| 06-18 00:07 | YES @ $0.850 | $1,556 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | +14.2% $0.992 | +14.6% $0.996 | — | — |
| 06-18 00:01 | YES @ $0.838 | $2,886 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | +15.1% $0.990 | +15.6% $0.994 | — | — |
| 06-18 00:01 | YES @ $0.878 | $3,477 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | +11.2% $0.990 | +11.6% $0.994 | — | — |
| 06-18 00:01 | YES @ $0.896 | $4,038 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | +9.4% $0.990 | +9.8% $0.994 | — | — |
| 06-17 22:19 | NO @ $0.770 | $2,537 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | -16.5% $0.605 | -18.5% $0.585 | — | — |
| 06-17 22:14 | YES @ $0.944 | $2,372 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +5.4% $0.998 | +5.4% $0.998 | — | — |
| 06-17 21:36 | NO @ $0.177 | $2,090 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +0.6% $0.183 | +7.2% $0.249 | — | — |
| 06-17 21:36 | NO @ $0.224 | $970 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | -4.1% $0.183 | +2.5% $0.249 | — | — |
| 06-17 17:13 | YES @ $0.698 | $340 | Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | +18.7% $0.885 | +16.7% $0.865 | — | — |
| 06-15 23:05 | NO @ $0.950 | $8,098 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | 0.0% $0.950 | 0.0% $0.950 | +0.2% $0.953 | +1.2% $0.962 |
| 06-15 07:37 | NO @ $0.962 | $7,696 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | -1.4% $0.949 | -1.4% $0.949 | -1.4% $0.949 | — |
| 06-15 02:50 | NO @ $0.959 | $15,971 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | -0.9% $0.950 | -1.4% $0.945 | +0.6% $0.965 | — |
| 06-14 18:54 | NO @ $0.243 | $647 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | +20.1% $0.444 | +46.5% $0.708 | +73.3% $0.976 | — |
| 06-10 06:46 | NO @ $0.960 | $38,400 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | +0.5% $0.965 |
| 06-10 04:48 | NO @ $0.890 | $2,272 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | -1.5% $0.875 | -1.5% $0.875 | -1.5% $0.875 | -7.5% $0.815 |
| 06-10 04:48 | NO @ $0.890 | $1,404 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.895 | +0.5% $0.895 | +0.5% $0.895 | +3.0% $0.920 |
| 06-05 23:55 | NO @ $0.910 | $23,576 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 04:48 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | NO @ $0.890 | $31 | $-1.73 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 04:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.890 | $31 | $+1.21 | closed_time |