0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $2,520,604 · Topical: $1,445,428 (57%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 76 · Largest: $249,750 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-25 23:01 · Last seen 07-08 01:33
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 83 |
| Total buys | $2,520,604 | Largest single buy | $249,750 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $1,445,428 | Topical share | 57% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 76 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 01:33 | NO @ $0.989 | $9,016 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | +0.6% $0.996 | +0.7% $0.996 | +0.9% $0.999 | — |
| 07-08 01:32 | NO @ $0.990 | $76,999 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | +0.6% $0.996 | +0.6% $0.996 | +0.8% $0.999 | — |
| 06-27 02:50 | NO @ $0.982 | $15,900 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | -0.6% $0.976 | -0.7% $0.976 | — | — |
| 06-27 02:50 | NO @ $0.973 | $27 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | +0.3% $0.976 | +0.2% $0.976 | — | — |
| 06-22 02:40 | YES @ $0.260 | $1 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | -14.0% $0.120 | -14.0% $0.120 | — | — |
| 06-20 23:00 | YES @ $0.947 | $10,522 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | -0.9% $0.938 | -0.9% $0.938 | — | — |
| 06-20 22:54 | YES @ $0.947 | $3,156 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | -1.0% $0.937 | -0.9% $0.938 | — | — |
| 06-20 22:54 | YES @ $0.947 | $5,261 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | -1.0% $0.937 | -0.9% $0.938 | — | — |
| 06-20 20:48 | YES @ $0.893 | $16,577 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +0.5% $0.898 | +4.7% $0.940 | — | — |
| 06-20 17:49 | NO @ $0.574 | $15 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | +5.1% $0.625 | +4.1% $0.615 | +13.1% $0.705 | +13.1% $0.705 |
| 06-20 13:31 | YES @ $0.534 | $841 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +20.3% $0.738 | +28.2% $0.816 | — | — |
| 06-19 21:22 | NO @ $0.940 | $634 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +1.5% $0.955 | +1.5% $0.955 | +4.5% $0.986 | +4.5% $0.986 |
| 06-17 23:40 | YES @ $0.998 | $2,670 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | +0.2% $1.000 | — | — | — |
| 06-17 22:41 | YES @ $0.960 | $1,029 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | -3.9% $0.921 | +3.5% $0.996 | — | — |
| 06-16 04:42 | YES @ $0.359 | $2,394 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +2.6% $0.385 | +3.6% $0.395 | -31.9% $0.041 | -31.9% $0.041 |
| 06-16 04:37 | YES @ $0.332 | $3,694 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +2.8% $0.360 | +6.3% $0.395 | -29.2% $0.041 | -29.2% $0.041 |
| 06-14 22:39 | YES @ $0.720 | $21,600 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +5.5% $0.774 | +6.8% $0.787 | +9.8% $0.819 | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.481 | $8,728 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +16.1% $0.641 | +28.3% $0.763 | +34.1% $0.822 | — |
| 06-14 21:08 | YES @ $0.275 | $1,018 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +28.0% $0.554 | +49.0% $0.764 | +57.1% $0.846 | — |
| 06-11 04:32 | YES @ $0.034 | $260 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.1% $0.035 | +0.4% $0.038 | +0.6% $0.040 | +8.0% $0.114 |
| 06-11 04:32 | YES @ $0.036 | $3,599 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.1% $0.037 | +0.2% $0.038 | +0.6% $0.042 | +7.8% $0.114 |
| 06-10 21:41 | YES @ $0.160 | $946 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.155 | -0.5% $0.155 | 0.0% $0.160 | +23.5% $0.395 |
| 06-10 17:48 | YES @ $0.038 | $8 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.1% $0.039 | +0.3% $0.042 | -0.9% $0.029 | +8.5% $0.123 |
| 06-10 15:00 | YES @ $0.184 | $2,927 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +0.1% $0.185 | +0.1% $0.185 | -0.9% $0.175 | +0.1% $0.185 |
| 06-05 16:47 | YES @ $0.120 | $4,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.5% $0.105 | -1.5% $0.105 | -0.5% $0.115 | -7.5% $0.045 |
| 06-05 04:14 | YES @ $0.024 | $786 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.0% $0.024 | -0.2% $0.021 | -0.3% $0.021 | — |
| 06-04 17:33 | YES @ $0.040 | $720 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +0.1% $0.041 | +0.1% $0.041 | -0.2% $0.037 | — |
| 06-04 17:33 | YES @ $0.041 | $905 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.0% $0.041 | -0.0% $0.041 | -0.3% $0.037 | — |
| 06-04 17:28 | YES @ $0.039 | $687 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +0.1% $0.041 | +0.1% $0.041 | -0.2% $0.037 | — |
| 06-03 23:03 | YES @ $0.598 | $4,652 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | -2.3% $0.575 | -11.3% $0.485 | +40.0% $0.999 | — |
| 06-03 23:03 | YES @ $0.523 | $714 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | +5.2% $0.575 | -3.8% $0.485 | +47.6% $0.999 | — |
| 06-03 20:22 | YES @ $0.285 | $11,616 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +2.0% $0.305 | +2.0% $0.305 | +2.0% $0.305 | -10.0% $0.185 |
| 06-03 20:22 | YES @ $0.039 | $124 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +0.8% $0.047 | +0.6% $0.045 | +0.9% $0.049 | — |
| 06-03 19:55 | YES @ $0.037 | $930 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +1.7% $0.054 | +1.1% $0.048 | +1.3% $0.050 | — |
| 06-03 06:18 | NO @ $0.975 | $86 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | +0.1% $0.976 | +0.1% $0.976 | -0.1% $0.975 | +1.1% $0.986 |
| 06-03 05:41 | YES @ $0.296 | $5,058 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +2.9% $0.325 | +2.9% $0.325 | +2.9% $0.325 | -11.1% $0.185 |
| 06-03 05:41 | YES @ $0.147 | $6,554 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.2% $0.135 | -1.2% $0.135 | -1.2% $0.135 | -10.2% $0.045 |
| 06-03 05:25 | NO @ $0.975 | $50,728 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | -0.1% $0.974 | -0.1% $0.974 | +0.1% $0.976 | +1.1% $0.986 |
| 06-03 04:47 | YES @ $0.140 | $4,667 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.145 | -0.5% $0.135 | — |
| 06-03 02:03 | YES @ $0.140 | $2,100 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 16:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | YES @ $0.257 | $40 | $-5.80 | closed_loss |