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zthunderfury

0xc682d7943aad07c246986a7aa2989cfcb17817bb

๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS   auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $464,056 ยท Topical: $203,566 (44%) ยท Big buys (โ‰ฅ$5k): 26 ยท Largest: $23,400 ยท Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown โ€” settled-trade calc pending) ยท Added 06-02 20:09 ยท Last seen 07-10 13:19

Auto-Evaluation (07-09 09:39)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets136
Total buys$464,056 Largest single buy$23,400
Topical (war/politics)$203,566 Topical share44%
Big buys (โ‰ฅ$5k)26 Fingerprinttopical_mixed

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-10 13:19 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NO @ $0.840 $856 open
07-09 09:39 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.840 $3,150 open
07-08 22:28 Iran leadership change by July 31? NO @ $0.977 $4,409 historical
07-08 22:28 Iran leadership change by July 31? NO @ $0.980 $98 historical
07-08 08:27 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $2 historical
07-05 08:25 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $40 open
07-03 19:27 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? NO @ $0.790 $395 open
07-02 17:58 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $4,450 open
07-02 16:55 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $1,780 open
07-01 17:16 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NO @ $0.910 $13,650 historical
07-01 10:10 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NO @ $0.860 $860 open
07-01 06:27 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NO @ $0.760 $76 open
06-29 10:15 Iran Nuke before 2027? NO @ $0.942 $232 historical
06-17 16:40 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? NO @ $0.100 $16 open
06-17 16:24 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? NO @ $0.120 $41 open
06-17 16:24 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? NO @ $0.190 $38 open
06-17 16:19 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.790 $34 open
06-17 16:19 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.810 $4 open
06-17 16:13 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? YES @ $0.820 $70 open
06-17 16:03 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.630 $3 open
06-15 17:13 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? YES @ $0.795 $190 open
06-15 00:57 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.231 $8 open
06-15 00:26 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.199 $1 open
06-14 11:29 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.788 $1,189 open
06-13 17:29 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.840 $8,400 open
06-13 14:56 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.840 $8,400 open
06-13 06:02 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.470 $658 open
06-11 11:40 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? NO @ $0.880 $26 historical
06-11 11:12 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.810 $4,678 open
06-11 11:02 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? NO @ $0.710 $119 open
06-10 17:10 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.700 $1,680 open
06-10 17:04 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? NO @ $0.800 $58 open
06-10 16:37 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? NO @ $0.800 $1,291 open
06-10 14:54 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? NO @ $0.780 $2,013 open
06-10 04:48 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.960 $9,600 historical
06-05 17:09 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $790 open
06-05 10:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.120 $360 open
06-04 12:38 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.840 $2,100 open
06-02 20:09 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? NO @ $0.950 $7,600 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) โ€” + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-10 13:19 NO @ $0.840 $856 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? 0.0%
$0.840
+0.5%
$0.845
-8.5%
$0.755
โ€”
07-09 09:39 NO @ $0.840 $3,150 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? -0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
07-08 22:28 NO @ $0.977 $4,409 Iran leadership change by July 31? -1.0%
$0.967
-1.0%
$0.967
-1.0%
$0.967
-1.0%
$0.967
07-08 22:28 NO @ $0.980 $98 Iran leadership change by July 31? -1.3%
$0.967
-1.3%
$0.967
-1.3%
$0.967
-1.3%
$0.967
07-08 08:27 YES @ $0.300 $2 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? -8.0%
$0.220
-8.0%
$0.220
-8.0%
$0.220
-8.0%
$0.220
07-05 08:25 NO @ $0.820 $40 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? +0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
07-03 19:27 NO @ $0.790 $395 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.785
-0.5%
$0.785
+0.5%
$0.795
+3.5%
$0.825
07-02 17:58 NO @ $0.890 $4,450 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.885
-0.5%
$0.885
+0.5%
$0.895
+0.5%
$0.895
07-02 16:55 NO @ $0.890 $1,780 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.885
-0.5%
$0.885
+0.5%
$0.895
+0.5%
$0.895
07-01 17:16 NO @ $0.910 $13,650 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? -0.5%
$0.905
-0.5%
$0.905
+2.5%
$0.935
+2.5%
$0.935
07-01 10:10 NO @ $0.860 $860 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.855
+0.5%
$0.865
+3.5%
$0.895
+3.5%
$0.895
07-01 06:27 NO @ $0.760 $76 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? -1.0%
$0.750
+1.0%
$0.770
+21.9%
$0.980
+21.9%
$0.980
06-29 10:15 NO @ $0.942 $232 Iran Nuke before 2027? -0.8%
$0.934
-0.8%
$0.934
-0.3%
$0.939
-0.3%
$0.939
06-17 16:40 NO @ $0.100 $16 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? +15.0%
$0.250
+4.5%
$0.145
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:24 NO @ $0.120 $41 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? -7.0%
$0.050
+8.0%
$0.200
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:24 NO @ $0.190 $38 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? +4.5%
$0.235
-2.5%
$0.165
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:19 YES @ $0.790 $34 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? +13.0%
$0.920
-11.5%
$0.675
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:19 YES @ $0.810 $4 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? +8.0%
$0.890
-13.5%
$0.675
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:13 YES @ $0.820 $70 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? +11.0%
$0.930
-11.5%
$0.705
โ€”โ€”
06-17 16:03 YES @ $0.630 $3 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? +18.0%
$0.810
-2.0%
$0.610
โ€”โ€”
06-15 17:13 YES @ $0.795 $190 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? +1.0%
$0.805
+3.5%
$0.830
-6.5%
$0.730
โ€”
06-15 00:57 YES @ $0.231 $8 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +0.6%
$0.236
-2.2%
$0.209
-2.5%
$0.205
-19.6%
$0.035
06-15 00:26 YES @ $0.199 $1 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +3.9%
$0.238
+0.8%
$0.207
+1.6%
$0.215
-16.4%
$0.035
06-14 11:29 NO @ $0.788 $1,189 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.4%
$0.792
+3.9%
$0.827
+10.4%
$0.891
-66.8%
$0.120
06-13 17:29 NO @ $0.840 $8,400 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? -0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
+0.5%
$0.845
06-13 14:56 NO @ $0.840 $8,400 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? -0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
-0.5%
$0.835
+0.5%
$0.845
06-13 06:02 NO @ $0.470 $658 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? -1.5%
$0.455
-1.5%
$0.455
-1.5%
$0.455
-8.5%
$0.385
06-11 11:40 NO @ $0.880 $26 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? +2.5%
$0.905
+2.5%
$0.905
+2.5%
$0.905
+2.5%
$0.905
06-11 11:12 NO @ $0.810 $4,678 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.0%
$0.810
-0.5%
$0.805
-6.5%
$0.745
+1.5%
$0.825
06-11 11:02 NO @ $0.710 $119 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? +1.5%
$0.725
+3.0%
$0.740
+6.5%
$0.775
-22.5%
$0.485
06-10 17:10 NO @ $0.700 $1,680 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.695
-0.5%
$0.695
-0.5%
$0.695
+1.5%
$0.715
06-10 17:04 NO @ $0.800 $58 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? -1.5%
$0.785
-0.5%
$0.795
-0.5%
$0.795
-0.5%
$0.795
06-10 16:37 NO @ $0.800 $1,291 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? -1.0%
$0.790
-1.5%
$0.785
-2.0%
$0.780
0.0%
$0.800
06-10 14:54 NO @ $0.780 $2,013 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? +1.5%
$0.795
+1.5%
$0.795
+0.5%
$0.785
-1.0%
$0.770
06-10 04:48 NO @ $0.960 $9,600 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -0.5%
$0.955
-0.5%
$0.955
-0.5%
$0.955
+0.1%
$0.961
06-05 17:09 NO @ $0.890 $790 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.885
-0.5%
$0.885
-0.5%
$0.885
+0.5%
$0.895

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
06-11 11:12 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO @ $0.810 $31 $-2.47 closed_loss
06-10 17:10 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.700 $33 $+0.71 closed_time
06-05 17:09 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $31 $+0.17 closed_time