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Erasmus.

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784

⚠️ SUSPECT   auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $2,491,661 · Topical: $1,762,238 (71%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 114 · Largest: $199,200 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-23 13:56 · Last seen 07-10 21:36

Auto-Evaluation (07-10 14:21)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets75
Total buys$2,491,661 Largest single buy$199,200
Topical (war/politics)$1,762,238 Topical share71%
Big buys (≥$5k)114 Fingerprinttopical_heavy

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-10 21:36 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? YES @ $0.090 $2,317 historical
07-10 14:21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? YES @ $0.130 $5,985 open
06-14 22:39 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.720 $7,200 open
06-14 22:39 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.720 $7,198 open
06-13 17:35 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.326 $2,323 open
06-13 17:08 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $340 open
06-12 15:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? YES @ $0.680 $1,393 open
06-12 15:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.450 $2,001 open
06-12 15:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.150 $879 open
06-12 02:23 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.139 $1,275 open
06-11 19:38 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.160 $1,444 open
06-11 19:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.153 $1,604 open
06-11 18:44 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.120 $1,151 open
06-11 18:27 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.420 $1,024 open
06-11 18:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.128 $2,301 open
06-11 18:16 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.420 $695 open
06-11 18:16 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.410 $735 open
06-11 18:16 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.420 $4,096 open
06-11 18:16 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? YES @ $0.740 $4,085 open
06-11 18:11 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.119 $417 open
06-11 17:55 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? YES @ $0.720 $1,566 open
06-11 17:55 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? YES @ $0.740 $1,991 open
06-11 17:49 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? YES @ $0.542 $2,228 open
06-11 17:49 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.409 $492 open
06-11 17:49 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.162 $2,330 open
06-03 20:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.140 $3,306 open
06-03 19:28 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.370 $1,037 open
06-03 19:23 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.130 $10,282 open
06-03 19:23 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.036 $1,696 open
06-03 14:47 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.036 $1,484 open
06-02 14:34 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.390 $1,067 open
06-02 14:34 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.140 $696 open
06-02 14:34 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.060 $100 open
06-01 17:01 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.060 $4,182 open
06-01 14:25 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.060 $1,584 open
05-30 18:23 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.023 $766 open
05-30 18:13 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? YES @ $0.129 $3,022 open
05-30 18:08 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $837 open
05-29 14:58 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.409 $10,327 open
05-28 14:19 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $16,347 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-10 21:36 YES @ $0.090 $2,317 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? +0.5%
$0.095
+0.5%
$0.095
+0.5%
$0.095
07-10 14:21 YES @ $0.130 $5,985 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.135
+0.5%
$0.135
+0.5%
$0.135
06-14 22:39 YES @ $0.720 $7,200 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +5.5%
$0.774
+6.8%
$0.787
+9.8%
$0.819
06-14 22:39 YES @ $0.720 $7,198 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +5.5%
$0.774
+6.8%
$0.787
+9.9%
$0.819
06-13 17:35 YES @ $0.326 $2,323 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -3.6%
$0.290
-3.0%
$0.296
-6.0%
$0.266
-11.2%
$0.213
06-13 17:08 YES @ $0.300 $340 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +5.1%
$0.351
-1.0%
$0.290
-3.8%
$0.262
-9.1%
$0.209
06-12 15:22 YES @ $0.680 $1,393 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? 0.0%
$0.680
-0.5%
$0.675
+5.5%
$0.735
+9.5%
$0.775
06-12 15:22 YES @ $0.450 $2,001 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.455
-0.5%
$0.445
+11.5%
$0.565
+18.5%
$0.635
06-12 15:22 YES @ $0.150 $879 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -0.7%
$0.143
-1.9%
$0.131
+4.8%
$0.198
+3.9%
$0.189
06-12 02:23 YES @ $0.139 $1,275 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.0%
$0.139
-0.3%
$0.136
-2.4%
$0.115
+2.6%
$0.165
06-11 19:38 YES @ $0.160 $1,444 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +1.3%
$0.172
+0.2%
$0.162
-2.6%
$0.134
+3.9%
$0.199
06-11 19:22 YES @ $0.153 $1,604 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.1%
$0.154
+1.9%
$0.172
-2.8%
$0.126
+4.4%
$0.198
06-11 18:44 YES @ $0.120 $1,151 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.3%
$0.122
+2.0%
$0.140
+0.8%
$0.128
+5.7%
$0.177
06-11 18:27 YES @ $0.420 $1,024 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.415
+1.0%
$0.430
-1.5%
$0.405
+12.0%
$0.540
06-11 18:22 YES @ $0.128 $2,301 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -1.2%
$0.116
+0.8%
$0.136
-2.4%
$0.103
+3.8%
$0.166
06-11 18:16 YES @ $0.420 $695 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? -1.5%
$0.405
-0.5%
$0.415
+16.5%
$0.585
+19.5%
$0.615
06-11 18:16 YES @ $0.410 $735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? +1.5%
$0.425
+1.0%
$0.420
-2.5%
$0.385
+13.0%
$0.540
06-11 18:16 YES @ $0.420 $4,096 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.425
0.0%
$0.420
-3.5%
$0.385
+12.0%
$0.540
06-11 18:16 YES @ $0.740 $4,085 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.745
+0.5%
$0.745
+0.5%
$0.745
+3.5%
$0.775
06-11 18:11 YES @ $0.119 $417 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -0.3%
$0.116
+0.3%
$0.122
-1.8%
$0.102
+4.5%
$0.164
06-11 17:55 YES @ $0.720 $1,566 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? +2.5%
$0.745
-7.0%
$0.650
+3.5%
$0.755
+11.0%
$0.830
06-11 17:55 YES @ $0.740 $1,991 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.735
-0.5%
$0.735
-0.5%
$0.735
+3.5%
$0.775
06-11 17:49 YES @ $0.542 $2,228 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? -4.2%
$0.500
-6.2%
$0.480
-0.7%
$0.535
+8.3%
$0.625
06-11 17:49 YES @ $0.409 $492 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? -0.9%
$0.400
+1.6%
$0.425
-2.4%
$0.385
+12.6%
$0.535
06-11 17:49 YES @ $0.162 $2,330 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -4.2%
$0.120
-4.5%
$0.117
-5.7%
$0.105
-0.7%
$0.155
06-03 20:22 YES @ $0.140 $3,306 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.5%
$0.145
+0.5%
$0.145
-0.5%
$0.135
-9.5%
$0.045
06-03 19:28 YES @ $0.370 $1,037 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.375
-0.5%
$0.365
+1.0%
$0.380
-5.5%
$0.315
06-03 19:23 YES @ $0.130 $10,282 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -0.5%
$0.125
-0.5%
$0.125
+1.5%
$0.145
-8.5%
$0.045
06-03 19:23 YES @ $0.036 $1,696 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -0.0%
$0.035
+1.8%
$0.054
+1.7%
$0.053
06-03 14:47 YES @ $0.036 $1,484 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? 0.0%
$0.036
0.0%
$0.036
-0.1%
$0.035
06-02 14:34 YES @ $0.390 $1,067 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.395
+0.5%
$0.395
-0.5%
$0.385
06-02 14:34 YES @ $0.140 $696 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +1.0%
$0.150
+0.5%
$0.145
-0.5%
$0.135
06-02 14:34 YES @ $0.060 $100 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? +0.5%
$0.065
-0.5%
$0.055
-0.5%
$0.055
06-01 17:01 YES @ $0.060 $4,182 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -0.5%
$0.055
+2.5%
$0.085
+0.5%
$0.065
06-01 14:25 YES @ $0.060 $1,584 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -1.5%
$0.045
-1.5%
$0.045
+0.5%
$0.065
-4.5%
$0.015

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
05-24 14:58 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.369 $40 $-3.16 closed_loss
05-23 20:21 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $40 $+11.33 closed_win
05-23 20:15 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.416 $40 $+5.65 closed_win