0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2
๐ฏ POLITICS auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $453,569 ยท Topical: $311,601 (69%) ยท Big buys (โฅ$5k): 17 ยท Largest: $28,000 ยท Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown โ settled-trade calc pending) ยท Added 05-21 10:22 ยท Last seen 06-29 11:22
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 196 |
| Total buys | $453,569 | Largest single buy | $28,000 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $311,601 | Topical share | 69% |
| Big buys (โฅ$5k) | 17 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 11:22 | NO @ $0.819 | $30 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +1.4% $0.834 | +3.0% $0.849 | +17.8% $0.997 | +17.8% $0.997 |
| 06-28 21:24 | NO @ $0.688 | $30 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -0.3% $0.685 | +5.9% $0.748 | +30.9% $0.997 | +30.9% $0.997 |
| 06-28 15:03 | YES @ $0.600 | $10 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +1.2% $0.613 | +0.3% $0.603 | -59.8% $0.003 | -59.8% $0.003 |
| 06-20 14:50 | NO @ $0.941 | $100 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | +0.4% $0.945 | +0.5% $0.946 | +4.5% $0.986 | +4.5% $0.986 |
| 06-17 16:24 | NO @ $0.929 | $999 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +1.1% $0.940 | -7.9% $0.850 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 16:19 | NO @ $0.905 | $141 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +3.0% $0.935 | +2.8% $0.933 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 10:58 | NO @ $0.364 | $100 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | +23.1% $0.595 | +35.6% $0.720 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 10:58 | NO @ $0.760 | $256 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +15.0% $0.910 | +17.5% $0.935 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 08:38 | YES @ $0.900 | $130 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | -11.5% $0.785 | -45.5% $0.445 | โ | โ |
| 06-16 01:09 | YES @ $0.880 | $322 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +1.5% $0.895 | +1.5% $0.895 | +1.5% $0.895 | โ |
| 06-15 09:18 | YES @ $0.951 | $23,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.6% $0.945 | -0.6% $0.945 | +0.4% $0.955 | โ |
| 06-14 23:06 | NO @ $0.255 | $607 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -3.0% $0.225 | -1.0% $0.245 | -8.5% $0.170 | โ |
| 06-14 22:49 | NO @ $0.270 | $1,000 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -2.5% $0.245 | -2.5% $0.245 | -11.5% $0.155 | โ |
| 06-14 22:49 | NO @ $0.266 | $1,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.1% $0.226 | -8.7% $0.179 | -7.2% $0.194 | โ |
| 06-14 22:12 | NO @ $0.239 | $1,843 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.237 | -1.4% $0.226 | -5.2% $0.188 | โ |
| 06-14 18:11 | NO @ $0.444 | $886 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.9% $0.435 | +0.6% $0.450 | -23.9% $0.205 | โ |
| 06-14 16:57 | NO @ $0.793 | $844 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.790 | -5.4% $0.738 | -4.5% $0.748 | -74.4% $0.049 |
| 06-14 16:52 | NO @ $0.390 | $2 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +0.5% $0.395 | -4.5% $0.345 | +0.5% $0.395 | โ |
| 06-14 16:46 | NO @ $0.380 | $88 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +4.5% $0.425 | -3.5% $0.345 | +1.5% $0.395 | โ |
| 06-13 12:01 | NO @ $0.460 | $950 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -1.5% $0.445 | -3.5% $0.425 | -5.5% $0.405 | -7.5% $0.385 |
| 06-12 18:23 | NO @ $0.490 | $89 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.485 | +1.0% $0.500 | +7.5% $0.565 | -15.5% $0.335 |
| 06-12 17:13 | NO @ $0.500 | $21 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.495 | -0.5% $0.495 | +1.0% $0.510 | -15.0% $0.350 |
| 06-12 17:08 | NO @ $0.500 | $319 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.495 | -0.5% $0.495 | +0.5% $0.505 | -15.0% $0.350 |
| 06-12 10:32 | NO @ $0.530 | $193 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +2.5% $0.555 | +1.5% $0.545 | +9.5% $0.625 | -1.5% $0.515 |
| 06-11 20:21 | NO @ $0.517 | $25 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +3.8% $0.555 | +5.8% $0.575 | +3.8% $0.555 | -0.2% $0.515 |
| 06-11 20:16 | NO @ $0.540 | $486 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +1.5% $0.555 | +3.5% $0.575 | +1.5% $0.555 | -2.5% $0.515 |
| 06-11 18:22 | NO @ $0.680 | $1,000 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.675 | -0.5% $0.675 | -10.5% $0.575 | -18.5% $0.495 |
| 06-11 16:33 | NO @ $0.750 | $20,000 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.745 | -0.5% $0.745 | +6.5% $0.815 | +5.5% $0.805 |
| 06-11 15:44 | NO @ $0.965 | $1,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.1% $0.965 | -0.2% $0.963 | -11.9% $0.846 | -10.8% $0.857 |
| 06-04 11:23 | NO @ $0.950 | $200 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | 0.0% $0.950 | 0.0% $0.950 | โ |
| 06-03 00:27 | NO @ $0.960 | $300 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | โ |
| 06-01 21:23 | NO @ $0.795 | $800 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -0.5% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.785 | -3.0% $0.765 | โ |
| 06-01 13:31 | YES @ $0.110 | $6 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | -0.5% $0.105 | +1.0% $0.120 | +1.5% $0.125 | -1.0% $0.100 |
| 06-01 13:31 | NO @ $0.950 | $300 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | -0.5% $0.945 | +0.5% $0.955 | -1.0% $0.940 | โ |
| 06-01 11:23 | NO @ $0.650 | $100 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.645 | -0.5% $0.645 | +4.5% $0.695 | +6.5% $0.715 |
| 05-31 23:20 | NO @ $0.990 | $1,037 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | -0.6% $0.985 | -0.0% $0.990 | +0.7% $0.998 | โ |
| 05-29 17:01 | NO @ $0.804 | $735 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | +0.1% $0.805 | +0.9% $0.813 | +11.2% $0.916 | โ |
| 05-29 16:02 | NO @ $0.810 | $82 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -1.3% $0.797 | โ | โ | โ |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 10:32 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.530 | $33 | $+0.94 | closed_win |
| 06-11 21:21 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.575 | $33 | $-1.74 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 20:16 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.540 | $33 | $+3.70 | closed_win |
| 06-11 18:22 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.680 | $33 | $-1.96 | closed_loss |
| 06-01 21:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | NO @ $0.795 | $36 | $-0.44 | closed_time |
| 06-01 11:23 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.650 | $33 | $+0.77 | closed_time |