0xc0402e527a464e782bca96f802c77e5db8d8beac
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $102,160 · Topical: $60,474 (59%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 1 · Largest: $6,651 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 04:12 · Last seen 07-08 14:47
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 83 |
| Total buys | $102,160 | Largest single buy | $6,651 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $60,474 | Topical share | 59% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 1 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 14:47 | YES @ $0.230 | $8 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +0.5% $0.235 | +2.5% $0.255 | -1.5% $0.215 | -6.5% $0.165 |
| 07-08 14:27 | YES @ $0.250 | $250 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -1.5% $0.235 | -0.5% $0.245 | -2.5% $0.225 | -8.5% $0.165 |
| 07-08 09:41 | YES @ $0.070 | $632 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | +3.5% $0.105 | +3.5% $0.105 | +3.5% $0.105 | +3.5% $0.105 |
| 07-07 18:16 | YES @ $0.028 | $217 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | -0.7% $0.021 | -0.7% $0.021 | -0.7% $0.021 | -0.7% $0.021 |
| 06-30 10:38 | YES @ $0.250 | $24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -4.5% $0.205 | +1.0% $0.260 | -24.9% $0.001 | -24.9% $0.001 |
| 06-30 10:38 | YES @ $0.250 | $49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -4.5% $0.205 | +1.0% $0.260 | -24.9% $0.001 | -24.9% $0.001 |
| 06-26 16:01 | YES @ $0.110 | $205 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +12.5% $0.235 | +12.5% $0.235 | — | — |
| 06-26 15:30 | YES @ $0.009 | $20 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 0.0% $0.009 | +0.1% $0.009 | -0.2% $0.006 | -0.2% $0.006 |
| 06-26 15:30 | YES @ $0.010 | $43 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | -0.1% $0.009 | -0.1% $0.009 | -0.3% $0.006 | -0.3% $0.006 |
| 06-25 14:52 | YES @ $0.016 | $21 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.2% $0.018 | +0.6% $0.022 | -1.1% $0.004 | -1.1% $0.004 |
| 06-24 10:15 | YES @ $0.028 | $13 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | -0.1% $0.026 | -0.1% $0.026 | -2.4% $0.004 | -2.4% $0.004 |
| 06-24 07:48 | YES @ $0.080 | $40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 0.0% $0.080 | 0.0% $0.080 | -0.5% $0.075 | -0.5% $0.075 |
| 06-23 07:30 | YES @ $0.260 | $130 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.265 | -1.5% $0.245 | -1.5% $0.245 |
| 06-23 07:30 | YES @ $0.220 | $44 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -1.5% $0.205 | -1.0% $0.210 | -13.5% $0.085 | -13.5% $0.085 |
| 06-23 07:30 | YES @ $0.220 | $123 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -1.5% $0.205 | -1.0% $0.210 | -13.5% $0.085 | -13.5% $0.085 |
| 06-23 02:51 | YES @ $0.019 | $68 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.2% $0.021 | +0.2% $0.021 | -1.4% $0.004 | -1.4% $0.004 |
| 06-23 02:51 | YES @ $0.021 | $46 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 0.0% $0.021 | +0.1% $0.021 | -1.6% $0.004 | -1.6% $0.004 |
| 06-22 14:22 | YES @ $0.250 | $250 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 14:22 | YES @ $0.250 | $250 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 11:18 | YES @ $0.330 | $42 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -2.5% $0.305 | -3.0% $0.300 | -24.5% $0.085 | -24.5% $0.085 |
| 06-22 11:17 | YES @ $0.140 | $821 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.0% $0.150 | -0.3% $0.137 | -13.3% $0.006 | -13.3% $0.006 |
| 06-22 11:17 | YES @ $0.024 | $40 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.1% $0.025 | -0.2% $0.021 | -1.8% $0.006 | -1.8% $0.006 |
| 06-22 11:17 | YES @ $0.029 | $16 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +0.1% $0.030 | +0.1% $0.030 | -2.1% $0.009 | -2.1% $0.009 |
| 06-22 01:36 | YES @ $0.125 | $3 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.1% $0.123 | -0.6% $0.119 | -11.8% $0.006 | -11.8% $0.006 |
| 06-22 01:31 | YES @ $0.125 | $10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.1% $0.123 | -0.6% $0.119 | -11.8% $0.006 | -11.8% $0.006 |
| 06-21 16:43 | YES @ $0.010 | $14 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | +0.1% $0.011 | +0.1% $0.011 | — | — |
| 06-19 06:03 | YES @ $0.090 | $270 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | -0.5% $0.085 | -0.5% $0.085 | — | — |
| 06-18 07:08 | YES @ $0.060 | $6 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +3.2% $0.092 | +3.7% $0.097 | -3.9% $0.021 | -3.9% $0.021 |
| 06-18 06:31 | YES @ $0.520 | $3 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -7.5% $0.445 | -2.5% $0.495 | -49.5% $0.025 | -49.5% $0.025 |
| 06-18 00:12 | NO @ $0.113 | $18 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | +55.7% $0.670 | +55.7% $0.670 | — | — |
| 06-17 16:46 | NO @ $0.080 | $16 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | +28.0% $0.360 | +8.5% $0.165 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:30 | YES @ $0.740 | $22 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | +4.8% $0.787 | +5.1% $0.791 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:30 | YES @ $0.740 | $22 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | +4.8% $0.787 | +5.1% $0.791 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:30 | YES @ $0.740 | $12 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | +4.8% $0.787 | +5.1% $0.791 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:09 | YES @ $0.767 | $211 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +5.0% $0.817 | +7.8% $0.846 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:09 | YES @ $0.779 | $26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +3.8% $0.817 | +6.7% $0.846 | — | — |
| 06-17 15:09 | YES @ $0.779 | $174 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +3.8% $0.817 | +6.7% $0.846 | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 07:01 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.310 | $39 | $+3.18 | closed_win |