0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $325,518 · Topical: $262,419 (81%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 5 · Largest: $9,780 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 06-11 04:49 · Last seen 07-11 00:00
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 117 |
| Total buys | $325,518 | Largest single buy | $9,780 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $262,419 | Topical share | 81% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 5 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 00:00 | YES @ $0.238 | $2,026 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -0.3% $0.235 | -2.3% $0.215 | — | — |
| 07-10 23:55 | YES @ $0.085 | $92 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -1.4% $0.071 | -1.7% $0.069 | — | — |
| 07-10 19:47 | YES @ $0.220 | $487 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | -0.5% $0.215 | -3.5% $0.185 | +0.5% $0.225 | — |
| 07-09 18:20 | YES @ $0.279 | $1,109 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +4.6% $0.325 | -0.4% $0.275 | -3.4% $0.245 | -6.4% $0.215 |
| 07-09 18:20 | YES @ $0.290 | $934 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +3.5% $0.325 | -1.5% $0.275 | -4.5% $0.245 | -7.5% $0.215 |
| 07-08 23:35 | YES @ $0.014 | $140 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -0.1% $0.013 | -0.1% $0.013 | -0.5% $0.009 | -1.1% $0.003 |
| 07-08 22:22 | YES @ $0.171 | $138 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | -0.1% $0.170 | -1.6% $0.155 | +1.4% $0.185 | -1.6% $0.155 |
| 07-08 22:22 | YES @ $0.289 | $126 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | -2.4% $0.265 | -2.9% $0.260 | -1.9% $0.270 | -10.4% $0.185 |
| 07-08 18:53 | YES @ $0.400 | $3,321 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | +6.5% $0.465 | +6.5% $0.465 | +6.5% $0.465 | +6.0% $0.460 |
| 07-08 18:53 | YES @ $0.469 | $591 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | -0.4% $0.465 | -0.4% $0.465 | -0.4% $0.465 | -0.9% $0.460 |
| 07-08 13:34 | YES @ $0.288 | $710 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +0.2% $0.290 | -2.3% $0.265 | -5.3% $0.235 | -3.3% $0.255 |
| 07-08 09:04 | YES @ $0.210 | $1,584 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +0.5% $0.215 | +0.5% $0.215 | +3.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.205 |
| 07-08 08:59 | YES @ $0.558 | $539 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | -0.3% $0.555 | +0.2% $0.560 | +0.7% $0.565 | -2.8% $0.530 |
| 07-08 08:53 | YES @ $0.569 | $6,500 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | -1.4% $0.555 | -1.4% $0.555 | -0.9% $0.560 | -3.9% $0.530 |
| 07-08 08:53 | YES @ $0.530 | $1,836 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +2.5% $0.555 | +2.5% $0.555 | +3.0% $0.560 | 0.0% $0.530 |
| 07-08 08:38 | YES @ $0.258 | $345 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -5.3% $0.205 | -4.3% $0.215 | -0.3% $0.255 | -6.3% $0.195 |
| 07-08 08:38 | YES @ $0.285 | $206 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -8.0% $0.205 | -7.0% $0.215 | -3.0% $0.255 | -9.0% $0.195 |
| 07-08 08:32 | NO @ $0.525 | $3,351 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | -0.6% $0.520 | -3.0% $0.495 | -4.5% $0.480 | -1.1% $0.515 |
| 07-08 08:32 | NO @ $0.527 | $793 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | +0.3% $0.530 | -3.2% $0.495 | -5.2% $0.475 | -1.2% $0.515 |
| 07-08 08:32 | YES @ $0.238 | $564 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +1.2% $0.250 | -1.3% $0.225 | -1.8% $0.220 | -7.3% $0.165 |
| 07-08 08:27 | YES @ $0.243 | $152 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | -2.8% $0.215 | -3.8% $0.205 | -3.8% $0.205 | -3.8% $0.205 |
| 07-08 08:27 | YES @ $0.140 | $221 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -1.8% $0.122 | -1.6% $0.123 | +0.1% $0.141 | +0.1% $0.141 |
| 07-08 08:22 | YES @ $0.240 | $278 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | +7.0% $0.310 | +6.0% $0.300 | +5.0% $0.290 | +4.0% $0.280 |
| 07-08 08:22 | YES @ $0.179 | $318 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | +3.6% $0.215 | +2.6% $0.205 | +2.6% $0.205 | +2.6% $0.205 |
| 07-08 08:22 | YES @ $0.150 | $673 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +7.5% $0.225 | +10.5% $0.255 | +8.0% $0.230 | +1.5% $0.165 |
| 07-07 23:23 | YES @ $0.140 | $3,500 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.135 | -0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.145 | +1.5% $0.155 |
| 07-07 20:10 | YES @ $0.207 | $55 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +1.3% $0.220 | -0.2% $0.205 | -6.2% $0.145 | +1.8% $0.225 |
| 07-07 15:36 | YES @ $0.559 | $4,338 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | -1.4% $0.545 | -1.4% $0.545 | -1.4% $0.545 | -2.4% $0.535 |
| 07-06 03:43 | YES @ $0.026 | $30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.1% $0.026 | +0.1% $0.028 | +0.8% $0.034 | +0.1% $0.026 |
| 06-29 02:46 | YES @ $0.150 | $3,075 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.145 | -0.5% $0.145 | -2.5% $0.125 | -2.5% $0.125 |
| 06-28 20:43 | NO @ $0.549 | $74 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +11.6% $0.665 | -2.4% $0.525 | +18.1% $0.730 | +18.1% $0.730 |
| 06-28 20:43 | NO @ $0.618 | $31 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +4.7% $0.665 | -9.3% $0.525 | +11.2% $0.730 | +11.2% $0.730 |
| 06-27 23:18 | YES @ $0.920 | $534 | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | +5.6% $0.976 | +5.6% $0.976 | — | — |
| 06-27 16:07 | NO @ $0.240 | $218 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +9.0% $0.330 | +8.0% $0.320 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:20 | YES @ $0.158 | $408 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | -15.6% $0.002 | -15.7% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-26 23:10 | YES @ $0.166 | $540 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 04:57 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.794 | $36 | $+3.84 | closed_time |
| 06-12 04:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.340 | $33 | $-6.32 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 21:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.455 | $33 | $-2.19 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 20:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.560 | $33 | $+3.86 | closed_win |
| 06-11 20:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.440 | $33 | $-1.87 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 19:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.529 | $33 | $-2.78 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 18:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.520 | $33 | $-4.48 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 18:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.418 | $33 | $-5.41 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 18:00 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | NO @ $0.607 | $33 | $+4.27 | closed_win |
| 06-11 17:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.310 | $33 | $+33.89 | closed_win |