0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $1,029,654 · Topical: $986,238 (96%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 35 · Largest: $221,778 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-23 14:17 · Last seen 07-09 21:02
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 106 |
| Total buys | $1,029,654 | Largest single buy | $221,778 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $986,238 | Topical share | 96% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 35 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 21:02 | YES @ $0.140 | $85 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +0.5% $0.145 | +1.5% $0.155 | -1.0% $0.130 | +5.0% $0.190 |
| 07-08 22:17 | YES @ $0.130 | $173 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | +1.0% $0.140 | 0.0% $0.130 | -1.5% $0.115 | -1.5% $0.115 |
| 07-08 15:35 | YES @ $0.075 | $35 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | +0.1% $0.076 | +1.4% $0.089 | +0.3% $0.079 | -1.0% $0.066 |
| 07-06 12:11 | NO @ $0.958 | $1,627 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.8% $0.967 | +0.6% $0.964 | +0.9% $0.968 | +2.1% $0.979 |
| 07-06 00:14 | NO @ $0.972 | $3,025 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.2% $0.975 | +0.2% $0.975 | +0.1% $0.974 | -0.3% $0.970 |
| 07-06 00:14 | NO @ $0.974 | $939 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.1% $0.975 | +0.1% $0.975 | -0.1% $0.974 | -0.5% $0.970 |
| 07-06 00:14 | NO @ $0.974 | $31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.1% $0.975 | +0.1% $0.975 | -0.1% $0.974 | -0.5% $0.970 |
| 07-03 22:54 | YES @ $0.052 | $7 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.8% $0.060 | -5.0% $0.002 | -5.2% $0.001 | -5.2% $0.001 |
| 07-03 22:49 | NO @ $0.800 | $106 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +1.0% $0.810 | +4.0% $0.840 | +1.0% $0.810 | -26.5% $0.535 |
| 07-03 22:49 | YES @ $0.046 | $35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +1.1% $0.057 | -2.4% $0.022 | -2.9% $0.018 | +2.2% $0.069 |
| 07-03 21:32 | YES @ $0.102 | $12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +4.2% $0.143 | -1.2% $0.090 | -10.1% $0.001 | -10.0% $0.002 |
| 07-03 20:24 | YES @ $0.185 | $49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -5.1% $0.134 | -9.0% $0.096 | -18.5% $0.001 | -18.5% $0.001 |
| 07-03 19:43 | YES @ $0.204 | $74 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +4.9% $0.253 | -3.5% $0.169 | -20.4% $0.001 | -20.4% $0.001 |
| 07-03 19:32 | NO @ $0.668 | $118 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +2.7% $0.695 | +12.7% $0.795 | +31.5% $0.983 | +31.2% $0.980 |
| 07-03 19:32 | NO @ $0.694 | $14 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.1% $0.695 | +10.2% $0.796 | +28.8% $0.983 | +28.5% $0.980 |
| 07-03 19:06 | YES @ $0.162 | $18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +13.2% $0.294 | +7.7% $0.239 | -16.1% $0.001 | -16.1% $0.002 |
| 07-03 19:06 | YES @ $0.180 | $10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +11.4% $0.294 | +5.9% $0.239 | -17.9% $0.001 | -17.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 18:09 | YES @ $0.170 | $40 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +5.5% $0.225 | +5.5% $0.225 | +2.0% $0.190 | +26.5% $0.435 |
| 07-03 17:48 | YES @ $0.233 | $43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -7.3% $0.160 | -7.3% $0.160 | -23.2% $0.001 | -23.1% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:48 | YES @ $0.230 | $5 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -7.0% $0.160 | -7.0% $0.160 | -22.9% $0.001 | -22.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:48 | YES @ $0.235 | $5 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -7.5% $0.160 | -7.5% $0.160 | -23.4% $0.001 | -23.4% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:48 | YES @ $0.240 | $2 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -8.0% $0.160 | -8.1% $0.160 | -23.9% $0.001 | -23.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:48 | YES @ $0.250 | $29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -9.0% $0.160 | -9.1% $0.160 | -24.9% $0.001 | -24.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:38 | NO @ $0.740 | $12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -10.6% $0.635 | +5.5% $0.794 | +24.2% $0.983 | +24.1% $0.982 |
| 07-03 17:38 | YES @ $0.163 | $192 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +2.7% $0.190 | -0.2% $0.161 | -16.2% $0.001 | -16.1% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:38 | YES @ $0.181 | $130 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.9% $0.190 | -1.6% $0.165 | -18.0% $0.001 | -17.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:38 | YES @ $0.169 | $3 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +2.0% $0.190 | -0.5% $0.165 | -16.9% $0.001 | -16.8% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:33 | YES @ $0.277 | $328 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +3.4% $0.310 | -6.7% $0.210 | -27.6% $0.001 | -27.5% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:23 | YES @ $0.240 | $433 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +1.6% $0.256 | -8.0% $0.160 | -23.9% $0.001 | -23.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:23 | YES @ $0.230 | $2 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +8.6% $0.316 | -5.8% $0.172 | -22.9% $0.001 | -22.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:23 | YES @ $0.248 | $358 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +6.7% $0.316 | -7.6% $0.172 | -24.8% $0.001 | -24.7% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:17 | YES @ $0.140 | $29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +1.9% $0.160 | +2.3% $0.163 | -13.9% $0.001 | -13.9% $0.001 |
| 07-03 17:17 | YES @ $0.218 | $365 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -5.9% $0.160 | -5.5% $0.163 | -21.8% $0.001 | -21.7% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:12 | YES @ $0.170 | $7 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 08:04 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | NO @ $0.989 | $33 | $-0.07 | closed_time |
| 06-23 05:03 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | NO @ $0.962 | $33 | $+0.48 | closed_time |
| 06-13 22:21 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | NO @ $0.765 | $36 | $-2.79 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 19:43 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.747 | $36 | $-5.09 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 05:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.780 | $36 | $+1.59 | closed_time |
| 06-04 05:46 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | NO @ $0.673 | $33 | $-15.23 | closed_loss |
| 06-03 22:37 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.509 | $33 | $-2.86 | closed_loss |
| 06-01 18:00 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | NO @ $0.890 | $31 | $+1.90 | closed_time |
| 05-29 16:18 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.710 | $40 | $+5.07 | closed_win |
| 05-29 16:13 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | YES @ $0.750 | $40 | $-4.27 | closed_loss |
| 05-29 15:14 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.780 | $40 | $-2.31 | closed_loss |
| 05-26 22:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES @ $0.460 | $11 | $-0.96 | closed_loss |
| 05-25 21:58 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | YES @ $0.243 | $40 | $-2.85 | closed_loss |
| 05-24 01:05 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | YES @ $0.235 | $40 | $+15.74 | closed_win |
| 05-23 20:26 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | YES @ $0.255 | $40 | $-2.24 | closed_loss |
| 05-23 18:31 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.750 | $21 | $+3.09 | closed_win |