0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $1,620,079 · Topical: $1,597,727 (99%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 53 · Largest: $252,870 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-21 18:20 · Last seen 07-09 19:01
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 82 |
| Total buys | $1,620,079 | Largest single buy | $252,870 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $1,597,727 | Topical share | 99% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 53 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 19:01 | NO @ $0.720 | $501 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +2.5% $0.745 | +2.5% $0.745 | +3.5% $0.755 | +7.0% $0.790 |
| 07-09 18:25 | YES @ $0.282 | $333 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +4.3% $0.325 | -0.7% $0.275 | -3.7% $0.245 | -6.7% $0.215 |
| 07-09 13:34 | NO @ $0.458 | $1,922 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +1.2% $0.470 | +1.7% $0.475 | +1.7% $0.475 | -1.3% $0.445 |
| 07-09 01:56 | YES @ $0.500 | $46 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | -1.0% $0.490 | -0.5% $0.495 | 0.0% $0.500 | +4.5% $0.545 |
| 07-08 21:30 | NO @ $0.740 | $10,665 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +2.5% $0.765 | +3.5% $0.775 | +7.5% $0.815 | +9.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 21:09 | YES @ $0.500 | $506 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +1.5% $0.515 | +2.0% $0.520 | -2.0% $0.480 | +4.0% $0.540 |
| 07-08 20:48 | NO @ $0.699 | $325 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +1.6% $0.715 | +6.6% $0.765 | +10.6% $0.805 | +13.6% $0.835 |
| 07-08 20:48 | NO @ $0.710 | $1,590 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +0.5% $0.715 | +5.5% $0.765 | +9.5% $0.805 | +12.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 20:48 | NO @ $0.720 | $1,204 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -0.5% $0.715 | +4.5% $0.765 | +8.5% $0.805 | +11.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 20:48 | NO @ $0.740 | $2,341 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -2.5% $0.715 | +2.5% $0.765 | +6.5% $0.805 | +9.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 20:43 | NO @ $0.802 | $2,152 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -2.1% $0.781 | -2.9% $0.773 | +2.7% $0.829 | +5.4% $0.856 |
| 07-08 20:43 | NO @ $0.799 | $341 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -1.8% $0.781 | -2.5% $0.773 | +3.0% $0.829 | +5.7% $0.856 |
| 07-08 20:43 | NO @ $0.750 | $506 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -3.5% $0.715 | +0.5% $0.755 | +4.5% $0.795 | +8.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 20:38 | NO @ $0.770 | $3,851 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | +3.5% $0.805 | -2.5% $0.745 |
| 07-08 18:53 | NO @ $0.590 | $811 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | -5.5% $0.535 | -5.5% $0.535 | -5.5% $0.535 | -6.5% $0.525 |
| 07-08 17:14 | NO @ $0.770 | $33 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +1.0% $0.780 | -0.5% $0.765 | -5.5% $0.715 | +6.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 16:53 | NO @ $0.730 | $121 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +3.5% $0.765 | +4.0% $0.770 | +3.5% $0.765 | +2.0% $0.750 |
| 07-08 10:54 | NO @ $0.760 | $671 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.755 | -2.5% $0.735 | +4.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 10:44 | NO @ $0.760 | $104 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -1.5% $0.745 | -0.5% $0.755 | -2.0% $0.740 | +4.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 10:44 | NO @ $0.760 | $23 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -1.5% $0.745 | -0.5% $0.755 | -2.0% $0.740 | +4.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 09:14 | NO @ $0.630 | $3,554 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.625 | +1.5% $0.645 | +0.5% $0.635 | -0.5% $0.625 |
| 07-08 08:59 | NO @ $0.790 | $23 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | +0.5% $0.795 | +0.5% $0.795 | -5.0% $0.740 | +0.5% $0.795 |
| 07-08 08:48 | NO @ $0.770 | $14,006 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +1.5% $0.785 | +1.5% $0.785 | -2.5% $0.745 | +2.5% $0.795 |
| 07-08 08:43 | NO @ $0.620 | $2,648 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | 0.0% $0.620 | +0.5% $0.625 | +2.5% $0.645 | +0.5% $0.625 |
| 07-08 08:38 | NO @ $0.750 | $1,526 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | +3.0% $0.780 | +4.0% $0.790 | -0.5% $0.745 | +4.5% $0.795 |
| 07-08 08:38 | NO @ $0.750 | $217 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -1.5% $0.735 | +1.5% $0.765 | +2.5% $0.775 | +8.5% $0.835 |
| 07-08 08:38 | NO @ $0.860 | $1,245 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.870 | +1.5% $0.875 | +1.5% $0.875 | +1.5% $0.875 |
| 07-08 08:32 | NO @ $0.950 | $5,255 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.970 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.710 | $227 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +7.0% $0.780 | +7.0% $0.780 | +7.0% $0.780 | +10.5% $0.815 |
| 07-08 06:23 | NO @ $0.850 | $74 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.845 | +0.5% $0.855 | +2.5% $0.875 | +2.5% $0.875 |
| 07-08 06:07 | NO @ $0.590 | $524 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.595 | +0.5% $0.595 | +5.5% $0.645 | +4.5% $0.635 |
| 07-08 06:02 | NO @ $0.820 | $91,111 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +3.5% $0.855 | +2.5% $0.845 | +5.5% $0.875 | +5.5% $0.875 |
| 07-08 04:03 | NO @ $0.860 | $2,580 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | -0.5% $0.855 | -0.5% $0.855 | -0.5% $0.855 | -5.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 03:42 | NO @ $0.913 | $47 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 18:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.755 | $36 | $+0.47 | closed_time |
| 06-14 19:26 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.770 | $36 | $-6.23 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 13:39 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.655 | $33 | $-19.56 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 03:28 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.700 | $33 | $+3.09 | closed_time |
| 06-11 01:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | NO @ $0.370 | $33 | $+1.35 | closed_time |
| 06-11 01:01 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.630 | $33 | $+1.32 | closed_time |
| 06-10 21:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.669 | $33 | $-1.68 | closed_loss |
| 06-01 08:28 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | YES @ $0.240 | $30 | $-1.25 | closed_loss |
| 05-27 20:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | YES @ $0.290 | $40 | $+6.90 | closed_win |
| 05-24 01:21 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES @ $0.288 | $40 | $-15.14 | closed_loss |
| 05-24 01:10 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | YES @ $0.216 | $40 | $+5.14 | closed_win |