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CaptainCoinflip

0xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76

🎯 POLITICS   auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $269,712 · Topical: $112,267 (42%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 10 · Largest: $30,978 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 06:22 · Last seen 07-08 22:28

Auto-Evaluation (06-21 08:36)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets120
Total buys$269,712 Largest single buy$30,978
Topical (war/politics)$112,267 Topical share42%
Big buys (≥$5k)10 Fingerprinttopical_mixed

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-08 22:28 Iran leadership change by July 31? YES @ $0.051 $50 historical
07-08 08:27 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? YES @ $0.170 $500 open
06-24 15:00 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.930 $331 historical
06-23 07:04 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.920 $1,318 open
06-23 05:29 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.990 $148 open
06-21 08:36 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.870 $480 historical
06-21 08:36 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.870 $60 historical
06-21 08:36 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NO @ $0.880 $2,984 open
06-21 07:22 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.984 $1,271 open
06-17 15:04 Israel closes its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.074 $125 open
06-16 19:14 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.094 $500 open
06-16 18:42 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? YES @ $0.502 $500 open
06-16 07:28 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.940 $2,350 open
06-16 06:02 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.940 $80 open
06-15 12:09 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.940 $9 open
06-15 09:08 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.950 $499 open
06-15 08:25 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.938 $1,383 open
06-11 16:39 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? YES @ $0.075 $150 open
06-11 16:33 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? YES @ $0.190 $250 open
06-11 12:17 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? YES @ $0.170 $500 open
06-10 11:29 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? YES @ $0.069 $125 open
05-24 10:37 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? YES @ $0.975 $118 open
05-24 10:37 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? YES @ $0.975 $20 open
05-24 06:22 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? YES @ $0.981 $19,620 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-08 22:28 YES @ $0.051 $50 Iran leadership change by July 31? -1.8%
$0.033
-1.8%
$0.033
-1.8%
$0.033
-1.2%
$0.039
07-08 08:27 YES @ $0.170 $500 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? +5.5%
$0.225
+6.5%
$0.235
+6.0%
$0.230
-0.5%
$0.165
06-24 15:00 NO @ $0.930 $331 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.925
0.0%
$0.930
+4.0%
$0.970
+4.0%
$0.970
06-23 07:04 NO @ $0.920 $1,318 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? 0.0%
$0.920
+0.5%
$0.925
+5.0%
$0.970
+5.0%
$0.970
06-23 05:29 NO @ $0.990 $148 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? +0.1%
$0.991
+0.1%
$0.991
+0.8%
$0.999
+0.8%
$0.999
06-21 08:36 NO @ $0.870 $480 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? +1.0%
$0.880
+1.0%
$0.880
+9.7%
$0.967
+9.7%
$0.967
06-21 08:36 NO @ $0.870 $60 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? +1.0%
$0.880
+1.0%
$0.880
+9.6%
$0.966
+9.6%
$0.966
06-21 08:36 NO @ $0.880 $2,984 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? 0.0%
$0.880
0.0%
$0.880
+8.6%
$0.966
+8.6%
$0.966
06-21 07:22 NO @ $0.984 $1,271 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? +0.1%
$0.985
-0.2%
$0.982
+1.4%
$0.998
+1.4%
$0.998
06-17 15:04 YES @ $0.074 $125 Israel closes its airspace by June 30? -1.0%
$0.064
-0.7%
$0.067
-5.1%
$0.022
-5.1%
$0.022
06-16 19:14 YES @ $0.094 $500 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? +0.1%
$0.095
-0.9%
$0.085
06-16 18:42 YES @ $0.502 $500 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? -14.2%
$0.360
-16.7%
$0.335
06-16 07:28 NO @ $0.940 $2,350 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.935
-0.5%
$0.935
+5.2%
$0.992
+5.2%
$0.992
06-16 06:02 NO @ $0.940 $80 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? +0.5%
$0.945
0.0%
$0.940
+5.2%
$0.992
+5.2%
$0.992
06-15 12:09 NO @ $0.940 $9 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.935
-0.5%
$0.935
-0.5%
$0.935
+4.7%
$0.987
06-15 09:08 NO @ $0.950 $499 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? -1.0%
$0.940
-0.5%
$0.945
-1.5%
$0.935
+3.7%
$0.987
06-15 08:25 NO @ $0.938 $1,383 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? +0.2%
$0.940
+0.7%
$0.945
+0.7%
$0.945
+5.1%
$0.989
06-11 16:39 YES @ $0.075 $150 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? -0.4%
$0.070
-1.4%
$0.061
-6.1%
$0.014
-6.4%
$0.011
06-11 16:33 YES @ $0.190 $250 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? -0.5%
$0.185
-1.0%
$0.180
-13.0%
$0.060
-16.9%
$0.021
06-11 12:17 YES @ $0.170 $500 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? +4.5%
$0.215
+3.0%
$0.200
+1.5%
$0.185
-12.5%
$0.045
06-10 11:29 YES @ $0.069 $125 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? -1.6%
$0.053
-1.2%
$0.057
-3.0%
$0.038
-1.1%
$0.058
05-24 10:37 YES @ $0.975 $118 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? -0.3%
$0.972
-0.1%
$0.975
-0.5%
$0.971
+2.4%
$0.999
05-24 10:37 YES @ $0.975 $20 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? -0.3%
$0.972
-0.1%
$0.975
-0.5%
$0.971
+2.4%
$0.999
05-24 06:22 YES @ $0.981 $19,620 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? -0.1%
$0.981
-0.1%
$0.980
-0.3%
$0.978
+1.4%
$0.995

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
No paper trades from this wallet yet