0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
🎯 POLITICS auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $911,392 · Topical: $217,211 (24%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 41 · Largest: $79,200 · Fingerprint: big_buyer_diverse (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-29 15:14 · Last seen 07-10 21:10
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 154 |
| Total buys | $911,392 | Largest single buy | $79,200 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $217,211 | Topical share | 24% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 41 | Fingerprint | big_buyer_diverse |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:10 | NO @ $0.800 | $20 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +1.0% $0.810 | -0.5% $0.795 | -3.0% $0.770 | — |
| 07-08 22:28 | NO @ $0.955 | $1,841 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | +1.2% $0.967 | +1.2% $0.967 | +1.3% $0.968 | +0.4% $0.959 |
| 07-08 22:28 | NO @ $0.963 | $4,813 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | +0.4% $0.967 | +0.5% $0.968 | +0.5% $0.968 | -0.6% $0.957 |
| 07-08 09:57 | NO @ $0.890 | $6,039 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.895 | +1.5% $0.905 | +1.5% $0.905 |
| 07-05 14:51 | NO @ $0.770 | $15,400 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 |
| 07-04 19:56 | NO @ $0.810 | $11,340 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -0.5% $0.805 | -0.5% $0.805 | -0.5% $0.805 | -0.5% $0.805 |
| 06-30 23:26 | NO @ $0.832 | $5,437 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.8% $0.840 | +2.3% $0.855 | +16.7% $1.000 | +16.7% $1.000 |
| 06-30 09:57 | NO @ $0.660 | $117 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +10.5% $0.765 | +12.5% $0.785 | +34.0% $1.000 | +34.0% $1.000 |
| 06-29 13:47 | NO @ $0.250 | $1,285 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +1.5% $0.265 | +46.5% $0.715 | +74.8% $0.999 | +74.8% $0.999 |
| 06-29 11:53 | NO @ $0.750 | $1,873 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -44.0% $0.310 | -34.5% $0.405 | +24.9% $0.999 | +24.9% $0.999 |
| 06-29 11:53 | NO @ $0.740 | $451 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -43.0% $0.310 | -33.5% $0.405 | +25.9% $0.999 | +25.9% $0.999 |
| 06-23 05:35 | NO @ $0.910 | $4,656 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.915 | +0.5% $0.915 | +6.0% $0.970 | +6.0% $0.970 |
| 06-21 16:43 | NO @ $0.987 | $4,559 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | +0.2% $0.989 | +0.2% $0.989 | — | — |
| 06-21 13:59 | NO @ $0.880 | $4,442 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% $0.880 | 0.0% $0.880 | +8.2% $0.962 | +8.2% $0.962 |
| 06-19 19:20 | YES @ $0.290 | $2,363 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -3.5% $0.255 | -3.5% $0.255 | -27.6% $0.014 | -27.6% $0.014 |
| 06-19 17:28 | YES @ $0.410 | $0 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +1.5% $0.425 | +2.5% $0.435 | -39.6% $0.013 | -39.6% $0.013 |
| 06-19 17:22 | YES @ $0.400 | $2,594 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +2.5% $0.425 | +5.5% $0.455 | -38.6% $0.013 | -38.6% $0.013 |
| 06-19 12:20 | NO @ $0.910 | $2,543 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | +0.9% $0.919 | +3.1% $0.942 | +6.8% $0.978 | +6.8% $0.978 |
| 06-19 06:56 | YES @ $0.560 | $1,270 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +1.5% $0.575 | +1.0% $0.570 | -54.8% $0.013 | -54.8% $0.013 |
| 06-18 19:57 | NO @ $0.410 | $17 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -40.9% $0.001 | -41.0% $0.000 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:57 | NO @ $0.420 | $363 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -41.9% $0.001 | -42.0% $0.000 | — | — |
| 06-18 17:27 | NO @ $0.949 | $2,500 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | +0.1% $0.950 | +0.2% $0.951 | +3.2% $0.981 | +3.2% $0.981 |
| 06-18 13:10 | NO @ $0.970 | $4,276 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | +0.2% $0.973 | +0.2% $0.972 | +2.6% $0.996 | +2.6% $0.996 |
| 06-18 12:32 | YES @ $0.630 | $1,530 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -2.5% $0.605 | -2.0% $0.610 | -60.5% $0.025 | -60.5% $0.025 |
| 06-18 07:24 | YES @ $0.470 | $5,548 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +5.5% $0.525 | +5.5% $0.525 | -44.5% $0.025 | -44.5% $0.025 |
| 06-18 03:48 | NO @ $0.944 | $769 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | -0.0% $0.944 | -0.0% $0.944 | +3.6% $0.980 | +3.6% $0.980 |
| 06-18 03:42 | NO @ $0.838 | $719 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.4% $0.843 | +0.5% $0.843 | +13.1% $0.969 | +13.1% $0.969 |
| 06-18 02:01 | NO @ $0.930 | $1,831 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +1.2% $0.942 | +1.3% $0.943 | +4.9% $0.980 | +4.9% $0.980 |
| 06-17 23:40 | NO @ $0.710 | $2,022 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | -69.2% $0.018 | -70.5% $0.005 | — | — |
| 06-17 13:32 | NO @ $0.894 | $4,258 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +0.1% $0.895 | -0.4% $0.890 | +3.1% $0.925 | +3.1% $0.925 |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.850 | $2,307 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.865 | +2.0% $0.870 | +8.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-13 08:19 | NO @ $0.978 | $215 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | +1.1% $0.989 | +0.8% $0.986 | +0.9% $0.987 | +1.2% $0.991 |
| 06-12 00:40 | YES @ $0.138 | $675 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.9% $0.157 | +1.9% $0.157 | -2.6% $0.112 | +3.8% $0.176 |
| 06-11 06:53 | YES @ $0.035 | $30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.040 | +0.3% $0.038 | +1.8% $0.052 | +7.6% $0.111 |
| 06-10 04:48 | NO @ $0.800 | $88 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | -0.5% $0.795 | -0.5% $0.795 | -0.5% $0.795 | -5.5% $0.745 |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 04:48 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | NO @ $0.800 | $31 | $-1.73 | closed_loss |