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LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a

🎯 POLITICS   auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $890,427 · Topical: $265,401 (30%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 32 · Largest: $251,416 · Fingerprint: big_buyer_diverse (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-29 19:03 · Last seen 07-08 09:41

Auto-Evaluation (06-25 14:52)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets145
Total buys$890,427 Largest single buy$251,416
Topical (war/politics)$265,401 Topical share30%
Big buys (≥$5k)32 Fingerprintbig_buyer_diverse

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-08 09:41 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.090 $467 historical
07-08 02:29 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? YES @ $0.150 $662 open
07-08 02:29 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? YES @ $0.160 $475 open
07-03 09:12 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YES @ $0.156 $2,661 historical
06-28 00:36 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.181 $2,017 historical
06-27 14:07 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.150 $164 historical
06-27 14:07 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.160 $160 historical
06-25 14:52 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.140 $2,915 open
06-25 07:59 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.120 $812 historical
06-25 07:59 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YES @ $0.130 $2,446 historical
06-15 09:02 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? YES @ $0.210 $2 historical
06-14 22:49 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NO @ $0.639 $45 open
06-14 22:23 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NO @ $0.687 $5,308 open
06-14 22:12 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NO @ $0.656 $4,690 open
06-14 21:40 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NO @ $0.568 $3,973 open
06-14 04:26 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NO @ $0.703 $5,267 open
06-13 17:13 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? NO @ $0.387 $3,480 open
06-13 17:03 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.930 $409 open
06-13 06:02 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? NO @ $0.577 $12,446 open
06-13 06:02 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? NO @ $0.617 $8,940 open
05-29 19:03 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $10,250 open
05-23 21:19 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? NO @ $0.460 $5,384 open
05-23 18:30 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? NO @ $0.610 $5,972 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-08 09:41 YES @ $0.090 $467 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? +1.5%
$0.105
+1.5%
$0.105
+1.5%
$0.105
+1.0%
$0.100
07-08 02:29 YES @ $0.150 $662 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? -1.0%
$0.140
-1.5%
$0.135
-1.0%
$0.140
+4.0%
$0.190
07-08 02:29 YES @ $0.160 $475 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? -2.0%
$0.140
-2.5%
$0.135
-2.0%
$0.140
+3.0%
$0.190
07-03 09:12 YES @ $0.156 $2,661 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? +6.9%
$0.225
+6.9%
$0.225
+4.9%
$0.205
+3.9%
$0.195
06-28 00:36 YES @ $0.181 $2,017 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? +1.9%
$0.200
+1.9%
$0.200
-11.6%
$0.065
-11.6%
$0.065
06-27 14:07 YES @ $0.150 $164 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? +1.0%
$0.160
+1.0%
$0.160
06-27 14:07 YES @ $0.160 $160 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? 0.0%
$0.160
0.0%
$0.160
06-25 14:52 YES @ $0.140 $2,915 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? -1.5%
$0.125
-0.5%
$0.135
+1.0%
$0.150
+1.0%
$0.150
06-25 07:59 YES @ $0.120 $812 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? +1.5%
$0.135
+1.5%
$0.135
+3.0%
$0.150
+3.0%
$0.150
06-25 07:59 YES @ $0.130 $2,446 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? +0.5%
$0.135
+0.5%
$0.135
+2.0%
$0.150
+2.0%
$0.150
06-15 09:02 YES @ $0.210 $2 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? -5.0%
$0.160
-5.0%
$0.160
-4.5%
$0.165
06-14 22:49 NO @ $0.639 $45 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? -2.4%
$0.615
+6.7%
$0.705
+10.2%
$0.740
+32.6%
$0.965
06-14 22:23 NO @ $0.687 $5,308 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? -1.2%
$0.675
-7.2%
$0.615
+6.3%
$0.750
+27.9%
$0.966
06-14 22:12 NO @ $0.656 $4,690 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? +1.4%
$0.670
+2.9%
$0.685
+10.4%
$0.760
+31.0%
$0.966
06-14 21:40 NO @ $0.568 $3,973 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? +0.2%
$0.570
+10.2%
$0.670
+23.8%
$0.805
+39.6%
$0.964
06-14 04:26 NO @ $0.703 $5,267 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? +0.2%
$0.705
+0.2%
$0.705
+2.7%
$0.730
+4.2%
$0.745
06-13 17:13 NO @ $0.387 $3,480 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? -5.2%
$0.335
-3.2%
$0.355
-2.2%
$0.365
+0.8%
$0.395
06-13 17:03 NO @ $0.930 $409 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? +0.5%
$0.935
+1.5%
$0.945
+1.5%
$0.945
+2.5%
$0.955
06-13 06:02 NO @ $0.577 $12,446 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? +1.8%
$0.595
+0.8%
$0.585
-5.2%
$0.525
-24.2%
$0.335
06-13 06:02 NO @ $0.617 $8,940 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? -2.2%
$0.595
-3.2%
$0.585
-9.2%
$0.525
-28.2%
$0.335
05-29 19:03 NO @ $0.820 $10,250 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -0.5%
$0.815
-1.5%
$0.805
-0.5%
$0.815
+15.6%
$0.976
05-23 21:19 NO @ $0.460 $5,384 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? -1.5%
$0.445
-5.5%
$0.405
-7.0%
$0.390
+44.5%
$0.905
05-23 18:30 NO @ $0.610 $5,972 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? +5.5%
$0.665
+6.5%
$0.675
-13.5%
$0.475
+26.5%
$0.875

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
No paper trades from this wallet yet