โ† Back

mm4ker

0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939

๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS   auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $539,843 ยท Topical: $237,960 (44%) ยท Big buys (โ‰ฅ$5k): 16 ยท Largest: $22,000 ยท Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown โ€” settled-trade calc pending) ยท Added 05-24 20:02 ยท Last seen 07-02 11:22

Auto-Evaluation (06-28 14:27)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets163
Total buys$539,843 Largest single buy$22,000
Topical (war/politics)$237,960 Topical share44%
Big buys (โ‰ฅ$5k)16 Fingerprinttopical_mixed

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-02 11:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.038 $500 open
06-28 23:10 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NO @ $0.640 $145 open
06-28 23:10 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? NO @ $0.771 $2,500 open
06-28 22:55 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.261 $251 open
06-28 16:54 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.684 $200 open
06-28 16:54 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.696 $50 open
06-28 16:39 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.597 $500 open
06-28 14:27 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.631 $3,500 open
06-27 14:07 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? NO @ $0.840 $8,400 historical
06-27 11:21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? NO @ $0.750 $15,000 open
06-26 17:25 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.172 $250 open
06-24 05:53 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? YES @ $0.913 $500 historical
06-20 16:03 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? NO @ $0.150 $50 open
06-20 15:58 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? NO @ $0.161 $500 open
06-20 12:38 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? NO @ $0.373 $100 open
06-20 10:47 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $101 open
06-20 10:47 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.303 $50 open
06-20 10:42 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? NO @ $0.339 $250 open
06-20 00:23 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? YES @ $0.050 $1,250 open
06-19 22:10 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? NO @ $0.800 $200 open
06-19 21:54 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? NO @ $0.766 $1,000 open
06-19 13:50 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? NO @ $0.675 $200 open
06-18 13:32 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? YES @ $0.789 $1,000 open
06-18 13:16 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? NO @ $0.241 $60 open
06-17 21:04 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.936 $2,000 open
06-17 21:04 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.949 $400 open
06-17 20:59 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.931 $3,000 open
06-17 20:48 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? YES @ $0.500 $24 open
06-16 22:17 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.150 $400 open
06-16 20:07 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.197 $750 open
06-16 13:31 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.177 $750 open
06-16 12:54 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.241 $260 open
06-16 12:48 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.227 $260 open
06-16 12:38 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.214 $500 open
06-16 12:38 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.200 $14 open
06-16 12:38 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.171 $690 open
06-15 21:02 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.119 $83 open
06-15 19:48 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.131 $350 open
06-15 19:42 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.120 $180 open
06-15 15:05 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.838 $140 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) โ€” + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-02 11:22 YES @ $0.038 $500 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +0.1%
$0.039
+0.3%
$0.041
-3.6%
$0.002
-3.6%
$0.002
06-28 23:10 NO @ $0.640 $145 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? 0.0%
$0.640
+2.0%
$0.660
+34.0%
$0.980
+34.0%
$0.980
06-28 23:10 NO @ $0.771 $2,500 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? -0.1%
$0.770
+2.4%
$0.795
+22.7%
$0.999
+22.7%
$0.999
06-28 22:55 YES @ $0.261 $251 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +2.1%
$0.282
-3.5%
$0.227
-25.8%
$0.003
-25.8%
$0.003
06-28 16:54 YES @ $0.684 $200 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +0.1%
$0.685
-4.8%
$0.636
-68.0%
$0.003
-68.0%
$0.003
06-28 16:54 YES @ $0.696 $50 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -1.1%
$0.685
-6.0%
$0.636
-69.3%
$0.003
-69.3%
$0.003
06-28 16:39 YES @ $0.597 $500 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +8.5%
$0.682
+6.9%
$0.666
-59.4%
$0.003
-59.4%
$0.003
06-28 14:27 YES @ $0.631 $3,500 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -1.8%
$0.613
-3.0%
$0.601
-62.8%
$0.003
-62.8%
$0.003
06-27 14:07 NO @ $0.840 $8,400 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? 0.0%
$0.840
0.0%
$0.840
+9.5%
$0.935
+9.5%
$0.935
06-27 11:21 NO @ $0.750 $15,000 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.745
-0.5%
$0.745
+1.5%
$0.765
+1.5%
$0.765
06-26 17:25 YES @ $0.172 $250 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -13.2%
$0.040
-13.8%
$0.034
โ€”โ€”
06-24 05:53 YES @ $0.913 $500 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? +0.4%
$0.917
+0.4%
$0.917
โ€”โ€”
06-20 16:03 NO @ $0.150 $50 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? -0.9%
$0.141
+2.7%
$0.177
โ€”โ€”
06-20 15:58 NO @ $0.161 $500 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? +0.4%
$0.164
+1.4%
$0.174
โ€”โ€”
06-20 12:38 NO @ $0.373 $100 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? -4.6%
$0.328
-7.3%
$0.300
โ€”โ€”
06-20 10:47 YES @ $0.300 $101 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? +1.6%
$0.316
-1.2%
$0.287
โ€”โ€”
06-20 10:47 YES @ $0.303 $50 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? +1.2%
$0.316
-1.6%
$0.287
โ€”โ€”
06-20 10:42 NO @ $0.339 $250 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? +2.8%
$0.367
+2.2%
$0.362
โ€”โ€”
06-20 00:23 YES @ $0.050 $1,250 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? +0.5%
$0.055
+0.5%
$0.055
-3.5%
$0.015
-3.5%
$0.015
06-19 22:10 NO @ $0.800 $200 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? -5.5%
$0.745
-47.8%
$0.322
โ€”โ€”
06-19 21:54 NO @ $0.766 $1,000 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? -6.6%
$0.701
+1.2%
$0.778
โ€”โ€”
06-19 13:50 NO @ $0.675 $200 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? -1.7%
$0.657
-4.7%
$0.627
โ€”โ€”
06-18 13:32 YES @ $0.789 $1,000 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? +0.6%
$0.795
-0.4%
$0.785
โ€”โ€”
06-18 13:16 NO @ $0.241 $60 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? +2.1%
$0.262
+20.4%
$0.446
โ€”โ€”
06-17 21:04 YES @ $0.936 $2,000 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? -1.6%
$0.920
-4.1%
$0.895
โ€”โ€”
06-17 21:04 YES @ $0.949 $400 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? -1.0%
$0.939
-5.3%
$0.895
โ€”โ€”
06-17 20:59 YES @ $0.931 $3,000 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? -1.1%
$0.920
-3.5%
$0.896
โ€”โ€”
06-17 20:48 YES @ $0.500 $24 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? +3.5%
$0.535
+11.5%
$0.615
โ€”โ€”
06-16 22:17 YES @ $0.150 $400 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.145
-0.5%
$0.145
-13.0%
$0.020
-13.0%
$0.020
06-16 20:07 YES @ $0.197 $750 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.0%
$0.197
-1.0%
$0.188
-12.4%
$0.073
-12.4%
$0.073
06-16 13:31 YES @ $0.177 $750 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.0%
$0.177
-1.3%
$0.165
-15.5%
$0.022
-15.5%
$0.022
06-16 12:54 YES @ $0.241 $260 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.1%
$0.239
+4.5%
$0.286
-16.8%
$0.073
-16.8%
$0.073
06-16 12:48 YES @ $0.227 $260 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +1.2%
$0.239
+5.9%
$0.286
-15.4%
$0.073
-15.4%
$0.073
06-16 12:38 YES @ $0.214 $500 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.3%
$0.211
+6.0%
$0.275
-14.1%
$0.073
-14.1%
$0.073
06-16 12:38 YES @ $0.200 $14 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +1.1%
$0.211
+7.5%
$0.275
-12.6%
$0.074
-12.6%
$0.074
06-16 12:38 YES @ $0.171 $690 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.3%
$0.168
+0.5%
$0.175
-14.8%
$0.022
-14.8%
$0.022
06-15 21:02 YES @ $0.119 $83 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.6%
$0.114
-1.4%
$0.104
-1.8%
$0.102
-9.8%
$0.021
06-15 19:48 YES @ $0.131 $350 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -0.6%
$0.126
-0.8%
$0.123
-3.8%
$0.093
-10.9%
$0.021
06-15 19:42 YES @ $0.120 $180 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +0.5%
$0.126
+0.3%
$0.123
-2.7%
$0.093
-9.9%
$0.021

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
06-01 11:07 Iran closes its airspace by June 15? NO @ $0.879 $31 $-1.67 closed_loss