0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $606,993 · Topical: $538,496 (89%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 28 · Largest: $46,401 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-21 12:48 · Last seen 07-09 19:22
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 89 |
| Total buys | $606,993 | Largest single buy | $46,401 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $538,496 | Topical share | 89% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 28 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 19:22 | NO @ $0.740 | $1,610 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | +0.5% $0.745 | +0.5% $0.745 | +1.5% $0.755 | +4.5% $0.785 |
| 07-09 09:03 | NO @ $0.930 | $187 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.945 | +1.5% $0.945 | +1.5% $0.945 | +1.5% $0.945 |
| 07-09 02:12 | YES @ $0.480 | $33 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +1.5% $0.495 | +1.5% $0.495 | +2.5% $0.505 | +6.5% $0.545 |
| 07-07 15:36 | NO @ $0.770 | $15,400 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.765 | -0.5% $0.765 | +1.5% $0.785 | +10.5% $0.875 |
| 06-19 13:40 | NO @ $0.974 | $16,968 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | +0.3% $0.977 | +0.2% $0.976 | +2.1% $0.995 | +2.1% $0.995 |
| 06-14 17:34 | YES @ $0.236 | $971 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.9% $0.197 | -7.1% $0.165 | +1.5% $0.251 | +72.2% $0.958 |
| 06-14 16:20 | YES @ $0.586 | $5,101 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -1.1% $0.575 | -1.1% $0.575 | -2.1% $0.565 | — |
| 06-14 14:50 | YES @ $0.510 | $8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +4.0% $0.550 | +3.5% $0.545 | +4.5% $0.555 | — |
| 06-13 14:24 | YES @ $0.556 | $5,560 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.1% $0.555 | +4.9% $0.605 | +10.9% $0.665 | -5.1% $0.505 |
| 06-13 14:13 | YES @ $0.261 | $1,303 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.9% $0.211 | -7.2% $0.189 | +3.1% $0.291 | -15.6% $0.105 |
| 06-13 12:01 | YES @ $0.055 | $36 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.5% $0.059 | +0.5% $0.060 | +6.8% $0.122 | +1.8% $0.072 |
| 06-12 21:13 | YES @ $0.620 | $2,134 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | -10.0% $0.520 | -10.0% $0.520 | -10.0% $0.520 | +21.0% $0.830 |
| 06-12 17:03 | NO @ $0.810 | $16,200 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.805 | 0.0% $0.810 | +0.5% $0.815 | +2.5% $0.835 |
| 06-12 16:26 | YES @ $0.508 | $3,673 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -1.3% $0.495 | -1.3% $0.495 | -2.3% $0.485 | +10.7% $0.615 |
| 06-11 14:28 | YES @ $0.350 | $1 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | -1.5% $0.335 | -1.5% $0.335 | +29.0% $0.640 | +28.0% $0.630 |
| 06-11 14:17 | YES @ $0.360 | $1 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | -2.5% $0.335 | -2.5% $0.335 | +31.5% $0.675 | +25.5% $0.615 |
| 06-10 19:15 | YES @ $0.180 | $2,700 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.175 | -0.5% $0.175 | -2.5% $0.155 | +14.5% $0.325 |
| 06-03 16:30 | YES @ $0.280 | $1,147 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +0.5% $0.285 | -0.5% $0.275 | -1.5% $0.265 | -9.5% $0.185 |
| 06-03 16:30 | YES @ $0.120 | $1,300 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.125 | +0.5% $0.125 | +2.5% $0.145 | -7.5% $0.045 |
| 06-03 05:52 | YES @ $0.100 | $28 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | -3.5% $0.065 | -3.5% $0.065 | -3.5% $0.065 | — |
| 06-03 02:46 | NO @ $0.830 | $2,411 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | +0.5% $0.835 | +0.5% $0.835 | +0.5% $0.835 | — |
| 05-31 05:24 | NO @ $0.880 | $8,852 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +10.1% $0.981 |
| 05-31 03:25 | NO @ $0.870 | $44,370 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +0.5% $0.875 | +0.5% $0.875 | +1.5% $0.885 | +11.1% $0.981 |
| 05-30 10:19 | NO @ $0.960 | $45,120 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.3% $0.963 | +0.6% $0.966 | +0.7% $0.967 | — |
| 05-29 19:08 | YES @ $0.034 | $215 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | -1.8% $0.016 | -1.4% $0.019 | -1.7% $0.017 | — |
| 05-29 16:39 | NO @ $0.230 | $1,272 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.255 | +4.5% $0.275 | +46.5% $0.695 | — |
| 05-29 15:52 | YES @ $0.186 | $932 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -0.3% $0.183 | +3.2% $0.218 | -10.2% $0.084 | — |
| 05-28 17:09 | YES @ $0.192 | $562 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | +1.3% $0.205 | +2.5% $0.217 | -1.4% $0.178 | — |
| 05-28 15:23 | NO @ $0.890 | $7,209 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.885 | -0.5% $0.885 | -2.5% $0.865 | — |
| 05-28 15:02 | NO @ $0.890 | $15,605 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -1.5% $0.875 | +0.5% $0.895 | -2.5% $0.865 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.142 | $615 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -0.6% $0.136 | -3.1% $0.112 | +6.3% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.150 | $415 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -1.4% $0.136 | -3.8% $0.112 | +5.6% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.160 | $87 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -2.4% $0.136 | -4.8% $0.112 | +4.5% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.212 | $259 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -7.6% $0.136 | -10.0% $0.112 | -0.6% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.180 | $360 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -4.4% $0.136 | -6.8% $0.112 | +2.5% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.180 | $200 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | -4.4% $0.136 | -6.8% $0.112 | +2.5% $0.205 | — |
| 05-28 14:40 | YES @ $0.180 | $215 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 02:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.830 | $31 | $+0.19 | closed_time |
| 05-26 19:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.270 | $10 | $-0.56 | closed_loss |
| 05-25 22:24 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.219 | $40 | $-5.34 | closed_loss |