0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $1,233,606 · Topical: $1,031,952 (84%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 36 · Largest: $109,108 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-31 16:56 · Last seen 07-10 18:55
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 148 |
| Total buys | $1,233,606 | Largest single buy | $109,108 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $1,031,952 | Topical share | 84% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 36 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 18:55 | YES @ $0.209 | $27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | -0.4% $0.205 | +1.1% $0.220 | -3.9% $0.170 | — |
| 07-04 14:11 | NO @ $0.600 | $610 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +2.0% $0.620 | +0.5% $0.605 | -5.5% $0.545 | +0.5% $0.605 |
| 07-04 14:11 | NO @ $0.267 | $534 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | +3.8% $0.305 | +1.8% $0.285 | -1.7% $0.250 | +1.3% $0.280 |
| 07-03 23:36 | NO @ $0.610 | $857 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +9.0% $0.700 | +12.5% $0.735 | +12.5% $0.735 | +24.5% $0.855 |
| 07-03 23:36 | NO @ $0.623 | $623 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +7.7% $0.700 | +11.2% $0.735 | +11.2% $0.735 | +23.2% $0.855 |
| 07-03 17:17 | YES @ $0.201 | $952 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +1.2% $0.213 | -1.8% $0.183 | -18.3% $0.018 | -17.9% $0.022 |
| 07-03 17:17 | YES @ $0.188 | $376 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -2.8% $0.160 | -2.5% $0.163 | -18.7% $0.001 | -18.6% $0.002 |
| 06-30 20:55 | NO @ $0.834 | $3,850 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | +3.1% $0.865 | +3.1% $0.865 | +4.1% $0.875 | +4.1% $0.875 |
| 06-30 16:37 | YES @ $0.162 | $278 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -1.3% $0.148 | +2.0% $0.182 | -15.9% $0.003 | -15.9% $0.003 |
| 06-30 16:37 | YES @ $0.189 | $326 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -4.0% $0.148 | -0.7% $0.182 | -18.6% $0.003 | -18.6% $0.003 |
| 06-29 18:01 | NO @ $0.685 | $1,370 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -3.0% $0.655 | -3.0% $0.655 | +31.4% $0.999 | +31.4% $0.999 |
| 06-29 14:44 | YES @ $0.578 | $440 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -20.3% $0.375 | -18.8% $0.390 | -57.7% $0.002 | -57.7% $0.002 |
| 06-29 14:44 | YES @ $0.596 | $1,132 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -22.1% $0.375 | -20.6% $0.390 | -59.4% $0.002 | -59.4% $0.002 |
| 06-29 14:44 | YES @ $0.500 | $500 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -12.5% $0.375 | -11.0% $0.390 | -49.9% $0.002 | -49.9% $0.002 |
| 06-28 22:06 | NO @ $0.770 | $5,984 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -3.9% $0.730 | -1.9% $0.751 | +22.8% $0.997 | +22.8% $0.997 |
| 06-28 22:01 | NO @ $0.600 | $336 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +6.5% $0.665 | +3.5% $0.635 | +38.0% $0.980 | +38.0% $0.980 |
| 06-28 20:38 | NO @ $0.555 | $372 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +10.0% $0.655 | +7.5% $0.630 | +42.5% $0.980 | +42.5% $0.980 |
| 06-28 20:38 | NO @ $0.650 | $1,955 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +9.5% $0.745 | +4.5% $0.695 | +34.9% $0.999 | +34.9% $0.999 |
| 06-28 20:32 | NO @ $0.489 | $78 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +22.1% $0.710 | +15.6% $0.645 | +49.0% $0.980 | +49.0% $0.980 |
| 06-28 20:32 | NO @ $0.755 | $436 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +1.5% $0.770 | +1.5% $0.770 | +24.4% $0.999 | +24.4% $0.999 |
| 06-28 20:27 | NO @ $0.793 | $2,379 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -23.3% $0.560 | -23.3% $0.560 | +18.7% $0.980 | +18.7% $0.980 |
| 06-28 20:27 | NO @ $0.909 | $6,334 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -22.9% $0.680 | -22.9% $0.680 | +8.9% $0.999 | +8.9% $0.999 |
| 06-28 18:12 | YES @ $0.990 | $1,432 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | -3.7% $0.953 | -3.7% $0.953 | — | — |
| 06-28 14:47 | YES @ $0.620 | $620 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -2.4% $0.596 | -2.2% $0.598 | -61.7% $0.003 | -61.7% $0.003 |
| 06-28 12:41 | YES @ $0.932 | $4,668 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | +2.3% $0.955 | +4.8% $0.980 | — | — |
| 06-27 23:18 | NO @ $0.118 | $143 | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | -9.4% $0.024 | -9.4% $0.024 | — | — |
| 06-27 23:18 | YES @ $0.988 | $106 | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | -1.3% $0.976 | -1.3% $0.976 | — | — |
| 06-27 23:18 | YES @ $0.991 | $1,040 | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | +0.2% $0.994 | -0.2% $0.989 | — | — |
| 06-27 22:01 | YES @ $0.990 | $225 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | +0.9% $0.999 | +0.7% $0.997 | — | — |
| 06-27 22:00 | YES @ $0.994 | $398 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +0.5% $0.999 | +0.5% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-27 21:50 | YES @ $0.985 | $1,363 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | +1.4% $0.999 | +1.1% $0.997 | — | — |
| 06-27 21:50 | YES @ $0.990 | $1,874 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +0.9% $0.999 | +0.9% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-27 16:28 | NO @ $0.360 | $360 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | -5.0% $0.310 | -4.5% $0.315 | — | — |
| 06-27 16:23 | NO @ $0.294 | $151 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +1.6% $0.310 | +3.6% $0.330 | — | — |
| 06-26 20:54 | NO @ $0.959 | $501 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | -1.6% $0.943 | -0.1% $0.958 | — | — |
| 06-26 16:38 | YES @ $0.070 | $233 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +8.1% $0.151 | +7.2% $0.142 | — | — |
| 06-26 16:28 | NO @ $0.740 | $24 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +16.0% $0.900 | +14.5% $0.885 | — | — |
| 06-26 16:28 | NO @ $0.793 | $219 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | +10.7% $0.900 | +9.2% $0.885 | — | — |
| 06-26 13:09 | NO @ $0.659 | $1,464 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -3.9% $0.620 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 20:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.824 | $36 | $-3.30 | closed_loss |
| 06-12 12:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.840 | $31 | $+0.31 | closed_win |
| 06-12 05:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.645 | $33 | $-2.58 | closed_loss |
| 06-12 04:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.580 | $33 | $+3.73 | closed_win |
| 06-11 20:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.820 | $31 | $+0.19 | closed_win |
| 06-11 17:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.897 | $31 | $-1.92 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 04:48 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | NO @ $0.870 | $31 | $-2.30 | closed_loss |
| 06-04 05:46 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | NO @ $0.530 | $33 | $-10.36 | closed_loss |
| 06-03 22:53 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.585 | $33 | $-7.96 | closed_loss |
| 06-03 16:57 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.806 | $31 | $-1.94 | closed_loss |