0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $1,361,186 · Topical: $937,576 (69%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 83 · Largest: $78,000 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 10:42 · Last seen 07-08 08:32
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 122 |
| Total buys | $1,361,186 | Largest single buy | $78,000 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $937,576 | Topical share | 69% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 83 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:32 | NO @ $0.960 | $12,310 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | +0.9% $0.969 | +0.9% $0.969 | +0.9% $0.969 | +0.8% $0.969 |
| 07-08 00:30 | YES @ $0.204 | $1,624 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +3.1% $0.235 | +2.6% $0.230 | -0.9% $0.195 | -1.9% $0.185 |
| 07-08 00:20 | YES @ $0.021 | $47 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | -0.2% $0.019 | -0.7% $0.015 | -1.8% $0.003 | — |
| 07-07 19:34 | YES @ $0.130 | $23,085 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.125 | -0.5% $0.125 | +0.5% $0.135 | +1.5% $0.145 |
| 07-05 12:06 | YES @ $0.128 | $5,338 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | +0.7% $0.135 | +0.7% $0.135 | +0.7% $0.135 | -1.4% $0.115 |
| 07-05 12:06 | YES @ $0.146 | $3,063 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | -1.1% $0.135 | -1.1% $0.135 | -1.1% $0.135 | -3.1% $0.115 |
| 07-05 09:17 | YES @ $0.035 | $801 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +2.1% $0.057 | +2.2% $0.057 | +0.6% $0.042 | -0.2% $0.033 |
| 07-04 22:25 | YES @ $0.055 | $9 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +1.4% $0.069 | -0.3% $0.052 | -1.0% $0.045 | -2.5% $0.029 |
| 07-04 21:49 | YES @ $0.450 | $1,651 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +1.5% $0.465 | +1.5% $0.465 | +0.5% $0.455 | -7.0% $0.380 |
| 07-04 21:49 | YES @ $0.036 | $1,429 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +2.0% $0.057 | +2.9% $0.065 | +1.2% $0.048 | -0.5% $0.032 |
| 07-03 23:15 | YES @ $0.094 | $644 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -9.2% $0.002 | -9.2% $0.002 | -9.3% $0.001 | -9.2% $0.002 |
| 07-03 23:10 | YES @ $0.069 | $74 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -3.7% $0.032 | -4.7% $0.021 | -5.1% $0.018 | -0.5% $0.064 |
| 07-03 23:10 | YES @ $0.060 | $128 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -5.7% $0.003 | -5.8% $0.002 | -5.9% $0.001 | -5.9% $0.001 |
| 07-03 23:05 | YES @ $0.054 | $55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -2.2% $0.032 | -3.2% $0.021 | -3.6% $0.018 | +1.0% $0.064 |
| 07-03 22:54 | YES @ $0.053 | $92 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.7% $0.060 | -5.1% $0.002 | -5.2% $0.001 | -5.2% $0.001 |
| 07-03 22:03 | YES @ $0.150 | $584 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -5.0% $0.101 | -9.8% $0.052 | -14.9% $0.001 | -14.8% $0.002 |
| 07-03 21:58 | YES @ $0.197 | $681 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -8.3% $0.115 | -14.7% $0.051 | -18.0% $0.018 | -13.8% $0.059 |
| 07-03 21:42 | YES @ $0.150 | $174 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -2.2% $0.127 | -5.8% $0.092 | -14.9% $0.001 | -14.8% $0.002 |
| 07-03 19:43 | NO @ $0.789 | $7,452 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -4.2% $0.747 | +4.2% $0.831 | +21.1% $1.000 | +21.1% $1.000 |
| 07-03 19:27 | YES @ $0.296 | $3,636 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -8.1% $0.215 | -13.2% $0.165 | -29.6% $0.001 | -29.4% $0.002 |
| 07-03 18:56 | NO @ $0.900 | $4,456 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -20.2% $0.698 | -11.5% $0.784 | +10.0% $1.000 | +9.9% $0.999 |
| 07-03 18:51 | NO @ $0.848 | $7,506 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -0.7% $0.841 | -4.0% $0.808 | +15.2% $1.000 | +15.1% $0.999 |
| 07-03 18:35 | NO @ $0.838 | $8,219 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.1% $0.839 | -13.2% $0.706 | +16.2% $1.000 | +16.2% $1.000 |
| 07-03 18:30 | NO @ $0.810 | $7,623 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +9.9% $0.908 | -11.2% $0.698 | +19.0% $1.000 | +19.0% $1.000 |
| 07-03 18:30 | NO @ $0.812 | $7,029 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +7.3% $0.885 | -10.7% $0.706 | +18.7% $1.000 | +18.7% $1.000 |
| 07-03 09:17 | YES @ $0.090 | $1,845 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -0.5% $0.085 | -4.0% $0.050 | -4.5% $0.045 | -4.5% $0.045 |
| 07-03 08:20 | NO @ $0.970 | $31,546 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.2% $0.972 | +0.3% $0.973 | +1.2% $0.982 | +1.2% $0.982 |
| 07-02 16:09 | NO @ $0.900 | $1,041 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | +0.5% $0.905 | +0.5% $0.905 | +3.5% $0.935 | +3.5% $0.935 |
| 07-02 15:32 | NO @ $0.950 | $4,572 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.5% $0.955 | +0.5% $0.955 | +3.0% $0.980 | +3.0% $0.980 |
| 07-02 11:38 | YES @ $0.015 | $123 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.1% $0.016 | -0.1% $0.013 | -1.4% $0.001 | -1.4% $0.001 |
| 07-01 22:13 | NO @ $0.950 | $3,885 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | +5.0% $1.000 | +5.0% $1.000 |
| 07-01 15:17 | NO @ $0.928 | $5,802 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -0.3% $0.925 | +0.7% $0.935 | +7.1% $1.000 | +7.1% $1.000 |
| 07-01 14:56 | NO @ $0.972 | $1,824 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.6% $0.978 | +0.6% $0.978 | +1.2% $0.984 | +1.2% $0.984 |
| 07-01 14:56 | NO @ $0.980 | $40,127 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.2% $0.978 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 00:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | NO @ $0.960 | $33 | $+0.61 | closed_time |
| 06-03 20:44 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | NO @ $0.781 | $36 | $+1.57 | closed_time |
| 05-25 21:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.300 | $40 | $+6.05 | closed_win |