0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $409,960 · Topical: $235,684 (58%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 14 · Largest: $49,600 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-26 01:31 · Last seen 07-11 02:10
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 90 |
| Total buys | $409,960 | Largest single buy | $49,600 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $235,684 | Topical share | 58% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 14 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 02:10 | NO @ $0.413 | $2,770 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| 07-10 20:08 | NO @ $0.912 | $2,376 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -0.8% $0.904 | +1.0% $0.921 | +1.0% $0.921 | — |
| 07-10 20:08 | NO @ $0.910 | $1,183 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +0.6% $0.916 | +1.1% $0.921 | +1.1% $0.921 | — |
| 07-09 02:48 | NO @ $0.500 | $23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.515 | +1.5% $0.515 | +1.0% $0.510 | +2.0% $0.520 |
| 07-08 20:01 | NO @ $0.630 | $465 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.635 | +0.5% $0.635 | +0.5% $0.635 | -0.5% $0.625 |
| 07-08 14:11 | NO @ $0.840 | $328 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +2.1% $0.861 | +1.4% $0.854 | +3.0% $0.869 | +2.2% $0.863 |
| 07-07 19:39 | NO @ $0.570 | $4,660 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.575 | +0.5% $0.575 | +0.5% $0.575 | +6.5% $0.635 |
| 07-04 19:25 | NO @ $0.260 | $134 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.270 | +1.5% $0.275 | +1.5% $0.275 | +0.5% $0.265 |
| 07-04 18:34 | NO @ $0.550 | $82 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | +2.5% $0.575 | +5.0% $0.600 | -1.5% $0.535 | +7.5% $0.625 |
| 07-03 20:24 | NO @ $0.770 | $17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +7.5% $0.846 | +9.7% $0.867 | +21.2% $0.983 | +20.9% $0.979 |
| 07-03 20:14 | NO @ $0.732 | $80 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +7.3% $0.805 | +13.8% $0.869 | +25.1% $0.983 | +24.6% $0.979 |
| 07-03 19:32 | NO @ $0.718 | $29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +4.3% $0.761 | +11.2% $0.830 | +28.2% $1.000 | +28.1% $0.999 |
| 07-03 09:01 | NO @ $0.890 | $3,502 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +2.5% $0.915 | +2.5% $0.915 | +6.5% $0.955 | +6.5% $0.955 |
| 07-02 02:54 | NO @ $0.880 | $2,210 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +9.9% $0.980 | +9.9% $0.980 |
| 06-30 19:00 | NO @ $0.640 | $638 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +5.0% $0.690 | +6.5% $0.705 | +34.0% $0.980 | +34.0% $0.980 |
| 06-30 18:08 | NO @ $0.630 | $2,021 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | 0.0% $0.630 | +0.5% $0.635 | +35.0% $0.980 | +35.0% $0.980 |
| 06-30 18:03 | NO @ $0.620 | $25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +1.0% $0.630 | +1.5% $0.635 | +36.0% $0.980 | +36.0% $0.980 |
| 06-30 10:12 | YES @ $0.330 | $3 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -7.5% $0.255 | -12.5% $0.205 | -33.0% $0.001 | -33.0% $0.001 |
| 06-30 09:36 | YES @ $0.340 | $34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -0.5% $0.335 | -9.0% $0.250 | -34.0% $0.001 | -34.0% $0.001 |
| 06-30 09:21 | NO @ $0.860 | $4,555 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.865 | +0.5% $0.865 | +3.5% $0.895 | +3.5% $0.895 |
| 06-30 09:10 | YES @ $0.370 | $110 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -4.0% $0.330 | -4.0% $0.330 | -37.0% $0.001 | -37.0% $0.001 |
| 06-30 01:33 | NO @ $0.670 | $685 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +2.0% $0.690 | +1.5% $0.685 | +32.9% $0.999 | +32.9% $0.999 |
| 06-29 21:24 | NO @ $0.880 | $8,800 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.875 | -0.5% $0.875 | +1.5% $0.895 | +1.5% $0.895 |
| 06-29 19:46 | NO @ $0.650 | $28 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.5% $0.655 | +0.5% $0.655 | +34.9% $0.999 | +34.9% $0.999 |
| 06-29 06:48 | YES @ $0.156 | $38 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +7.4% $0.231 | +7.9% $0.235 | -15.3% $0.003 | -15.3% $0.003 |
| 06-26 21:25 | YES @ $0.040 | $41 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.2% $0.043 | -1.9% $0.021 | — | — |
| 06-26 17:30 | NO @ $0.738 | $2,731 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +13.7% $0.875 | +11.2% $0.850 | +23.5% $0.973 | +23.5% $0.973 |
| 06-23 09:31 | NO @ $0.860 | $8,512 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | +0.5% $0.865 | +0.5% $0.865 | -1.0% $0.850 | -1.0% $0.850 |
| 06-23 05:35 | NO @ $0.900 | $9,000 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.910 | +1.0% $0.910 | +7.0% $0.970 | +7.0% $0.970 |
| 06-23 05:35 | NO @ $0.900 | $3,292 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.910 | +1.0% $0.910 | +7.0% $0.970 | +7.0% $0.970 |
| 06-23 03:12 | NO @ $0.770 | $347 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.780 | +1.5% $0.785 | +14.5% $0.915 | +14.5% $0.915 |
| 06-22 01:15 | YES @ $0.036 | $1,080 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.3% $0.040 | -0.2% $0.034 | -3.1% $0.004 | -3.1% $0.004 |
| 06-21 22:59 | NO @ $0.910 | $13,650 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | -0.5% $0.905 | -0.5% $0.905 | -0.5% $0.905 | -0.5% $0.905 |
| 06-20 23:26 | NO @ $0.910 | $9,100 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | 0.0% $0.910 | 0.0% $0.910 | -0.5% $0.905 | -0.5% $0.905 |
| 06-20 22:33 | NO @ $0.948 | $1,912 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | +0.3% $0.952 | +0.8% $0.957 | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 03:55 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.690 | $33 | $+3.62 | closed_win |
| 06-11 01:12 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | NO @ $0.770 | $36 | $+6.23 | closed_win |
| 06-10 20:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.700 | $33 | $+0.24 | closed_time |
| 06-10 06:08 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | NO @ $0.820 | $31 | $-2.44 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 05:52 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | NO @ $0.890 | $31 | $-1.73 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 04:48 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | NO @ $0.357 | $33 | $+2.13 | closed_time |
| 06-05 22:12 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | NO @ $0.785 | $36 | $+1.39 | closed_time |
| 06-04 07:06 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | NO @ $0.820 | $31 | $+3.19 | closed_time |
| 06-04 05:03 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.420 | $33 | $+1.19 | closed_time |
| 05-26 06:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.260 | $40 | $+6.92 | closed_win |