0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711
๐ฏ POLITICS auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $641,198 ยท Topical: $500,029 (78%) ยท Big buys (โฅ$5k): 33 ยท Largest: $16,473 ยท Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown โ settled-trade calc pending) ยท Added 05-23 23:41 ยท Last seen 07-08 08:27
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 127 |
| Total buys | $641,198 | Largest single buy | $16,473 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $500,029 | Topical share | 78% |
| Big buys (โฅ$5k) | 33 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.430 | $1,283 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +1.0% $0.440 | +1.5% $0.445 | 0.0% $0.430 | +3.5% $0.465 |
| 07-08 08:22 | YES @ $0.219 | $1,586 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -2.4% $0.195 | -1.4% $0.205 | +1.6% $0.235 | -2.4% $0.195 |
| 06-29 11:37 | YES @ $0.152 | $682 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +8.8% $0.240 | +58.8% $0.740 | -15.1% $0.002 | -15.1% $0.002 |
| 06-29 11:37 | YES @ $0.170 | $788 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +7.0% $0.240 | +57.0% $0.740 | -16.8% $0.002 | -16.8% $0.002 |
| 06-28 20:43 | YES @ $0.260 | $626 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | +4.0% $0.300 | +25.0% $0.510 | +1.0% $0.270 | +1.0% $0.270 |
| 06-28 20:27 | YES @ $0.200 | $1,046 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +9.0% $0.290 | +15.5% $0.355 | -17.9% $0.021 | -17.9% $0.021 |
| 06-26 13:25 | YES @ $0.017 | $18 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | +0.2% $0.019 | +0.4% $0.021 | -0.5% $0.011 | -0.5% $0.011 |
| 06-26 13:04 | YES @ $0.166 | $84 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +6.4% $0.230 | +19.9% $0.365 | +16.9% $0.335 | +16.9% $0.335 |
| 06-20 20:48 | YES @ $0.900 | $993 | Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | +4.0% $0.940 | +6.0% $0.960 | โ | โ |
| 06-19 13:02 | NO @ $0.594 | $714 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | +12.3% $0.717 | +3.5% $0.629 | โ | โ |
| 06-19 13:02 | YES @ $0.283 | $602 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | +9.0% $0.373 | +8.6% $0.368 | โ | โ |
| 06-18 00:12 | NO @ $0.490 | $10 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | +18.0% $0.670 | +18.0% $0.670 | +43.5% $0.925 | +43.5% $0.925 |
| 06-17 21:42 | YES @ $0.120 | $57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | -7.0% $0.050 | -7.0% $0.050 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 17:34 | NO @ $0.709 | $1,885 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -13.4% $0.575 | -14.4% $0.565 | +26.7% $0.976 | +26.7% $0.976 |
| 06-17 17:23 | YES @ $0.026 | $87 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | +2.0% $0.046 | +0.4% $0.030 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 17:18 | YES @ $0.460 | $378 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | +47.7% $0.937 | +52.2% $0.983 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 16:24 | YES @ $0.203 | $144 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | -8.3% $0.120 | -8.3% $0.120 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 15:20 | YES @ $0.031 | $320 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | +6.0% $0.090 | +0.9% $0.040 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 15:20 | YES @ $0.053 | $1,099 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | +3.8% $0.090 | -1.3% $0.040 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 15:09 | YES @ $0.770 | $1,938 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +4.7% $0.817 | +7.5% $0.846 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 14:37 | YES @ $0.679 | $728 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +5.9% $0.738 | +13.8% $0.817 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 14:31 | YES @ $0.581 | $50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +27.0% $0.851 | +31.8% $0.899 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 10:58 | NO @ $0.084 | $366 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +0.1% $0.085 | -0.6% $0.078 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 09:32 | YES @ $0.889 | $995 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | -0.2% $0.887 | -1.9% $0.871 | โ | โ |
| 06-14 21:51 | NO @ $0.140 | $298 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -1.0% $0.130 | -3.5% $0.105 | -7.5% $0.065 | โ |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.970 | $12,247 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +2.5% $0.995 | +2.8% $0.998 | โ | โ |
| 06-14 14:55 | YES @ $0.118 | $1,064 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.8% $0.100 | -2.1% $0.097 | +4.3% $0.162 | +81.2% $0.930 |
| 06-14 13:36 | YES @ $0.120 | $287 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.7% $0.114 | -3.0% $0.090 | +9.3% $0.213 | +77.5% $0.895 |
| 06-13 11:18 | YES @ $0.179 | $582 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +5.8% $0.236 | +8.0% $0.259 | +0.9% $0.189 | +4.9% $0.228 |
| 06-12 20:15 | YES @ $0.106 | $306 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | +1.4% $0.120 | +1.4% $0.120 | -5.1% $0.055 | -4.1% $0.065 |
| 06-12 19:59 | NO @ $0.470 | $4,179 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +18.5% $0.655 | +16.5% $0.635 | +24.0% $0.710 | +18.0% $0.650 |
| 06-12 19:59 | YES @ $0.193 | $1,984 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.6% $0.167 | -3.4% $0.159 | -1.3% $0.179 | +6.6% $0.259 |
| 06-12 17:24 | YES @ $0.096 | $478 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.1% $0.106 | +2.2% $0.117 | +1.1% $0.106 | +3.2% $0.128 |
| 06-12 17:24 | YES @ $0.096 | $480 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.1% $0.106 | +2.1% $0.117 | +1.1% $0.106 | +3.2% $0.128 |
| 06-12 11:42 | YES @ $0.077 | $769 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.3% $0.080 | +0.3% $0.080 | +1.4% $0.091 | +4.0% $0.117 |
| 06-11 19:43 | YES @ $0.195 | $10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.2% $0.172 | -3.4% $0.162 | -6.1% $0.134 | -1.9% $0.176 |
| 06-11 19:27 | YES @ $0.165 | $311 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +7.5% $0.240 | +8.0% $0.245 | +6.0% $0.225 | +1.5% $0.180 |
| 06-11 19:22 | YES @ $0.134 | $715 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +2.0% $0.154 | +3.9% $0.172 | -0.8% $0.126 | +6.3% $0.198 |
| 06-11 19:22 | YES @ $0.139 | $1,047 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.5% $0.154 | โ | โ | โ |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 12:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.362 | $40 | $-2.94 | closed_loss |