0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
๐ฏ POLITICS auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $724,705 ยท Topical: $536,345 (74%) ยท Big buys (โฅ$5k): 34 ยท Largest: $24,700 ยท Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown โ settled-trade calc pending) ยท Added 05-30 06:45 ยท Last seen 06-30 18:24
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 83 |
| Total buys | $724,705 | Largest single buy | $24,700 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $536,345 | Topical share | 74% |
| Big buys (โฅ$5k) | 34 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 18:24 | NO @ $0.826 | $83 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +0.5% $0.831 | +1.1% $0.837 | +17.1% $0.998 | +17.1% $0.998 |
| 06-29 16:07 | NO @ $0.807 | $552 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +5.0% $0.858 | +3.0% $0.838 | +19.0% $0.998 | +19.0% $0.998 |
| 06-29 16:07 | NO @ $0.829 | $317 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +1.5% $0.844 | +0.5% $0.835 | +16.8% $0.998 | +16.8% $0.998 |
| 06-28 09:46 | YES @ $0.940 | $2,350 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | -0.5% $0.935 | -1.5% $0.925 | โ | โ |
| 06-24 13:35 | YES @ $0.647 | $13,158 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | +1.8% $0.665 | +0.8% $0.655 | -6.2% $0.585 | -6.2% $0.585 |
| 06-23 08:23 | YES @ $0.610 | $3,050 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | +0.5% $0.615 | +0.5% $0.615 | -2.5% $0.585 | -2.5% $0.585 |
| 06-22 12:57 | YES @ $0.596 | $10,000 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | +0.9% $0.605 | +0.9% $0.605 | -1.1% $0.585 | -1.1% $0.585 |
| 06-21 13:59 | YES @ $0.596 | $12,897 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | +0.9% $0.605 | -0.1% $0.595 | -1.1% $0.585 | -1.1% $0.585 |
| 06-21 13:43 | YES @ $0.580 | $1,914 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | +2.5% $0.605 | +2.0% $0.600 | +0.5% $0.585 | +0.5% $0.585 |
| 06-20 17:59 | NO @ $0.870 | $11,601 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.875 | +0.5% $0.875 | +8.5% $0.955 | +8.5% $0.955 |
| 06-20 17:38 | NO @ $0.986 | $1,515 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | +0.1% $0.987 | +0.1% $0.987 | +0.5% $0.992 | +0.5% $0.992 |
| 06-19 19:51 | NO @ $0.760 | $2,280 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -1.5% $0.745 | +1.5% $0.775 | +22.6% $0.986 | +22.6% $0.986 |
| 06-17 10:25 | YES @ $0.870 | $180 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | +0.5% $0.875 | +0.5% $0.875 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 08:22 | NO @ $0.933 | $1,183 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.1% $0.934 | -6.3% $0.871 | +4.5% $0.978 | +4.5% $0.978 |
| 06-17 08:22 | YES @ $0.880 | $2,495 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | +0.5% $0.885 | -0.5% $0.875 | โ | โ |
| 06-17 07:29 | NO @ $0.840 | $477 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.9% $0.849 | +3.0% $0.869 | +14.5% $0.985 | +14.5% $0.985 |
| 06-17 06:19 | NO @ $0.905 | $24 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.7% $0.911 | +0.9% $0.914 | +7.2% $0.977 | +7.2% $0.977 |
| 06-16 20:57 | NO @ $0.939 | $2,295 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +0.6% $0.946 | +1.1% $0.950 | +4.1% $0.980 | +4.1% $0.980 |
| 06-16 20:34 | YES @ $0.930 | $4,650 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | +4.0% $0.970 | +4.8% $0.978 | โ | โ |
| 06-16 18:58 | YES @ $0.746 | $3,016 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -14.1% $0.605 | -13.1% $0.615 | โ | โ |
| 06-16 18:52 | YES @ $0.631 | $4,447 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | -2.6% $0.605 | -5.6% $0.575 | โ | โ |
| 06-16 18:42 | NO @ $0.637 | $6,365 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -4.2% $0.595 | -3.1% $0.605 | +32.3% $0.960 | +32.3% $0.960 |
| 06-16 18:10 | NO @ $0.654 | $955 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +2.6% $0.680 | +7.6% $0.730 | โ | โ |
| 06-16 17:16 | NO @ $0.840 | $201 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.1% $0.852 | +1.1% $0.852 | +13.8% $0.978 | +13.8% $0.978 |
| 06-16 12:27 | NO @ $0.850 | $1,324 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.855 | 0.0% $0.850 | +4.5% $0.895 | +4.5% $0.895 |
| 06-15 21:24 | NO @ $0.897 | $4,443 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -1.3% $0.883 | +0.9% $0.905 | +0.1% $0.897 | +8.3% $0.980 |
| 06-15 08:41 | NO @ $0.816 | $4,079 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +1.6% $0.832 | +2.0% $0.836 | +3.7% $0.853 | +15.2% $0.968 |
| 06-15 08:20 | NO @ $0.920 | $5,846 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | +2.5% $0.945 | +2.5% $0.945 | +2.5% $0.945 | +6.8% $0.989 |
| 06-14 18:17 | YES @ $0.370 | $6 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +3.5% $0.405 | +8.0% $0.450 | +6.0% $0.430 | -1.5% $0.355 |
| 06-14 18:11 | YES @ $0.173 | $910 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.1% $0.162 | -5.0% $0.123 | +59.2% $0.764 | +82.7% $1.000 |
| 06-14 17:13 | YES @ $0.217 | $669 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.4% $0.213 | -2.1% $0.197 | +0.5% $0.223 | +73.2% $0.950 |
| 06-14 17:08 | YES @ $0.210 | $757 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.4% $0.213 | -1.3% $0.197 | +4.3% $0.253 | +74.0% $0.950 |
| 06-14 16:25 | YES @ $0.170 | $1,299 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.9% $0.189 | +4.0% $0.210 | -0.6% $0.164 | +78.5% $0.955 |
| 06-14 14:02 | YES @ $0.100 | $1,064 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.9% $0.090 | -0.7% $0.092 | +16.2% $0.262 | +81.4% $0.913 |
| 06-14 07:31 | YES @ $0.257 | $62 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.9% $0.248 | -1.0% $0.247 | -3.0% $0.228 | +60.0% $0.858 |
| 06-13 22:31 | YES @ $0.264 | $2,626 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.7% $0.237 | -2.1% $0.243 | โ | โ |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 21:46 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.675 | $33 | $-1.97 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 11:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.591 | $33 | $+3.58 | closed_win |
| 05-30 06:51 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | YES @ $0.390 | $10 | $+0.90 | closed_win |