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Castwolffox

0x612b36dc9ab6d1371103557ec8ad9ed0d2d16fdd

⚠️ SUSPECT   auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $273,432 · Topical: $269,532 (99%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 15 · Largest: $34,159 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-18 22:12 · Last seen 06-10 17:21

Auto-Evaluation (05-29 01:58)

Total recent trades120 Distinct markets36
Total buys$273,432 Largest single buy$34,159
Topical (war/politics)$269,532 Topical share99%
Big buys (≥$5k)15 Fingerprintpure_war_specialist

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
06-10 17:21 Israel closes its airspace by June 30? YES @ $0.359 $806 open
06-05 09:02 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.870 $924 open
06-05 01:00 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? NO @ $0.950 $100 open
06-04 17:12 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? NO @ $0.962 $1,350 open
06-04 17:12 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? NO @ $0.962 $1,350 open
06-04 12:01 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.833 $10 open
06-04 11:34 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.840 $200 open
06-03 18:45 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? NO @ $0.430 $100 open
06-03 15:41 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.460 $100 open
06-03 15:36 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.460 $100 open
05-29 15:20 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.791 $5,535 open
05-29 15:14 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.759 $4,549 open
05-29 15:14 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.790 $9,478 open
05-29 15:09 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.805 $10,000 open
05-29 15:09 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.794 $10,000 open
05-29 15:09 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.805 $1,277 open
05-29 05:47 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.801 $10,000 open
05-29 05:42 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? NO @ $0.700 $5,000 open
05-29 01:58 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.845 $7,873 open
05-26 04:28 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.759 $34,159 open
05-26 04:28 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.770 $10,840 open
05-18 22:12 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.840 $9,374 historical

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
06-10 17:21 YES @ $0.359 $806 Israel closes its airspace by June 30? +0.6%
$0.365
-0.4%
$0.355
+0.6%
$0.365
-1.4%
$0.345
06-05 09:02 NO @ $0.870 $924 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? -0.5%
$0.865
+1.5%
$0.885
+1.5%
$0.885
+8.5%
$0.955
06-05 01:00 NO @ $0.950 $100 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? -0.5%
$0.945
-0.5%
$0.945
-0.5%
$0.945
06-04 17:12 NO @ $0.962 $1,350 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -0.1%
$0.961
-0.2%
$0.960
+0.1%
$0.963
06-04 17:12 NO @ $0.962 $1,350 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? -0.2%
$0.960
-0.2%
$0.960
+0.1%
$0.963
06-04 12:01 NO @ $0.833 $10 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? +1.2%
$0.845
+1.2%
$0.845
+4.2%
$0.875
+5.7%
$0.890
06-04 11:34 NO @ $0.840 $200 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? -1.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.845
+2.5%
$0.865
+5.0%
$0.890
06-03 18:45 NO @ $0.430 $100 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? +0.5%
$0.435
+0.5%
$0.435
-3.5%
$0.395
+15.5%
$0.585
06-03 15:41 NO @ $0.460 $100 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.455
-0.5%
$0.455
+1.0%
$0.470
+15.5%
$0.615
06-03 15:36 NO @ $0.460 $100 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? -0.5%
$0.455
-0.5%
$0.455
+1.0%
$0.470
+15.5%
$0.615
05-29 15:20 YES @ $0.791 $5,535 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -9.6%
$0.695
-4.1%
$0.750
-42.1%
$0.370
05-29 15:14 YES @ $0.759 $4,549 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -9.8%
$0.660
-9.3%
$0.665
-38.9%
$0.370
05-29 15:14 YES @ $0.790 $9,478 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -13.0%
$0.660
-12.5%
$0.665
-42.0%
$0.370
05-29 15:09 YES @ $0.805 $10,000 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -1.5%
$0.790
-14.0%
$0.665
-44.5%
$0.360
05-29 15:09 YES @ $0.794 $10,000 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -0.4%
$0.790
-12.9%
$0.665
-43.4%
$0.360
05-29 15:09 YES @ $0.805 $1,277 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -14.5%
$0.660
-14.0%
$0.665
-44.5%
$0.360
05-29 05:47 NO @ $0.801 $10,000 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? +0.9%
$0.810
+0.4%
$0.805
-0.6%
$0.795
05-29 05:42 NO @ $0.700 $5,000 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? +1.5%
$0.715
+2.5%
$0.725
+3.5%
$0.735
05-29 01:58 NO @ $0.845 $7,873 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? -2.5%
$0.820
-3.0%
$0.815
-6.5%
$0.780
05-26 04:28 NO @ $0.759 $34,159 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? -1.4%
$0.745
-0.4%
$0.755
-1.4%
$0.745
05-26 04:28 NO @ $0.770 $10,840 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? -2.5%
$0.745
-1.5%
$0.755
-2.5%
$0.745
05-18 22:12 NO @ $0.840 $9,374 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? +5.5%
$0.895
+5.5%
$0.895
+5.5%
$0.895
+6.5%
$0.905

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
06-05 09:02 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.870 $31 $+1.95 closed_time
06-03 18:45 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? NO @ $0.430 $33 $-2.71 closed_loss
06-03 15:36 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.460 $33 $-0.72 closed_time
05-29 15:09 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.794 $40 $-2.45 closed_loss