0x5f176a980de5b25f89f17473e5e8adef565c519e
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-added: geopolitics WR=100.0% closed=16 pnl=$29,069
Lifetime P&L: $29,069 · WR: 100% · Added 05-19 00:24 · Last seen 06-14 18:38
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 183 |
| Total buys | $3,319,184 | Largest single buy | $112,000 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $1,217,430 | Topical share | 37% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 184 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 18:38 | YES @ $0.660 | $1 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | -1.5% $0.645 | +0.5% $0.665 | +33.8% $0.998 | — |
| 06-14 18:38 | YES @ $0.780 | $1 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | -1.0% $0.770 | -0.5% $0.775 | +21.9% $1.000 | — |
| 06-11 13:50 | NO @ $0.969 | $26,800 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.966 | -0.3% $0.966 | -9.2% $0.877 | -12.9% $0.840 |
| 06-05 06:27 | NO @ $0.870 | $14,370 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.865 | -0.5% $0.865 | +1.5% $0.885 | +8.5% $0.955 |
| 06-03 05:52 | NO @ $0.890 | $1 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | +4.5% $0.935 | +4.5% $0.935 | +4.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-02 06:16 | NO @ $0.860 | $5,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.855 | -0.5% $0.855 | +0.5% $0.865 | — |
| 06-02 06:16 | NO @ $0.950 | $5,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | — |
| 06-02 04:10 | NO @ $0.858 | $3,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.855 | -0.3% $0.855 | -0.3% $0.855 | — |
| 06-02 04:10 | NO @ $0.950 | $10,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | — |
| 06-02 02:49 | NO @ $0.850 | $2,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.845 | -0.5% $0.845 | +0.5% $0.855 | — |
| 06-02 02:44 | NO @ $0.950 | $2,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | -0.5% $0.945 | — |
| 06-01 18:27 | NO @ $0.859 | $15,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.4% $0.845 | -1.4% $0.845 | -3.4% $0.825 | — |
| 06-01 18:27 | NO @ $0.940 | $15,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.935 | -1.5% $0.925 | -0.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-01 17:17 | YES @ $0.531 | $2,100 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +4.4% $0.575 | +11.4% $0.645 | +5.9% $0.590 | — |
| 06-01 14:03 | YES @ $0.613 | $5,900 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | -9.8% $0.515 | -18.9% $0.425 | +0.7% $0.620 | -17.9% $0.435 |
| 06-01 08:12 | YES @ $0.645 | $10,190 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +0.0% $0.645 | +0.0% $0.645 | -2.5% $0.620 | -21.0% $0.435 |
| 06-01 04:55 | NO @ $0.850 | $10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +9.0% $0.940 | +9.0% $0.940 | +9.0% $0.940 | +9.5% $0.945 |
| 05-31 06:32 | YES @ $0.650 | $1 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | -1.0% $0.640 | +0.5% $0.655 | +1.0% $0.660 | -14.5% $0.505 |
| 05-30 07:58 | NO @ $0.960 | $22,400 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | +0.7% $0.967 | — |
| 05-30 07:48 | NO @ $0.590 | $1 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +0.5% $0.595 | +0.5% $0.595 | +1.5% $0.605 | +14.5% $0.735 |
| 05-30 07:48 | NO @ $0.850 | $15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | -0.5% $0.845 | -0.5% $0.845 | +0.5% $0.855 | +12.2% $0.973 |
| 05-30 07:43 | NO @ $0.780 | $15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.785 | -0.5% $0.775 | +0.5% $0.785 | +10.5% $0.885 |
| 05-30 07:43 | NO @ $0.670 | $1 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.5% $0.665 | -0.5% $0.665 | +0.5% $0.675 | +8.0% $0.750 |
| 05-30 07:43 | NO @ $0.960 | $15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.955 | -0.5% $0.955 | +0.9% $0.970 | — |
| 05-29 06:02 | NO @ $0.857 | $28,500 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | +0.9% $0.866 | +0.7% $0.863 | +0.1% $0.858 | — |
| 05-24 00:23 | YES @ $0.966 | $4,160 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | -0.6% $0.960 | -0.1% $0.965 | +1.4% $0.980 | +2.1% $0.988 |
| 05-23 03:41 | NO @ $0.916 | $9,960 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -1.1% $0.905 | -0.1% $0.915 | -0.1% $0.915 | -29.1% $0.625 |
| 05-23 03:37 | NO @ $0.916 | $9,960 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -1.1% $0.905 | -0.1% $0.915 | -0.1% $0.915 | -29.1% $0.625 |
| 05-23 03:35 | YES @ $0.753 | $13,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | +4.2% $0.795 | +8.2% $0.835 | +3.2% $0.785 | +22.3% $0.976 |
| 05-23 03:34 | YES @ $0.753 | $13,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | +4.2% $0.795 | +8.2% $0.835 | +3.2% $0.785 | +22.3% $0.976 |
| 05-20 18:49 | YES @ $0.886 | $13,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | +4.0% $0.925 | +2.5% $0.910 | +1.4% $0.900 | +5.0% $0.935 |
| 05-20 18:49 | YES @ $0.951 | $17,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? | +0.4% $0.955 | +0.4% $0.955 | +0.0% $0.952 | +1.7% $0.969 |
| 05-20 18:48 | YES @ $0.951 | $17,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? | +0.4% $0.955 | +0.4% $0.955 | +0.0% $0.952 | +1.7% $0.969 |
| 05-20 18:47 | YES @ $0.886 | $13,500 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | +4.0% $0.925 | +2.5% $0.910 | +1.4% $0.900 | +5.0% $0.935 |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 06:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.870 | $40 | $+2.53 | closed_time |
| 06-03 05:52 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.890 | $40 | $+1.57 | closed_time |
| 05-31 06:32 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | YES @ $0.650 | $32 | $+1.74 | closed_win |