0x5ccf62ac8155e49bc7d021a1a66e9ef18f5579d7
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $247,500 · Topical: $116,153 (47%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 3 · Largest: $44,865 · Fingerprint: topical_mixed (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-26 23:08 · Last seen 07-10 14:47
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 72 |
| Total buys | $247,500 | Largest single buy | $44,865 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $116,153 | Topical share | 47% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 3 | Fingerprint | topical_mixed |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:47 | NO @ $0.862 | $967 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +0.3% $0.865 | +0.1% $0.863 | +1.7% $0.879 | — |
| 07-09 18:35 | YES @ $0.310 | $319 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -0.5% $0.305 | -5.5% $0.255 | -6.0% $0.250 | -8.5% $0.225 |
| 07-09 18:35 | YES @ $0.320 | $155 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -2.5% $0.295 | -6.5% $0.255 | -7.0% $0.250 | -9.5% $0.225 |
| 07-08 13:29 | NO @ $0.740 | $740 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -2.5% $0.715 | -0.5% $0.735 | +2.5% $0.765 | +1.5% $0.755 |
| 07-08 08:32 | NO @ $0.950 | $10 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.969 | +1.9% $0.969 |
| 07-08 01:33 | NO @ $0.989 | $1,978 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | +0.7% $0.996 | +0.7% $0.996 | +0.9% $0.999 | — |
| 07-08 01:32 | NO @ $0.990 | $171 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | +0.6% $0.996 | +0.6% $0.996 | +0.8% $0.999 | — |
| 07-08 00:56 | YES @ $0.140 | $4,407 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | +0.5% $0.145 | +0.5% $0.145 | +0.5% $0.145 | +2.5% $0.165 |
| 07-07 23:54 | NO @ $0.892 | $310 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | -0.9% $0.883 | -2.6% $0.865 | +2.7% $0.918 | -7.0% $0.822 |
| 07-03 17:17 | YES @ $0.159 | $3 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.1% $0.160 | +0.4% $0.163 | -15.8% $0.001 | -15.8% $0.001 |
| 07-03 16:57 | YES @ $0.035 | $48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +15.0% $0.185 | +28.0% $0.316 | -3.5% $0.001 | -3.5% $0.001 |
| 07-03 16:57 | YES @ $0.030 | $1 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +15.6% $0.185 | +28.6% $0.316 | -3.0% $0.001 | -3.0% $0.001 |
| 07-03 16:57 | YES @ $0.045 | $45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +14.1% $0.185 | +27.1% $0.316 | -4.5% $0.001 | -4.5% $0.001 |
| 07-03 09:01 | NO @ $0.890 | $445 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +2.5% $0.915 | +2.5% $0.915 | +6.5% $0.955 | +6.5% $0.955 |
| 07-01 16:50 | YES @ $0.130 | $3 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +6.5% $0.195 | +8.5% $0.215 | -7.5% $0.055 | -7.5% $0.055 |
| 07-01 16:50 | YES @ $0.140 | $3 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +5.5% $0.195 | +7.5% $0.215 | -8.5% $0.055 | -8.5% $0.055 |
| 07-01 16:50 | YES @ $0.150 | $83 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +4.5% $0.195 | +6.5% $0.215 | -9.5% $0.055 | -9.5% $0.055 |
| 07-01 16:50 | YES @ $0.160 | $32 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +3.5% $0.195 | +3.0% $0.190 | -10.5% $0.055 | -10.5% $0.055 |
| 06-29 14:49 | NO @ $0.650 | $115 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -0.5% $0.645 | -4.5% $0.605 | +34.9% $0.999 | +34.9% $0.999 |
| 06-28 00:15 | YES @ $0.921 | $460 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | -39.9% $0.521 | -38.1% $0.539 | -91.8% $0.003 | -91.8% $0.003 |
| 06-27 23:18 | YES @ $0.987 | $494 | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | -1.1% $0.976 | -1.1% $0.976 | — | — |
| 06-26 21:20 | YES @ $0.036 | $24 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.8% $0.044 | -1.0% $0.026 | — | — |
| 06-20 21:35 | YES @ $0.935 | $467 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +3.0% $0.966 | +1.1% $0.946 | — | — |
| 06-19 00:45 | YES @ $0.760 | $1,287 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -9.5% $0.665 | -16.0% $0.600 | -74.8% $0.013 | -74.8% $0.013 |
| 06-19 00:45 | YES @ $0.750 | $8 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -8.5% $0.665 | -15.0% $0.600 | -73.7% $0.013 | -73.7% $0.013 |
| 06-19 00:29 | YES @ $0.700 | $1,905 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +5.5% $0.755 | -6.5% $0.635 | -68.7% $0.013 | -68.7% $0.013 |
| 06-19 00:13 | YES @ $0.640 | $1,920 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +9.5% $0.735 | +2.5% $0.665 | -62.7% $0.013 | -62.7% $0.013 |
| 06-18 23:14 | NO @ $0.628 | $2,104 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | -1.6% $0.613 | -3.4% $0.595 | — | — |
| 06-18 22:05 | NO @ $0.599 | $1,150 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +2.2% $0.621 | +1.9% $0.619 | — | — |
| 06-18 21:28 | NO @ $0.609 | $609 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | -4.8% $0.561 | -0.5% $0.604 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:41 | NO @ $0.508 | $1,016 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +5.7% $0.565 | +5.3% $0.560 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:36 | NO @ $0.485 | $10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +13.1% $0.616 | +7.5% $0.560 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:36 | NO @ $0.486 | $486 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +13.0% $0.616 | +7.5% $0.560 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:36 | NO @ $0.486 | $486 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +13.0% $0.616 | +7.5% $0.560 | — | — |
| 06-18 19:30 | NO @ $0.650 | $23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -6.5% $0.585 | -24.5% $0.405 | +33.9% $0.989 | +33.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 19:30 | NO @ $0.650 | $10 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | -6.5% $0.585 | -24.5% $0.405 | +33.9% $0.989 | +33.9% $0.989 |
| 06-18 16:12 | NO @ $0.210 | $6 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | +3.5% $0.245 | +4.5% $0.255 | — | — |
| 06-18 16:12 | NO @ $0.220 | $220 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | +2.5% $0.245 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 20:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.860 | $31 | $+0.18 | closed_time |