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Arbguy

0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177

⚠️ SUSPECT   auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $2,704,841 · Topical: $2,327,436 (86%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 119 · Largest: $199,800 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-20 14:18 · Last seen 07-05 11:20

Auto-Evaluation (07-05 11:20)

Total recent trades500 Distinct markets128
Total buys$2,704,841 Largest single buy$199,800
Topical (war/politics)$2,327,436 Topical share86%
Big buys (≥$5k)119 Fingerprintpure_war_specialist

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
07-05 11:20 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NO @ $0.910 $5,429 open
07-03 23:41 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NO @ $0.986 $87,020 open
06-29 22:32 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.347 $50 open
06-29 22:27 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.359 $146 open
06-29 22:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.297 $923 open
06-29 22:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.348 $708 open
06-29 20:43 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.314 $221 open
06-29 20:43 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.335 $52 open
06-29 20:43 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.341 $16 open
06-29 20:27 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.311 $8 open
06-29 20:27 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.336 $8 open
06-29 20:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.360 $81 open
06-29 20:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.336 $27 open
06-29 20:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.349 $7 open
06-29 20:22 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.348 $79 open
06-29 20:17 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.371 $266 open
06-29 20:17 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.317 $41 open
06-29 20:17 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.364 $74 open
06-29 20:12 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.332 $127 open
06-29 20:12 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.356 $19 open
06-29 20:12 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.387 $44 open
06-29 20:12 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.385 $20 open
06-29 20:06 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.224 $126 open
06-29 20:06 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.249 $425 open
06-29 20:06 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.300 $303 open
06-29 20:06 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.316 $18 open
06-29 20:01 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.198 $549 open
06-29 20:01 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.200 $20 open
06-29 19:20 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.172 $140 open
06-29 19:20 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.189 $77 open
06-29 14:23 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YES @ $0.176 $77 open
06-27 11:21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? NO @ $0.750 $18,750 historical
06-26 21:46 Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? NO @ $0.653 $944 open
06-25 10:57 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? YES @ $0.029 $399 open
06-24 06:40 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? NO @ $0.790 $27,650 historical
06-24 00:00 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? YES @ $0.023 $882 open
06-23 23:55 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? YES @ $0.029 $285 open
06-23 22:14 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? YES @ $0.210 $117 open
06-23 22:14 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? YES @ $0.038 $775 open
06-23 19:24 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? NO @ $0.730 $25,550 open

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
07-05 11:20 NO @ $0.910 $5,429 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? +5.2%
$0.962
+5.4%
$0.964
+6.2%
$0.972
+4.1%
$0.951
07-03 23:41 NO @ $0.986 $87,020 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? -0.8%
$0.979
-1.0%
$0.977
-0.4%
$0.983
-4.2%
$0.944
06-29 22:32 YES @ $0.347 $50 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -9.9%
$0.248
-9.4%
$0.253
-34.5%
$0.003
-34.5%
$0.003
06-29 22:27 YES @ $0.359 $146 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -11.0%
$0.248
-10.4%
$0.255
-35.6%
$0.003
-35.6%
$0.003
06-29 22:22 YES @ $0.297 $923 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.7%
$0.251
-4.6%
$0.251
-29.4%
$0.003
-29.4%
$0.003
06-29 22:22 YES @ $0.348 $708 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -9.8%
$0.251
-9.7%
$0.251
-34.6%
$0.003
-34.6%
$0.003
06-29 20:43 YES @ $0.314 $221 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.9%
$0.285
-9.3%
$0.222
-31.2%
$0.003
-31.2%
$0.003
06-29 20:43 YES @ $0.335 $52 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -5.0%
$0.285
-11.4%
$0.222
-33.3%
$0.003
-33.3%
$0.003
06-29 20:43 YES @ $0.341 $16 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.8%
$0.293
-12.0%
$0.222
-33.9%
$0.003
-33.9%
$0.003
06-29 20:27 YES @ $0.311 $8 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +1.9%
$0.331
-3.4%
$0.277
-30.9%
$0.003
-30.9%
$0.003
06-29 20:27 YES @ $0.336 $8 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.3%
$0.293
-6.0%
$0.277
-33.4%
$0.003
-33.4%
$0.003
06-29 20:22 YES @ $0.360 $81 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.4%
$0.317
-6.0%
$0.300
-35.8%
$0.003
-35.8%
$0.003
06-29 20:22 YES @ $0.336 $27 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.0%
$0.317
-3.6%
$0.300
-33.4%
$0.003
-33.4%
$0.003
06-29 20:22 YES @ $0.349 $7 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -3.2%
$0.317
-4.8%
$0.300
-34.6%
$0.003
-34.6%
$0.003
06-29 20:22 YES @ $0.348 $79 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -1.7%
$0.331
-4.7%
$0.300
-34.5%
$0.003
-34.5%
$0.003
06-29 20:17 YES @ $0.371 $266 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -3.7%
$0.334
-7.8%
$0.293
-36.8%
$0.003
-36.8%
$0.003
06-29 20:17 YES @ $0.317 $41 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -0.1%
$0.317
-2.4%
$0.293
-31.5%
$0.003
-31.5%
$0.003
06-29 20:17 YES @ $0.364 $74 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.8%
$0.317
-7.1%
$0.293
-36.1%
$0.003
-36.1%
$0.003
06-29 20:12 YES @ $0.332 $127 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.3%
$0.309
-4.7%
$0.285
-33.0%
$0.003
-33.0%
$0.003
06-29 20:12 YES @ $0.356 $19 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -4.7%
$0.309
-7.1%
$0.285
-35.3%
$0.003
-35.3%
$0.003
06-29 20:12 YES @ $0.387 $44 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -7.8%
$0.309
-10.2%
$0.285
-38.4%
$0.003
-38.4%
$0.003
06-29 20:12 YES @ $0.385 $20 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -5.1%
$0.334
-10.0%
$0.285
-38.3%
$0.003
-38.3%
$0.003
06-29 20:06 YES @ $0.224 $126 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +9.8%
$0.322
+7.3%
$0.297
-22.2%
$0.003
-22.2%
$0.003
06-29 20:06 YES @ $0.249 $425 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +7.2%
$0.322
+4.8%
$0.297
-24.7%
$0.003
-24.7%
$0.003
06-29 20:06 YES @ $0.300 $303 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +0.9%
$0.309
-0.3%
$0.297
-29.8%
$0.003
-29.8%
$0.003
06-29 20:06 YES @ $0.316 $18 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -0.7%
$0.309
-1.9%
$0.297
-31.3%
$0.003
-31.3%
$0.003
06-29 20:01 YES @ $0.198 $549 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +12.3%
$0.321
+9.6%
$0.293
-19.5%
$0.003
-19.5%
$0.003
06-29 20:01 YES @ $0.200 $20 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +12.2%
$0.321
+9.4%
$0.293
-19.7%
$0.003
-19.7%
$0.003
06-29 19:20 YES @ $0.172 $140 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -1.0%
$0.162
+14.4%
$0.316
-16.9%
$0.003
-16.9%
$0.003
06-29 19:20 YES @ $0.189 $77 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? -2.7%
$0.162
+12.7%
$0.316
-18.7%
$0.003
-18.7%
$0.003
06-29 14:23 YES @ $0.176 $77 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? +7.4%
$0.251
+6.4%
$0.240
-17.3%
$0.003
-17.3%
$0.003
06-27 11:21 NO @ $0.750 $18,750 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? -0.5%
$0.745
-0.5%
$0.745
06-26 21:46 NO @ $0.653 $944 Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? +24.6%
$0.899
+23.3%
$0.886
06-25 10:57 YES @ $0.029 $399 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? -0.0%
$0.029
-0.1%
$0.029
-2.1%
$0.009
-2.1%
$0.009

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
06-28 18:48 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? NO @ $0.755 $36 $+0.47 closed_time