0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $976,287 · Topical: $643,720 (66%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 41 · Largest: $79,520 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-23 16:02 · Last seen 06-15 15:47
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 97 |
| Total buys | $976,287 | Largest single buy | $79,520 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $643,720 | Topical share | 66% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 41 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:47 | YES @ $0.992 | $782 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | +0.6% $0.998 | +0.7% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-14 23:48 | YES @ $0.841 | $16,816 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.8% $0.833 | +0.2% $0.843 | +1.3% $0.854 | — |
| 06-14 23:11 | YES @ $0.830 | $825 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.2% $0.787 | +0.3% $0.833 | +0.3% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 23:00 | NO @ $0.929 | $866 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.8% $0.890 | +0.1% $0.929 | -0.5% $0.923 | — |
| 06-14 22:44 | YES @ $0.745 | $2,386 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +3.0% $0.774 | +7.6% $0.821 | +6.1% $0.806 | — |
| 06-14 22:17 | YES @ $0.971 | $556 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | +2.4% $0.995 | +2.4% $0.995 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:40 | YES @ $0.985 | $6,380 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | +0.4% $0.989 | +1.2% $0.997 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.990 | $2,447 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +0.5% $0.995 | +0.8% $0.998 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.980 | $27,672 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +0.8% $0.989 | +1.6% $0.996 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:29 | YES @ $0.970 | $1,077 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | +1.9% $0.989 | +2.6% $0.997 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:29 | YES @ $0.920 | $409 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.935 | +2.0% $0.940 | +4.0% $0.960 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.909 | $920 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | +8.6% $0.995 | +9.0% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.940 | $870 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | +5.5% $0.995 | +6.0% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.890 | $1,050 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +9.8% $0.989 | +10.5% $0.995 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.970 | $623 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +1.9% $0.989 | +2.5% $0.996 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.710 | $35 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +8.5% $0.795 | +7.5% $0.785 | +11.0% $0.820 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | NO @ $0.500 | $835 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -14.1% $0.359 | -26.4% $0.236 | -30.6% $0.194 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | NO @ $0.509 | $3,665 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -15.0% $0.359 | -27.8% $0.231 | -31.6% $0.194 | — |
| 06-14 21:18 | YES @ $0.790 | $2,765 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | +19.5% $0.985 | +20.0% $0.990 | — | — |
| 06-14 21:18 | YES @ $0.876 | $1,665 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | +11.9% $0.995 | +12.4% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-14 19:48 | NO @ $0.692 | $223 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | +6.4% $0.756 | +9.3% $0.785 | +29.1% $0.983 | — |
| 06-14 18:06 | YES @ $0.159 | $173 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.6% $0.165 | -3.4% $0.125 | +48.2% $0.641 | +84.0% $1.000 |
| 06-14 17:50 | YES @ $0.199 | $2 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.2% $0.157 | -3.8% $0.162 | +35.5% $0.554 | +80.0% $0.999 |
| 06-14 16:36 | YES @ $0.196 | $3,693 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.4% $0.209 | +1.8% $0.213 | -3.2% $0.164 | +75.5% $0.951 |
| 06-14 16:30 | YES @ $0.870 | $1,973 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | 0.0% $0.870 | -2.0% $0.850 | -3.0% $0.840 | — |
| 06-14 14:23 | YES @ $0.800 | $144 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | +0.5% $0.805 | +1.5% $0.815 | +5.5% $0.855 | — |
| 06-13 18:12 | YES @ $0.840 | $22,207 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.855 | -0.5% $0.835 | -1.5% $0.825 | -0.5% $0.835 |
| 06-13 17:24 | YES @ $0.860 | $2,045 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.855 | -2.5% $0.835 | -3.5% $0.825 | -2.5% $0.835 |
| 06-13 17:13 | YES @ $0.850 | $250 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.855 | -1.5% $0.835 | -2.5% $0.825 | -2.5% $0.825 |
| 06-13 16:58 | YES @ $0.880 | $3,655 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -2.0% $0.860 | -2.5% $0.855 | -5.5% $0.825 | -4.5% $0.835 |
| 06-13 16:52 | YES @ $0.940 | $1,320 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | -3.5% $0.905 | -6.5% $0.875 | -7.0% $0.870 | -7.0% $0.870 |
| 06-13 16:52 | YES @ $0.950 | $2,185 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | -4.5% $0.905 | -7.5% $0.875 | -8.0% $0.870 | -8.0% $0.870 |
| 06-13 16:52 | YES @ $0.870 | $2,279 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -1.0% $0.860 | -1.5% $0.855 | -4.5% $0.825 | -3.5% $0.835 |
| 06-13 14:50 | YES @ $0.222 | $229 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.4% $0.189 | -2.0% $0.202 | +7.5% $0.296 | -13.3% $0.088 |
| 06-13 13:15 | NO @ $0.670 | $286 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +8.5% $0.755 | +9.5% $0.765 | -19.5% $0.475 | +8.0% $0.750 |
| 06-13 13:15 | NO @ $0.690 | $2,132 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +6.5% $0.755 | +7.5% $0.765 | -21.5% $0.475 | +6.0% $0.750 |
| 06-13 13:10 | NO @ $0.720 | $5 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | -1.0% $0.710 | +4.0% $0.760 | -28.0% $0.440 | +3.0% $0.750 |
| 06-13 13:04 | NO @ $0.689 | $644 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +2.1% $0.710 | +7.1% $0.760 | -24.9% $0.440 | +9.1% $0.780 |
| 06-12 16:26 | YES @ $0.611 | $167 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +7.4% $0.685 | +5.4% $0.665 | +4.4% $0.655 | +12.4% $0.735 |
| 06-12 16:26 | YES @ $0.630 | $255 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 15:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | YES @ $0.790 | $40 | $+5.06 | closed_win |
| 05-24 09:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | YES @ $0.240 | $40 | $+5.83 | closed_win |
| 05-23 20:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.520 | $40 | $+3.85 | closed_win |
| 05-23 20:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | YES @ $0.270 | $40 | $+6.68 | closed_win |
| 05-23 20:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.400 | $40 | $+3.50 | closed_win |