0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $899,914 · Topical: $707,594 (79%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 45 · Largest: $93,573 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-24 02:18 · Last seen 06-23 11:32
| Total recent trades | 354 | Distinct markets | 69 |
| Total buys | $899,914 | Largest single buy | $93,573 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $707,594 | Topical share | 79% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 45 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 11:32 | YES @ $0.130 | $199 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | +0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.135 | -1.5% $0.115 | -1.5% $0.115 |
| 06-22 20:23 | NO @ $0.800 | $15 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -1.0% $0.790 | -0.5% $0.795 | 0.0% $0.800 | 0.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 20:23 | NO @ $0.810 | $1,224 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -2.0% $0.790 | -2.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.800 | -1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 19:05 | NO @ $0.810 | $2,121 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -2.0% $0.790 | -2.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.800 | -1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 19:05 | NO @ $0.810 | $32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -2.0% $0.790 | -2.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.800 | -1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 19:00 | YES @ $0.260 | $22 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.255 | -1.5% $0.245 | -1.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 19:00 | YES @ $0.250 | $24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 18:54 | NO @ $0.810 | $10 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -2.0% $0.790 | -2.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.800 | -1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 18:49 | YES @ $0.260 | $11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.255 | -1.5% $0.245 | -1.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 18:49 | NO @ $0.810 | $721 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -2.0% $0.790 | -2.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.800 | -1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 18:44 | YES @ $0.260 | $312 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.255 | -1.5% $0.245 | -1.5% $0.245 |
| 06-22 18:44 | NO @ $0.790 | $17 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | +1.5% $0.805 | 0.0% $0.790 | +1.0% $0.800 | +1.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 18:44 | NO @ $0.800 | $1,250 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | -1.0% $0.790 | -1.0% $0.790 | 0.0% $0.800 | 0.0% $0.800 |
| 06-22 18:39 | YES @ $0.250 | $85 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.245 |
| 06-20 15:27 | YES @ $0.800 | $2,546 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | +1.7% $0.817 | +4.1% $0.841 | — | — |
| 06-20 15:00 | YES @ $0.901 | $2,252 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | -1.6% $0.885 | -6.7% $0.835 | — | — |
| 06-20 14:50 | YES @ $0.876 | $1,427 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +2.9% $0.905 | -1.6% $0.860 | — | — |
| 06-20 14:50 | YES @ $0.887 | $3,658 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +1.8% $0.905 | -2.7% $0.860 | — | — |
| 06-19 03:19 | YES @ $0.650 | $2,098 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +2.5% $0.675 | -1.0% $0.640 | -63.6% $0.013 | -63.6% $0.013 |
| 06-17 10:42 | NO @ $0.720 | $8 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +12.5% $0.845 | +20.5% $0.925 | — | — |
| 06-17 09:21 | NO @ $0.630 | $3,303 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | -5.5% $0.575 | -2.5% $0.605 | — | — |
| 06-17 05:04 | NO @ $0.438 | $38 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | +27.2% $0.710 | +28.7% $0.725 | — | — |
| 06-16 08:00 | NO @ $0.879 | $13,371 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | +4.3% $0.922 | -21.2% $0.667 | — | — |
| 06-15 09:56 | NO @ $0.835 | $10 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.2% $0.837 | +1.8% $0.853 | -0.8% $0.828 | +13.2% $0.967 |
| 06-14 23:59 | YES @ $0.799 | $454 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +2.8% $0.827 | +5.0% $0.849 | +4.2% $0.841 | — |
| 06-14 14:02 | YES @ $0.520 | $8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -1.5% $0.505 | -2.5% $0.495 | +13.5% $0.655 | — |
| 06-12 17:56 | YES @ $0.500 | $172 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +0.5% $0.505 | +3.5% $0.535 | -5.5% $0.445 | +18.5% $0.685 |
| 06-11 18:38 | NO @ $0.875 | $1,096 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.8% $0.883 | -1.5% $0.860 | +1.9% $0.894 | -5.2% $0.823 |
| 06-11 18:38 | NO @ $0.889 | $10,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.6% $0.883 | -2.9% $0.860 | +0.5% $0.894 | -6.6% $0.823 |
| 06-11 18:38 | NO @ $0.889 | $8,888 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.6% $0.883 | -2.9% $0.860 | -1.7% $0.872 | -6.6% $0.823 |
| 06-11 18:33 | NO @ $0.874 | $1,110 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.9% $0.883 | -1.4% $0.860 | +2.0% $0.894 | -5.1% $0.823 |
| 06-11 03:55 | NO @ $0.990 | $1,754 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | +0.2% $0.993 | +0.1% $0.991 | — | — |
| 06-11 03:49 | NO @ $0.983 | $3,101 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | +0.9% $0.993 | +0.8% $0.991 | — | — |
| 06-11 03:49 | NO @ $0.985 | $806 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | +0.8% $0.993 | +0.6% $0.991 | — | — |
| 06-11 01:18 | NO @ $0.940 | $3,790 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | +2.0% $0.961 | +4.2% $0.982 | +5.4% $0.994 | — |
| 06-11 00:18 | NO @ $0.963 | $9,630 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.958 | +0.1% $0.964 | 0.0% $0.963 | -10.0% $0.863 |
| 06-11 00:07 | NO @ $0.958 | $907 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.1% $0.959 | +0.5% $0.963 | +0.1% $0.959 | -8.8% $0.871 |
| 06-10 22:29 | NO @ $0.770 | $5,379 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | -0.5% $0.765 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 18:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.874 | $31 | $-3.05 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 22:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO @ $0.770 | $36 | $+2.08 | closed_time |
| 06-01 18:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.850 | $31 | $+0.54 | closed_time |
| 06-01 13:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.880 | $31 | $-1.93 | closed_loss |