0x39a6626db3a258a609f234da483fa8c43aa6ebdd
🎯 POLITICS auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $172,298 · Topical: $130,163 (76%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 7 · Largest: $18,709 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-23 23:36 · Last seen 06-11 20:21
| Total recent trades | 299 | Distinct markets | 97 |
| Total buys | $172,298 | Largest single buy | $18,709 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $130,163 | Topical share | 76% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 7 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 20:21 | YES @ $0.070 | $23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | +1.5% $0.085 | 0.0% $0.070 | -0.5% $0.065 | -1.5% $0.055 |
| 06-10 04:48 | YES @ $0.200 | $3 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | -6.5% $0.135 | -6.5% $0.135 | -6.5% $0.135 | +8.5% $0.285 |
| 06-02 20:47 | YES @ $0.130 | $8 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.135 | +0.5% $0.135 | — |
| 05-29 18:58 | YES @ $0.170 | $8 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +1.5% $0.185 | +2.5% $0.195 | +1.5% $0.185 | -14.6% $0.025 |
| 05-29 16:39 | NO @ $0.220 | $9 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | +3.5% $0.255 | +5.5% $0.275 | +47.5% $0.695 | — |
| 05-29 16:02 | YES @ $0.200 | $960 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +1.5% $0.215 | +1.5% $0.215 | -0.5% $0.195 | -17.9% $0.021 |
| 05-28 13:26 | YES @ $0.080 | $533 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.075 | +8.5% $0.165 | +7.5% $0.155 | — |
| 05-27 15:21 | YES @ $0.210 | $1,167 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.235 | -5.0% $0.160 | -6.5% $0.145 | — |
| 05-26 18:10 | YES @ $0.070 | $61 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | +1.5% $0.085 | +1.0% $0.080 | -2.0% $0.050 | — |
| 05-25 22:35 | NO @ $0.151 | $140 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | +74.8% $0.899 | +81.6% $0.967 | — | — |
| 05-25 09:10 | NO @ $0.110 | $96 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? | -6.5% $0.045 | -6.5% $0.045 | -6.5% $0.045 | -7.5% $0.035 |
| 05-25 03:48 | YES @ $0.090 | $681 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +0.5% $0.095 | +0.5% $0.095 | -1.5% $0.075 | -2.5% $0.065 |
| 05-25 01:27 | NO @ $0.080 | $99 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | 0.0% $0.080 | 0.0% $0.080 | -0.5% $0.075 | +91.7% $0.997 |
| 05-25 00:05 | NO @ $0.100 | $599 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | +0.5% $0.105 | +0.5% $0.105 | +0.5% $0.105 | -7.8% $0.021 |
| 05-24 22:46 | NO @ $0.180 | $269 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | +0.5% $0.185 | +0.5% $0.185 | -2.5% $0.155 | +1.5% $0.195 |
| 05-24 20:44 | NO @ $0.051 | $50 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | +0.4% $0.055 | +0.4% $0.055 | -0.7% $0.044 | -2.5% $0.025 |
| 05-24 20:13 | NO @ $0.045 | $60 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | +0.7% $0.051 | +1.0% $0.055 | +0.1% $0.045 | -3.4% $0.011 |
| 05-24 18:33 | NO @ $0.049 | $329 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | -0.7% $0.042 | -0.3% $0.045 | +0.6% $0.055 | -4.3% $0.006 |
| 05-24 18:01 | NO @ $0.150 | $34 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | +0.5% $0.155 | +1.5% $0.165 | +3.5% $0.185 | -8.5% $0.065 |
| 05-24 14:58 | YES @ $0.180 | $1,000 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -3.0% $0.150 | -3.5% $0.145 | -6.5% $0.115 | -1.5% $0.165 |
| 05-24 14:58 | YES @ $0.160 | $12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -1.0% $0.150 | -1.5% $0.145 | -4.5% $0.115 | +0.5% $0.165 |
| 05-24 06:01 | YES @ $0.260 | $174 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | +1.5% $0.275 | -1.5% $0.245 | -16.5% $0.095 |
| 05-24 05:51 | YES @ $0.260 | $365 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | +0.5% $0.265 | -1.5% $0.245 | -16.5% $0.095 |
| 05-24 03:31 | YES @ $0.330 | $7 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -3.5% $0.295 | -6.5% $0.265 | -4.5% $0.285 | -24.5% $0.085 |
| 05-24 03:25 | NO @ $0.588 | $4,408 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +11.8% $0.705 | +14.8% $0.735 | +12.8% $0.715 | +32.8% $0.915 |
| 05-24 03:25 | NO @ $0.610 | $4,724 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +9.5% $0.705 | +12.5% $0.735 | +10.5% $0.715 | +30.5% $0.915 |
| 05-24 02:54 | NO @ $0.050 | $15 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 0.0% $0.050 | -0.5% $0.045 | -0.8% $0.042 | -2.6% $0.023 |
| 05-24 02:49 | YES @ $0.400 | $3,679 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +5.5% $0.455 | -6.5% $0.335 | -13.5% $0.265 | -32.5% $0.075 |
| 05-24 02:33 | YES @ $0.440 | $1,324 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -1.5% $0.425 | -6.5% $0.375 | -17.5% $0.265 | -36.5% $0.075 |
| 05-24 02:18 | NO @ $0.060 | $60 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | 0.0% $0.060 | +1.5% $0.075 | +3.0% $0.090 | +2.0% $0.080 |
| 05-24 02:13 | YES @ $0.249 | $642 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | +1.2% $0.262 | +13.1% $0.381 | -8.9% $0.161 | -12.1% $0.129 |
| 05-24 02:13 | YES @ $0.268 | $337 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | -0.7% $0.262 | +11.2% $0.381 | -10.8% $0.161 | -13.9% $0.129 |
| 05-24 01:47 | NO @ $0.050 | $79 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 0.0% $0.050 | -0.5% $0.045 | -1.6% $0.034 | -1.9% $0.031 |
| 05-24 01:47 | NO @ $0.025 | $57 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | +0.3% $0.028 | +0.7% $0.032 | -0.6% $0.019 | -1.7% $0.008 |
| 05-24 01:47 | NO @ $0.030 | $181 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | -0.2% $0.028 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 02:13 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.268 | $17 | $+6.41 | closed_win |