0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $778,697 · Topical: $733,770 (94%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 34 · Largest: $31,858 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-21 18:57 · Last seen 06-29 20:12
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 171 |
| Total buys | $778,697 | Largest single buy | $31,858 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $733,770 | Topical share | 94% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 34 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 20:12 | NO @ $0.640 | $15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +2.5% $0.665 | +3.0% $0.670 | +35.9% $0.999 | +35.9% $0.999 |
| 06-29 19:40 | NO @ $0.650 | $9 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.5% $0.655 | +0.5% $0.655 | +34.9% $0.999 | +34.9% $0.999 |
| 06-26 22:54 | YES @ $0.129 | $261 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | +0.9% $0.138 | -12.7% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-23 20:39 | NO @ $0.013 | $21 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | -0.8% $0.004 | -1.1% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-23 20:39 | NO @ $0.007 | $11 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | -0.2% $0.004 | -0.5% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-23 20:39 | NO @ $0.010 | $36 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | -0.6% $0.004 | -0.8% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-19 22:58 | YES @ $0.200 | $244 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | +36.6% $0.566 | +15.2% $0.351 | — | — |
| 06-19 01:06 | NO @ $0.903 | $2,928 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | +1.2% $0.915 | -3.8% $0.865 | +2.7% $0.930 | +2.7% $0.930 |
| 06-18 06:36 | YES @ $0.660 | $3,300 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | +11.4% $0.774 | +14.6% $0.806 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:54 | NO @ $0.270 | $328 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | -11.7% $0.153 | -15.7% $0.113 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:54 | NO @ $0.284 | $227 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | -13.1% $0.153 | -17.1% $0.113 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:43 | NO @ $0.230 | $24 | Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | -2.4% $0.207 | -13.7% $0.093 | — | — |
| 06-17 19:43 | NO @ $0.220 | $40 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | -1.8% $0.203 | -13.8% $0.083 | — | — |
| 06-17 07:50 | YES @ $0.148 | $4 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -1.6% $0.132 | -2.9% $0.119 | -13.3% $0.015 | -13.3% $0.015 |
| 06-16 22:12 | YES @ $0.188 | $507 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.0% $0.188 | -0.1% $0.187 | -11.4% $0.073 | -11.4% $0.073 |
| 06-14 22:49 | YES @ $0.970 | $21 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +2.2% $0.993 | +2.8% $0.998 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:44 | NO @ $0.014 | $368 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | -0.7% $0.007 | -1.1% $0.002 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:01 | NO @ $0.257 | $2,133 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.6% $0.231 | +1.0% $0.267 | -6.0% $0.197 | — |
| 06-14 21:40 | NO @ $0.413 | $8,747 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -17.7% $0.236 | -17.6% $0.237 | -23.4% $0.178 | — |
| 06-14 21:29 | NO @ $0.221 | $412 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -8.6% $0.135 | -9.1% $0.130 | -16.6% $0.055 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | NO @ $0.850 | $28,166 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | +3.5% $0.885 | +5.5% $0.905 | +3.5% $0.885 | +1.5% $0.865 |
| 06-14 18:54 | NO @ $0.150 | $1,337 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | +23.6% $0.385 | +54.0% $0.690 | +82.3% $0.973 | — |
| 06-14 18:49 | NO @ $0.200 | $609 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | +18.6% $0.385 | +48.2% $0.682 | +77.3% $0.973 | — |
| 06-14 16:14 | YES @ $0.142 | $1,221 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +4.6% $0.189 | +6.7% $0.209 | +0.2% $0.144 | +81.3% $0.956 |
| 06-14 15:32 | YES @ $0.104 | $984 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.8% $0.097 | +7.8% $0.182 | +1.9% $0.123 | +82.8% $0.932 |
| 06-14 12:53 | NO @ $0.380 | $1,651 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | +7.0% $0.450 | -0.5% $0.375 | -3.0% $0.350 | — |
| 06-14 01:31 | NO @ $0.348 | $511 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | +2.7% $0.375 | +2.7% $0.375 | -1.8% $0.330 | -34.6% $0.001 |
| 06-14 01:31 | NO @ $0.356 | $1,393 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | +1.9% $0.375 | +1.4% $0.370 | -10.6% $0.250 | — |
| 06-14 01:05 | YES @ $0.236 | $340 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.3% $0.249 | +3.3% $0.269 | +0.5% $0.240 | +61.0% $0.846 |
| 06-14 01:05 | YES @ $0.240 | $871 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.9% $0.249 | +2.9% $0.269 | +0.0% $0.240 | +60.5% $0.846 |
| 06-14 00:23 | NO @ $0.258 | $774 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | -0.2% $0.255 | -0.2% $0.255 | +1.8% $0.275 | -25.7% $0.000 |
| 06-13 19:21 | YES @ $0.260 | $56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.4% $0.256 | +0.0% $0.260 | -2.2% $0.238 | -13.7% $0.123 |
| 06-13 18:33 | YES @ $0.297 | $2,271 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.9% $0.278 | -4.0% $0.258 | -6.2% $0.235 | -13.2% $0.165 |
| 06-13 17:51 | NO @ $0.250 | $1,678 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | +4.5% $0.295 | -1.0% $0.240 | -1.0% $0.240 | +5.0% $0.300 |
| 06-13 17:40 | NO @ $0.883 | $4,785 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.5% $0.878 | -0.2% $0.881 | -0.9% $0.873 | -1.0% $0.873 |
| 06-13 17:19 | YES @ $0.365 | $4,053 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.0% $0.325 | -7.3% $0.291 | -10.3% $0.262 | -15.5% $0.210 |
| 06-13 17:08 | NO @ $0.510 | $2,054 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | +3.0% $0.540 | +8.0% $0.590 | +17.0% $0.680 | +21.5% $0.725 |
| 06-13 17:08 | NO @ $0.744 | $28,383 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -9.5% $0.649 | -3.4% $0.710 | -0.6% $0.738 | +4.6% $0.790 |
| 06-13 16:57 | NO @ $0.390 | $713 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | +11.0% $0.500 | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 00:08 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | YES @ $0.230 | $40 | $-6.96 | closed_loss |