0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $530,474 · Topical: $331,312 (62%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 16 · Largest: $69,624 · Fingerprint: topical_heavy (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-25 21:42 · Last seen 07-10 14:42
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 71 |
| Total buys | $530,474 | Largest single buy | $69,624 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $331,312 | Topical share | 62% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 16 | Fingerprint | topical_heavy |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:42 | YES @ $0.140 | $1,120 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.135 | -0.5% $0.135 | -0.5% $0.135 | — |
| 07-09 00:43 | YES @ $0.200 | $141 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -1.5% $0.185 | -0.5% $0.195 | +1.5% $0.215 | +3.5% $0.235 |
| 07-09 00:38 | YES @ $0.179 | $99 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +2.9% $0.208 | +3.4% $0.213 | -4.3% $0.136 | -7.2% $0.107 |
| 06-22 11:12 | YES @ $0.033 | $76 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +1.2% $0.045 | +1.3% $0.046 | -2.8% $0.005 | -2.8% $0.005 |
| 06-22 11:12 | YES @ $0.034 | $55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | +1.1% $0.045 | +1.2% $0.046 | -2.9% $0.005 | -2.9% $0.005 |
| 06-18 16:12 | NO @ $0.535 | $148 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | -10.5% $0.430 | -13.9% $0.396 | — | — |
| 06-15 09:02 | YES @ $0.940 | $258 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.945 | +0.5% $0.945 | +1.5% $0.955 | — |
| 06-15 01:35 | NO @ $0.049 | $60 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.3% $0.051 | -0.2% $0.046 | -1.4% $0.034 | — |
| 06-15 01:35 | NO @ $0.050 | $48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.1% $0.051 | -0.3% $0.046 | -1.6% $0.034 | — |
| 06-15 01:29 | NO @ $0.048 | $100 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | -0.6% $0.042 | -2.1% $0.027 | -2.0% $0.027 | — |
| 06-15 01:24 | YES @ $0.955 | $955 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.1% $0.956 | +1.0% $0.965 | +1.8% $0.973 | — |
| 06-14 23:43 | NO @ $0.159 | $489 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.8% $0.167 | -0.2% $0.157 | -1.2% $0.146 | — |
| 06-14 23:11 | YES @ $0.840 | $2,171 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -5.2% $0.787 | -0.7% $0.833 | -0.7% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 22:39 | NO @ $0.110 | $259 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.105 | -5.5% $0.055 | -3.5% $0.075 | — |
| 06-14 22:33 | NO @ $0.375 | $1,765 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -10.8% $0.267 | -16.2% $0.213 | -19.3% $0.181 | — |
| 06-14 22:23 | YES @ $0.759 | $14,950 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.6% $0.733 | +8.8% $0.848 | +5.2% $0.810 | — |
| 06-14 22:12 | NO @ $0.227 | $1,404 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.9% $0.237 | -0.1% $0.226 | -4.0% $0.188 | — |
| 06-14 21:51 | YES @ $0.890 | $1,324 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -2.0% $0.870 | +0.5% $0.895 | +4.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-14 21:45 | YES @ $0.810 | $1,355 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -2.5% $0.785 | -2.5% $0.785 | +3.0% $0.840 | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.570 | $78 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +7.1% $0.641 | +19.9% $0.769 | +25.2% $0.822 | — |
| 06-14 21:29 | YES @ $0.780 | $929 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +1.5% $0.795 | +0.5% $0.785 | +7.5% $0.855 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.748 | $1,309 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +4.7% $0.795 | +3.7% $0.785 | +10.7% $0.855 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | NO @ $0.520 | $522 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -16.1% $0.359 | -28.9% $0.231 | -32.6% $0.194 | — |
| 06-14 20:46 | YES @ $0.258 | $484 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.5% $0.223 | +29.6% $0.554 | +58.5% $0.843 | — |
| 06-14 16:25 | YES @ $0.188 | $209 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +3.2% $0.221 | +2.2% $0.210 | -2.4% $0.164 | +76.7% $0.955 |
| 06-14 13:30 | NO @ $0.500 | $502 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.495 | -0.5% $0.495 | -10.5% $0.395 | — |
| 06-14 12:43 | NO @ $0.277 | $369 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +4.8% $0.325 | -2.7% $0.250 | -3.7% $0.240 | — |
| 06-14 12:11 | NO @ $0.410 | $863 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.405 | +8.5% $0.495 | +6.0% $0.470 | — |
| 06-13 19:47 | NO @ $0.340 | $162 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +1.5% $0.355 | +3.5% $0.375 | +3.5% $0.375 | +10.5% $0.445 |
| 06-13 14:24 | YES @ $0.530 | $1,176 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +2.5% $0.555 | +7.5% $0.605 | +13.5% $0.665 | -2.5% $0.505 |
| 06-13 13:31 | NO @ $0.269 | $427 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | -3.4% $0.235 | -2.4% $0.245 | -7.9% $0.190 | -2.4% $0.245 |
| 06-13 13:04 | YES @ $0.144 | $92 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.4% $0.158 | -0.8% $0.136 | +22.0% $0.364 | -3.2% $0.112 |
| 06-13 12:59 | NO @ $0.824 | $2,695 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.9% $0.843 | +4.0% $0.864 | -18.8% $0.636 | +4.0% $0.863 |
| 06-13 12:27 | YES @ $0.580 | $754 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | -0.5% $0.575 | -5.5% $0.525 | +3.5% $0.615 | +1.5% $0.595 |
| 06-12 22:01 | YES @ $0.430 | $352 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | +1.5% $0.445 | +1.5% $0.445 | +1.5% $0.445 | +20.0% $0.630 |
| 06-12 21:03 | YES @ $0.039 | $41 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | -0.1% $0.037 | -0.6% $0.033 | -0.8% $0.032 | -3.2% $0.006 |
| 06-12 19:16 | YES @ $0.570 | $594 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -3.5% $0.535 | -3.5% $0.535 | -5.5% $0.515 | +6.5% $0.635 |
| 06-12 18:55 | YES @ $0.330 | $280 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 18:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.570 | $33 | $-4.96 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 21:14 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | NO @ $0.370 | $33 | $-1.80 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 11:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.330 | $33 | $+1.51 | closed_time |
| 06-10 04:48 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | NO @ $0.790 | $36 | $+5.63 | closed_win |
| 06-05 23:55 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.570 | $33 | $-2.34 | closed_loss |
| 06-04 22:41 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | NO @ $0.650 | $33 | $+2.30 | closed_time |
| 06-02 13:25 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.400 | $33 | $-2.08 | closed_loss |
| 05-28 16:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | YES @ $0.230 | $40 | $+5.22 | closed_win |
| 05-28 14:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.787 | $40 | $-0.35 | closed_time |
| 05-28 00:04 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | YES @ $0.238 | $40 | $+7.11 | closed_win |
| 05-25 22:19 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | YES @ $0.234 | $40 | $-2.42 | closed_loss |