0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $580,730 · Topical: $562,723 (97%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 34 · Largest: $24,149 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-23 18:15 · Last seen 07-10 04:37
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 50 |
| Total buys | $580,730 | Largest single buy | $24,149 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $562,723 | Topical share | 97% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 34 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 04:37 | YES @ $0.150 | $518 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | +0.5% $0.155 | +0.5% $0.155 | +0.5% $0.155 | +0.5% $0.155 |
| 06-16 17:27 | NO @ $0.945 | $247 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | +0.2% $0.948 | +0.5% $0.950 | +4.2% $0.988 | +4.2% $0.988 |
| 06-16 11:28 | YES @ $0.156 | $113 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +4.7% $0.203 | +4.4% $0.200 | -8.2% $0.074 | -8.2% $0.074 |
| 06-16 11:23 | YES @ $0.148 | $49 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.4% $0.152 | +0.6% $0.154 | -12.6% $0.022 | -12.6% $0.022 |
| 06-16 11:23 | YES @ $0.149 | $30 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +0.3% $0.152 | +0.5% $0.154 | -12.7% $0.022 | -12.7% $0.022 |
| 06-16 11:12 | YES @ $0.988 | $86 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.3% $0.992 | +0.3% $0.992 | — | — |
| 06-16 06:40 | YES @ $0.983 | $362 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.3% $0.986 | -0.1% $0.982 | — | — |
| 06-15 18:22 | NO @ $0.730 | $4,936 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +10.9% $0.840 | +11.0% $0.840 | +2.5% $0.756 | +13.7% $0.867 |
| 06-15 01:19 | NO @ $0.060 | $106 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.065 | +1.5% $0.075 | -0.5% $0.055 | — |
| 06-15 00:52 | NO @ $0.060 | $183 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.055 | +0.5% $0.065 | -0.5% $0.055 | — |
| 06-15 00:20 | NO @ $0.060 | $760 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% $0.060 | -0.5% $0.055 | -0.5% $0.055 | — |
| 06-14 23:38 | NO @ $0.030 | $7 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +0.9% $0.039 | +0.5% $0.035 | +0.7% $0.036 | — |
| 06-14 23:11 | NO @ $0.020 | $93 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | +0.4% $0.024 | +1.1% $0.031 | +0.8% $0.028 | — |
| 06-14 23:05 | NO @ $0.140 | $299 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +7.2% $0.213 | +2.7% $0.167 | +2.7% $0.167 | — |
| 06-14 22:49 | NO @ $0.080 | $66 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.085 | -2.5% $0.055 | -1.5% $0.065 | — |
| 06-14 22:39 | NO @ $0.060 | $72 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.055 | -3.6% $0.024 | -3.3% $0.027 | — |
| 06-14 22:39 | NO @ $0.060 | $1,460 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -1.5% $0.045 | -3.6% $0.023 | -3.4% $0.026 | — |
| 06-14 22:33 | NO @ $0.060 | $48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.070 | -3.6% $0.024 | -3.3% $0.027 | — |
| 06-14 22:33 | NO @ $0.100 | $253 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.105 | -4.5% $0.055 | -2.5% $0.075 | — |
| 06-14 22:12 | NO @ $0.250 | $76 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | -17.0% $0.080 | -17.0% $0.080 | -17.0% $0.080 | -22.2% $0.028 |
| 06-14 22:12 | NO @ $0.240 | $72 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | -16.0% $0.080 | -16.0% $0.080 | -20.9% $0.031 | — |
| 06-14 22:12 | YES @ $0.810 | $908 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | +11.0% $0.920 | +11.0% $0.920 | +14.7% $0.957 | — |
| 06-14 22:07 | NO @ $0.070 | $70 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -2.5% $0.045 | -2.5% $0.045 | -2.6% $0.043 | — |
| 06-14 22:01 | NO @ $0.100 | $43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.125 | -4.0% $0.060 | -4.8% $0.051 | — |
| 06-14 21:56 | NO @ $0.070 | $57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +5.5% $0.125 | +1.5% $0.085 | -2.2% $0.047 | — |
| 06-14 21:51 | YES @ $0.860 | $2,489 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.870 | +3.5% $0.895 | +7.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-14 21:51 | YES @ $0.860 | $3,056 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.870 | +3.5% $0.895 | +7.5% $0.935 | — |
| 06-14 21:45 | YES @ $0.930 | $5,133 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +1.0% $0.940 | +2.5% $0.955 | +2.6% $0.956 | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.930 | $7,502 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.935 | +2.5% $0.955 | +2.6% $0.956 | — |
| 06-14 21:29 | YES @ $0.870 | $157 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.895 | +0.5% $0.875 | +8.6% $0.956 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.750 | $104 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +14.5% $0.895 | +17.5% $0.925 | +20.6% $0.956 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.910 | $767 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.935 | +3.0% $0.940 | +5.0% $0.960 | — |
| 06-14 18:38 | NO @ $0.651 | $1,951 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | -20.8% $0.444 | -1.1% $0.640 | +32.5% $0.976 | — |
| 06-14 18:06 | NO @ $0.370 | $106 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +6.0% $0.430 | +7.5% $0.445 | -23.5% $0.135 | -37.0% $0.000 |
| 06-14 17:55 | NO @ $0.380 | $67 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +2.5% $0.405 | +6.5% $0.445 | -24.5% $0.135 | -37.9% $0.001 |
| 06-14 16:36 | YES @ $0.750 | $158 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | +4.0% $0.790 | +3.0% $0.780 | -1.5% $0.735 | — |
| 06-14 16:30 | YES @ $0.187 | $148 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +2.2% $0.209 | +2.3% $0.210 | -2.3% $0.164 | +76.8% $0.955 |
| 06-14 16:14 | NO @ $0.850 | $1,729 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.9% $0.811 | -6.0% $0.790 | +0.6% $0.856 | -80.5% $0.044 |
| 06-14 16:09 | YES @ $0.103 | $308 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 22:17 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | NO @ $0.756 | $36 | $-1.95 | closed_loss |
| 06-11 12:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.320 | $33 | $-2.08 | closed_loss |
| 06-10 22:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | NO @ $0.840 | $31 | $+1.28 | closed_time |
| 06-10 22:19 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | NO @ $0.710 | $36 | $+5.75 | closed_win |
| 06-05 13:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO @ $0.600 | $33 | $+0.28 | closed_time |
| 06-01 18:00 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.370 | $33 | $+4.05 | closed_win |
| 05-29 07:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES @ $0.260 | $40 | $+7.69 | closed_win |
| 05-28 14:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.770 | $40 | $+0.54 | closed_time |
| 05-24 13:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.710 | $40 | $-2.25 | closed_loss |