0x122cdd9db64fd8dc3ebab813218e3effe21f821f
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $3,545,770 · Topical: $3,272,108 (92%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 78 · Largest: $465,078 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-20 06:28 · Last seen 06-28 00:15
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 111 |
| Total buys | $3,545,770 | Largest single buy | $465,078 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $3,272,108 | Topical share | 92% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 78 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:15 | NO @ $0.394 | $46 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | +2.9% $0.422 | -3.7% $0.357 | +60.4% $0.998 | +60.4% $0.998 |
| 06-17 23:18 | YES @ $0.936 | $28 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | +5.8% $0.994 | +6.3% $1.000 | — | — |
| 06-17 22:52 | YES @ $0.954 | $116 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | -3.6% $0.918 | +4.0% $0.994 | — | — |
| 06-17 22:03 | YES @ $0.669 | $10 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | +22.6% $0.894 | +27.2% $0.941 | — | — |
| 06-17 21:58 | YES @ $0.701 | $70 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | +12.7% $0.828 | +23.9% $0.941 | — | — |
| 06-14 23:43 | YES @ $0.840 | $3,415 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.7% $0.833 | +0.3% $0.843 | +1.4% $0.854 | — |
| 06-14 23:38 | YES @ $0.828 | $3,229 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.833 | -0.1% $0.827 | +3.1% $0.859 | — |
| 06-14 23:27 | NO @ $0.873 | $126 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | +4.0% $0.913 | +4.8% $0.921 | +6.1% $0.934 | +9.7% $0.970 |
| 06-14 23:16 | YES @ $0.862 | $3,455 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -7.5% $0.787 | -2.9% $0.833 | -2.9% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 23:16 | YES @ $0.864 | $4,800 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -4.3% $0.821 | -3.1% $0.833 | -3.1% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 23:16 | YES @ $0.849 | $2,831 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -2.8% $0.821 | -1.6% $0.833 | -1.6% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 23:05 | YES @ $0.852 | $58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -6.5% $0.787 | -1.9% $0.833 | -1.9% $0.833 | — |
| 06-14 22:55 | NO @ $0.900 | $1,078 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | -1.0% $0.890 | +0.5% $0.905 | -2.0% $0.880 | +8.8% $0.988 |
| 06-14 22:55 | YES @ $0.987 | $24 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +0.8% $0.995 | +1.2% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:55 | YES @ $0.985 | $492 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +0.9% $0.995 | +1.4% $0.999 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:49 | YES @ $0.981 | $110 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +1.2% $0.993 | +1.7% $0.998 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:44 | YES @ $0.996 | $2,044 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | -0.3% $0.993 | -0.1% $0.995 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:44 | YES @ $0.990 | $513 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | +0.2% $0.993 | +0.7% $0.998 | — | — |
| 06-14 22:39 | YES @ $0.798 | $798 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | -0.0% $0.798 | -5.2% $0.747 | -8.2% $0.717 | — |
| 06-14 22:23 | NO @ $0.980 | $5,708 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | -0.3% $0.977 | +0.3% $0.984 | +0.6% $0.986 | — |
| 06-14 22:23 | NO @ $0.989 | $1,858 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | -1.3% $0.976 | -1.1% $0.978 | +0.9% $0.999 | — |
| 06-14 21:50 | YES @ $0.651 | $7 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +11.3% $0.764 | +11.2% $0.763 | +16.3% $0.814 | — |
| 06-14 21:50 | YES @ $0.670 | $1,340 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +9.4% $0.764 | +9.3% $0.763 | +14.4% $0.814 | — |
| 06-14 21:50 | YES @ $0.668 | $1,335 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +9.7% $0.764 | +9.6% $0.763 | +14.6% $0.814 | — |
| 06-13 17:19 | YES @ $0.385 | $150 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -6.0% $0.325 | -9.3% $0.291 | -12.3% $0.262 | -17.5% $0.210 |
| 06-13 16:57 | YES @ $0.420 | $1,407 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -12.5% $0.295 | -13.0% $0.290 | -15.9% $0.261 | -21.0% $0.209 |
| 06-13 13:10 | YES @ $0.150 | $3,011 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.8% $0.158 | -1.4% $0.136 | +21.4% $0.364 | -3.9% $0.112 |
| 06-12 19:16 | YES @ $0.216 | $8,653 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -3.9% $0.176 | -2.8% $0.188 | -3.8% $0.177 | +5.9% $0.275 |
| 06-12 19:00 | YES @ $0.199 | $4,734 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.0% $0.199 | -3.0% $0.169 | -2.7% $0.172 | +7.9% $0.278 |
| 06-12 18:44 | YES @ $0.193 | $4,091 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.4% $0.198 | -1.7% $0.176 | -2.0% $0.173 | +10.3% $0.296 |
| 06-12 18:28 | YES @ $0.189 | $3,421 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.3% $0.193 | +1.0% $0.199 | -2.4% $0.166 | +10.7% $0.296 |
| 06-12 18:23 | YES @ $0.179 | $3,009 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.5% $0.184 | +2.0% $0.199 | -1.4% $0.166 | +11.7% $0.296 |
| 06-12 18:18 | YES @ $0.170 | $4,665 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.7% $0.177 | +2.8% $0.198 | -0.9% $0.161 | +12.2% $0.291 |
| 06-12 18:12 | YES @ $0.167 | $1,353 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.0% $0.177 | +2.5% $0.193 | -0.6% $0.161 | +12.3% $0.290 |
| 06-12 18:12 | YES @ $0.168 | $1,773 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +0.9% $0.177 | +2.5% $0.193 | -0.7% $0.161 | +12.2% $0.290 |
| 06-12 18:02 | YES @ $0.178 | $3,438 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.2% $0.166 | +1.4% $0.193 | -2.0% $0.158 | +11.2% $0.290 |
| 06-12 18:02 | YES @ $0.179 | $1,740 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.3% $0.166 | +1.4% $0.193 | -2.1% $0.158 | +11.1% $0.290 |
| 06-12 18:02 | YES @ $0.189 | $3,165 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -1.2% $0.177 | +0.3% $0.193 | -3.1% $0.158 | +10.1% $0.290 |
| 06-11 06:32 | NO @ $0.989 | $10,787 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | — | — | — | — |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 04:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | NO @ $0.890 | $31 | $+1.21 | closed_time |
| 06-03 23:09 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.480 | $33 | $+5.55 | closed_win |
| 06-03 17:19 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO @ $0.830 | $31 | $-1.67 | closed_loss |
| 05-27 22:34 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | YES @ $0.214 | $40 | $-14.42 | closed_loss |