0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
🎯 POLITICS auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $240,846 · Topical: $70,437 (29%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 10 · Largest: $14,797 · Fingerprint: big_buyer_diverse (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 06-04 17:28 · Last seen 07-09 05:56
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 98 |
| Total buys | $240,846 | Largest single buy | $14,797 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $70,437 | Topical share | 29% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 10 | Fingerprint | big_buyer_diverse |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 05:56 | NO @ $0.810 | $1,215 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | -0.5% $0.805 | -0.5% $0.805 | -0.5% $0.805 | +0.5% $0.815 |
| 07-08 17:45 | YES @ $0.130 | $1,300 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.125 | -0.5% $0.125 | -0.5% $0.125 | -0.5% $0.125 |
| 07-08 15:45 | NO @ $0.920 | $1,840 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | -0.5% $0.915 | -0.5% $0.915 | -0.5% $0.915 | -0.5% $0.915 |
| 07-08 09:09 | NO @ $0.800 | $220 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | -1.5% $0.785 | -1.5% $0.785 | -5.5% $0.745 | -0.5% $0.795 |
| 07-08 08:53 | NO @ $0.800 | $22 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +1.5% $0.815 | +2.0% $0.820 | +1.5% $0.815 | +0.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 08:48 | NO @ $0.469 | $937 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | -2.4% $0.445 | -2.4% $0.445 | -3.9% $0.430 | -0.3% $0.465 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.430 | $65 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | +1.0% $0.440 | +1.5% $0.445 | -0.5% $0.425 | +3.5% $0.465 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.460 | $3,518 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | -2.0% $0.440 | -1.5% $0.445 | -3.5% $0.425 | +0.5% $0.465 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.730 | $6,789 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +5.0% $0.780 | +5.0% $0.780 | +5.0% $0.780 | +8.5% $0.815 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.730 | $6,583 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +5.0% $0.780 | +5.0% $0.780 | +5.0% $0.780 | +8.5% $0.815 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.760 | $938 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +2.0% $0.780 | +2.0% $0.780 | +6.0% $0.820 | +4.5% $0.805 |
| 07-08 08:27 | NO @ $0.770 | $136 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | +1.0% $0.780 | +1.0% $0.780 | +4.5% $0.815 | +3.5% $0.805 |
| 07-05 08:25 | NO @ $0.710 | $1,065 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | -0.5% $0.705 | -0.5% $0.705 | -0.5% $0.705 | -0.5% $0.705 |
| 07-03 23:36 | YES @ $0.489 | $30 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | -18.9% $0.300 | -18.9% $0.300 | -22.4% $0.265 | -35.4% $0.135 |
| 07-03 23:36 | YES @ $0.510 | $124 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | -21.0% $0.300 | -21.0% $0.300 | -24.5% $0.265 | -37.5% $0.135 |
| 07-03 19:32 | YES @ $0.299 | $63 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -7.7% $0.223 | -12.8% $0.171 | -29.9% $0.001 | -29.8% $0.002 |
| 07-03 19:32 | YES @ $0.306 | $36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -8.3% $0.223 | -13.6% $0.171 | -30.6% $0.001 | -30.4% $0.002 |
| 07-03 19:27 | YES @ $0.336 | $487 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -7.1% $0.265 | -12.1% $0.215 | -31.8% $0.018 | -31.5% $0.021 |
| 07-03 19:27 | YES @ $0.337 | $48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -7.2% $0.265 | -13.2% $0.205 | -31.9% $0.018 | -31.6% $0.021 |
| 07-03 19:22 | YES @ $0.191 | $11 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.1% $0.192 | -2.9% $0.162 | -19.0% $0.001 | -18.9% $0.002 |
| 07-03 18:30 | YES @ $0.210 | $8 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -11.8% $0.091 | +9.3% $0.302 | -20.9% $0.001 | -20.8% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:54 | YES @ $0.348 | $64 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -18.8% $0.160 | -18.9% $0.160 | -34.8% $0.001 | -34.7% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:54 | YES @ $0.345 | $78 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | -18.5% $0.160 | -18.6% $0.160 | -34.5% $0.001 | -34.4% $0.002 |
| 07-03 17:07 | NO @ $0.400 | $18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.405 | +0.5% $0.405 | +2.5% $0.425 | -2.0% $0.380 |
| 07-03 08:41 | NO @ $0.830 | $166 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | +7.5% $0.905 | +8.5% $0.915 | +12.5% $0.955 | +13.0% $0.960 |
| 07-03 07:28 | YES @ $0.009 | $10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | +0.3% $0.012 | +0.3% $0.012 | -0.8% $0.001 | -0.8% $0.001 |
| 07-03 07:08 | NO @ $0.880 | $873 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | +0.5% $0.885 | +0.5% $0.885 | +1.5% $0.895 | +1.5% $0.895 |
| 07-02 08:00 | NO @ $0.920 | $1,839 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | +0.5% $0.925 | +0.0% $0.920 | +6.0% $0.980 | +6.0% $0.980 |
| 07-02 06:10 | NO @ $0.900 | $360 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -0.5% $0.895 | -0.5% $0.895 | +8.0% $0.980 | +8.0% $0.980 |
| 07-02 05:43 | NO @ $0.900 | $900 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | -0.5% $0.895 | -0.5% $0.895 | +8.0% $0.980 | +8.0% $0.980 |
| 06-26 16:38 | YES @ $0.081 | $108 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | +7.0% $0.151 | +6.1% $0.142 | — | — |
| 06-26 16:28 | YES @ $0.322 | $322 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | -22.2% $0.100 | -20.7% $0.115 | — | — |
| 06-25 20:11 | YES @ $0.260 | $260 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.255 | -1.5% $0.245 | -1.5% $0.245 |
| 06-24 17:17 | NO @ $0.800 | $6 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | +0.5% $0.805 | +0.5% $0.805 | 0.0% $0.800 | 0.0% $0.800 |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 17:50 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | NO @ $0.410 | $33 | $+3.65 | closed_win |