0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
⚠️ SUSPECT auto-upgraded from politics_specialist after evaluation
Lifetime buys: $564,026 · Topical: $465,415 (82%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 20 · Largest: $99,700 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-21 18:04 · Last seen 06-14 22:17
| Total recent trades | 500 | Distinct markets | 123 |
| Total buys | $564,026 | Largest single buy | $99,700 |
| Topical (war/politics) | $465,415 | Topical share | 82% |
| Big buys (≥$5k) | 20 | Fingerprint | pure_war_specialist |
| Time | Side @ entry | Size | Market | +30m | +1h | +4h | +24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 22:17 | YES @ $0.769 | $1,820 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | -0.5% $0.763 | +0.6% $0.774 | +4.4% $0.812 | — |
| 06-14 22:07 | YES @ $0.748 | $1,882 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.6% $0.763 | +2.7% $0.774 | +5.6% $0.803 | — |
| 06-14 21:45 | YES @ $0.650 | $5,103 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +11.4% $0.764 | +11.3% $0.763 | +17.2% $0.822 | — |
| 06-14 21:40 | YES @ $0.596 | $2,975 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +16.9% $0.764 | +16.8% $0.763 | +22.6% $0.822 | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | YES @ $0.158 | $91 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | -0.2% $0.156 | -1.4% $0.143 | +4.9% $0.207 | -13.0% $0.028 |
| 06-14 21:34 | NO @ $0.070 | $203 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -1.0% $0.060 | -2.5% $0.045 | -2.6% $0.044 | — |
| 06-14 21:34 | NO @ $0.070 | $14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | -1.0% $0.060 | -2.5% $0.045 | -2.6% $0.044 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.734 | $2,811 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | +13.1% $0.865 | +13.6% $0.870 | +21.1% $0.945 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.880 | $2,146 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +5.5% $0.935 | +6.0% $0.940 | +8.0% $0.960 | — |
| 06-14 21:24 | YES @ $0.890 | $12,376 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +4.5% $0.935 | +5.0% $0.940 | +7.0% $0.960 | — |
| 06-14 21:18 | YES @ $0.736 | $1,713 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | +15.9% $0.895 | +18.9% $0.925 | +22.0% $0.956 | — |
| 06-14 16:36 | YES @ $0.199 | $1,112 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +1.1% $0.209 | +1.4% $0.213 | -3.5% $0.164 | +75.2% $0.951 |
| 06-14 16:25 | YES @ $0.820 | $7,061 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +1.5% $0.835 | +1.5% $0.835 | +2.0% $0.840 | +16.2% $0.983 |
| 06-14 16:25 | YES @ $0.170 | $353 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | +5.1% $0.221 | +4.0% $0.210 | -0.6% $0.164 | +78.5% $0.955 |
| 05-25 20:29 | YES @ $0.380 | $5,854 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -0.5% $0.375 | -3.5% $0.345 | -4.5% $0.335 | -38.0% $0.001 |
| 05-25 15:21 | YES @ $0.235 | $311 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | -0.0% $0.235 | -6.0% $0.175 | -10.0% $0.135 | — |
| 05-25 15:21 | YES @ $0.450 | $455 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | -1.5% $0.435 | -5.0% $0.400 | +5.5% $0.505 | -37.0% $0.080 |
| 05-25 15:21 | YES @ $0.074 | $32 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | +0.2% $0.076 | -1.5% $0.059 | -6.0% $0.015 | — |
| 05-25 15:21 | YES @ $0.150 | $789 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -1.5% $0.135 | -1.5% $0.135 | -6.0% $0.090 | — |
| 05-25 15:05 | YES @ $0.041 | $298 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | +0.8% $0.050 | +0.8% $0.050 | -0.7% $0.035 | -3.4% $0.007 |
| 05-25 15:00 | YES @ $0.187 | $3,009 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | +4.7% $0.234 | +6.8% $0.256 | +5.8% $0.245 | -15.2% $0.035 |
| 05-25 15:00 | YES @ $0.075 | $244 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | -0.8% $0.067 | -0.8% $0.067 | -5.8% $0.017 | — |
| 05-25 03:58 | YES @ $0.300 | $3,197 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | +2.5% $0.325 | +2.5% $0.325 | +2.5% $0.325 | +10.5% $0.405 |
| 05-24 16:38 | NO @ $0.150 | $83 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | -0.5% $0.145 | -0.5% $0.145 | +6.5% $0.215 | -8.5% $0.065 |
| 05-24 14:58 | YES @ $0.190 | $2,790 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | -4.0% $0.150 | -4.5% $0.145 | -7.5% $0.115 | -2.5% $0.165 |
| 05-24 06:07 | NO @ $0.250 | $63 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | -0.5% $0.245 | -5.5% $0.195 | -9.5% $0.155 | +7.5% $0.325 |
| 05-24 05:41 | YES @ $0.101 | $204 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | +0.8% $0.110 | +2.1% $0.122 | +5.8% $0.159 | +1.1% $0.112 |
| 05-24 05:04 | YES @ $0.280 | $1,120 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +0.5% $0.285 | -3.5% $0.245 | -0.5% $0.275 | -18.5% $0.095 |
| 05-24 04:54 | YES @ $0.290 | $745 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +0.5% $0.295 | -3.5% $0.255 | -0.5% $0.285 | -19.5% $0.095 |
| 05-24 04:23 | YES @ $0.260 | $148 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | +3.5% $0.295 | +3.5% $0.295 | +3.5% $0.295 | -16.5% $0.095 |
| 05-24 04:07 | YES @ $0.480 | $973 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | 0.0% $0.480 | -2.0% $0.460 | +10.5% $0.585 | -47.5% $0.004 |
| 05-24 03:57 | YES @ $0.119 | $384 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | +0.8% $0.127 | -2.5% $0.095 | -4.8% $0.071 | -3.7% $0.083 |
| 05-24 03:52 | YES @ $0.112 | $160 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | +0.3% $0.115 | -0.9% $0.103 | -0.4% $0.108 | -8.0% $0.033 |
| 05-24 03:51 | NO @ $0.980 | $4,543 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23? | +1.9% $0.999 | +1.9% $0.999 | — | — |
| 05-24 03:36 | NO @ $0.180 | $7,437 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | +6.0% $0.240 | +8.0% $0.260 | +6.5% $0.245 | +6.5% $0.245 |
| 05-24 03:31 | YES @ $0.218 | $1,830 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | -1.6% $0.202 | +0.9% $0.227 | -10.6% $0.113 | -15.4% $0.064 |
| Opened | Market | Entry | Size | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 01:10 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | YES @ $0.289 | $40 | $+13.49 | closed_win |
| 05-22 23:56 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | YES @ $0.753 | $40 | $+12.34 | closed_win |
| 05-22 22:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | YES @ $0.310 | $11 | $-0.74 | closed_loss |
| 05-22 21:34 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | YES @ $0.719 | $38 | $+5.13 | closed_win |
| 05-22 21:31 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | YES @ $0.625 | $10 | $+1.27 | closed_win |